Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos

Este documento contiene tres aportes teóricos que se encuentran en la interacción entre los modelos estocásticos de equilibrio general, la macroeconomía dinámica y el control óptimo en tiempo continuo. En el primer capítulo, se estudia una solución analítica de dos modelos DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic G...

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Fecha de publicación:
2021
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Universidad del Rosario
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Repositorio EdocUR - U. Rosario
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spa
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oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/31310
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https://doi.org/10.48713/10336_31310
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/31310
Palabra clave:
Modelos de agentes heterogéneos
Procesos de difusión con saltos aleatorios
Ecuaciones de Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman y kolmogorov-Forward
Modelos económicos de equilibrio general aplicado
Modelos EGDE (equilibrio general dinámico estocástico) en tiempo continuo
Control óptimo estocástico en modelos Economicos
Método de diferencias finitas en modelación económica
Análisis de riesgo de desastres económico
Macroeconomía & temas relacionados
Heterogeneous agent models
Diffusion processes with random hops
Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman and kolmogorov-Forward equations
Applied General Equilibrium Economic Models
Continuous-Time DSGE Models (Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium)
Optimal stochastic control in economic models
Finite difference method in economic modeling
Economic disaster risk analysis
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dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos
dc.title.TranslatedTitle.spa.fl_str_mv A theoretical approach in continuous time to dynamic general equilibrium models stochastics
title Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos
spellingShingle Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos
Modelos de agentes heterogéneos
Procesos de difusión con saltos aleatorios
Ecuaciones de Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman y kolmogorov-Forward
Modelos económicos de equilibrio general aplicado
Modelos EGDE (equilibrio general dinámico estocástico) en tiempo continuo
Control óptimo estocástico en modelos Economicos
Método de diferencias finitas en modelación económica
Análisis de riesgo de desastres económico
Macroeconomía & temas relacionados
Heterogeneous agent models
Diffusion processes with random hops
Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman and kolmogorov-Forward equations
Applied General Equilibrium Economic Models
Continuous-Time DSGE Models (Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium)
Optimal stochastic control in economic models
Finite difference method in economic modeling
Economic disaster risk analysis
title_short Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos
title_full Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos
title_fullStr Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos
title_full_unstemmed Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos
title_sort Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos
dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv Serrano Perdomo, Rafael Antonio
dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv Modelos de agentes heterogéneos
Procesos de difusión con saltos aleatorios
Ecuaciones de Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman y kolmogorov-Forward
Modelos económicos de equilibrio general aplicado
Modelos EGDE (equilibrio general dinámico estocástico) en tiempo continuo
Control óptimo estocástico en modelos Economicos
Método de diferencias finitas en modelación económica
Análisis de riesgo de desastres económico
topic Modelos de agentes heterogéneos
Procesos de difusión con saltos aleatorios
Ecuaciones de Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman y kolmogorov-Forward
Modelos económicos de equilibrio general aplicado
Modelos EGDE (equilibrio general dinámico estocástico) en tiempo continuo
Control óptimo estocástico en modelos Economicos
Método de diferencias finitas en modelación económica
Análisis de riesgo de desastres económico
Macroeconomía & temas relacionados
Heterogeneous agent models
Diffusion processes with random hops
Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman and kolmogorov-Forward equations
Applied General Equilibrium Economic Models
Continuous-Time DSGE Models (Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium)
Optimal stochastic control in economic models
Finite difference method in economic modeling
Economic disaster risk analysis
dc.subject.ddc.spa.fl_str_mv Macroeconomía & temas relacionados
dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv Heterogeneous agent models
Diffusion processes with random hops
Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman and kolmogorov-Forward equations
Applied General Equilibrium Economic Models
Continuous-Time DSGE Models (Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium)
Optimal stochastic control in economic models
Finite difference method in economic modeling
Economic disaster risk analysis
description Este documento contiene tres aportes teóricos que se encuentran en la interacción entre los modelos estocásticos de equilibrio general, la macroeconomía dinámica y el control óptimo en tiempo continuo. En el primer capítulo, se estudia una solución analítica de dos modelos DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium) en tiempo continuo con preferencias CRRA, tecnología tipo Cobb-Douglas y choques en la dinámica de acumulación de capital que combinan un proceso de difusión con saltos aleatorios asociados a eventos raros. El factor de tecnología puede tomar la forma de un proceso CIR con reversión a la media o un movimiento browniano geométrico. En el segundo capítulo, se propone la solución de un modelo de crecimiento neoclásico estocástico en tiempo continuo con un solo sector, de tipo Ramsey, con función de utilidad CRRA y tecnología tipo Cobb-Douglas, con acumulación de capital, efectividad y la fuerza del trabajo sujetos a choques exógenos que siguen procesos de difusión con saltos, dados por eventos raros. Finalmente, en el tercer capítulo, estudiamos un problema de agentes heterogéneos en tiempo continuo. Analizamos el efecto de los choques estocásticos con saltos en la dinámica y distribución del ingreso de los agentes, y su impacto en el consumo, el ahorro y la distribución conjunta de la riqueza e ingreso. En todos los modelos, el principio de programación dinámica, el teorema de veri cación y el método de diferencias nitas permitieron encontrar soluciones analíticas y numéricas de las ecuaciones de Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) y Kolmogorov-Forward (kF). Eso permite obtener las funciones de política óptimas para las variables de control, analizar en cada caso de forma analítica y numérica los efectos de este tipo de choques estocásticos sobre las decisiones económicas de los agentes; como también destacar que el empleo de modelos dinámicos, que siguen procesos de difusión con saltos, representan los fenómenos económicos de forma más realista y enriquecen el análisis en ambientes con riesgo e incertidumbre.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2021-04-29T16:58:51Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2021-04-29T16:58:51Z
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv 2021-04-22
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv doctoralThesis
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06
dc.type.document.spa.fl_str_mv Monografía
dc.type.spa.spa.fl_str_mv Tesis de doctorado
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.48713/10336_31310
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/31310
url https://doi.org/10.48713/10336_31310
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/31310
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv spa
language spa
dc.rights.spa.fl_str_mv Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 2.5 Colombia
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.acceso.spa.fl_str_mv Abierto (Texto Completo)
dc.rights.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/co/
rights_invalid_str_mv Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 2.5 Colombia
Abierto (Texto Completo)
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/co/
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.format.extent.spa.fl_str_mv 220 pp.
dc.format.mimetype.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad del Rosario
dc.publisher.department.spa.fl_str_mv Facultad de Economía
dc.publisher.program.spa.fl_str_mv Doctorado en Economía
institution Universidad del Rosario
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spelling Serrano Perdomo, Rafael Antonio80085368600Zambrano Jurado, Juan CarlosDoctor en EconomíaFull time7225216d-1aa0-4e16-9441-8b094338d55f6002021-04-29T16:58:51Z2021-04-29T16:58:51Z2021-04-22Este documento contiene tres aportes teóricos que se encuentran en la interacción entre los modelos estocásticos de equilibrio general, la macroeconomía dinámica y el control óptimo en tiempo continuo. En el primer capítulo, se estudia una solución analítica de dos modelos DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium) en tiempo continuo con preferencias CRRA, tecnología tipo Cobb-Douglas y choques en la dinámica de acumulación de capital que combinan un proceso de difusión con saltos aleatorios asociados a eventos raros. El factor de tecnología puede tomar la forma de un proceso CIR con reversión a la media o un movimiento browniano geométrico. En el segundo capítulo, se propone la solución de un modelo de crecimiento neoclásico estocástico en tiempo continuo con un solo sector, de tipo Ramsey, con función de utilidad CRRA y tecnología tipo Cobb-Douglas, con acumulación de capital, efectividad y la fuerza del trabajo sujetos a choques exógenos que siguen procesos de difusión con saltos, dados por eventos raros. Finalmente, en el tercer capítulo, estudiamos un problema de agentes heterogéneos en tiempo continuo. Analizamos el efecto de los choques estocásticos con saltos en la dinámica y distribución del ingreso de los agentes, y su impacto en el consumo, el ahorro y la distribución conjunta de la riqueza e ingreso. En todos los modelos, el principio de programación dinámica, el teorema de veri cación y el método de diferencias nitas permitieron encontrar soluciones analíticas y numéricas de las ecuaciones de Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) y Kolmogorov-Forward (kF). Eso permite obtener las funciones de política óptimas para las variables de control, analizar en cada caso de forma analítica y numérica los efectos de este tipo de choques estocásticos sobre las decisiones económicas de los agentes; como también destacar que el empleo de modelos dinámicos, que siguen procesos de difusión con saltos, representan los fenómenos económicos de forma más realista y enriquecen el análisis en ambientes con riesgo e incertidumbre.This document contains three theoretical contributions that lie in the interplay between stochastic general equilibrium models, dynamic macroeconomics, and optimal control in continuous time. In the first chapter, we study an analytic solution of two continuous-time DSGE models with CRRA preferences, Cobb-Douglas type technology, and shocks in the capital accumulation dynamics that combine a diffusion process with random jumps associated with rare events. The technology factor can take the form of, either a mean-reverting CIR process or a geometric Brownian motion. In the second chapter, we study a stochastic continuous-time one-sector neoclassical growth model of Ramsey type with CRRA utility function and a Cobb-Douglas type technology, with capital accumulation, efectivity and the labor force subject to exogenous shocks that follow diffusion processes with jumps, given by rare events. Finally, in the third chapter, we study a heterogeneous agent problem in continuous time. We analyze the effect of stochastic shocks with jumps in the dynamics and distribution of agent's income, and their impact on consumption, saving and joint distribution of wealth and income. In all models, the dynamic programming principle, the veri cation theorem and the method of finite differences allowed us to find analytical and numerical solutions of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) and Kolmogorov-Forward (kF) equations. This allows obtaining the optimal policy functions for the control variables, analyzing in each case analytically and numerically the effects of this type of stochastic shocks on the economic decisions of the agents; as well as highlighting that the use of dynamic models, which follow diffusion processes with jumps, represent economic phenomena in a more realistic way and enrich the analysis in environments with risk and uncertainty.2021-06-12 01:01:01: Script de automatizacion de embargos. info:eu-repo/date/embargoEnd/2023-04-282021-04-29 12:10:02: Script de automatizacion de embargos. Correo recibido: Juan Carlos Zambrano Jurado Jue 29/04/2021 8:11 AM Cordial saludo. Les escribo para informales que coloqué la notificación de restringido en el repositorio de la CRAI, al documento de mi disertación Doctoral en Economía, " Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos ". Dado que el documento final se compone de tres artículos los cuales van a ser enviados próximamente a revistas indexadas para su posterior publicación, por tanto, el documento no puede ser de dominio público hasta no completar esa etapa. Agradezco su atención y colaboración. Atentamente, Juan Carlos Zambrano Jurado. Estudiante Doctorado en Economía. - Respuesta : Repositorio Institucional EdocUR Jue 29/04/2021 12:04 PM Respetado Doctor Juan Zambrano, reciba un cordial saludo, Hemos realizado la publicación de su documento: Un enfoque teórico en tiempo continuo para modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos estocásticos, el cual puede consultar en el siguiente enlace: https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/31310 De acuerdo con su solicitud, el documento ha quedado embargado por 2 años hasta el 2023-04-29 en concordancia con las Políticas de Acceso Abierto de la Universidad. Si usted desea dejarlo con acceso abierto antes de finalizar dicho periodo o si por el contrario desea extender el embargo al finalizar este tiempo, puede enviar un correo a esta misma dirección realizando la solicitud. Tenga en cuenta que los documentos en acceso abierto propician una mayor visibilidad de su producción académica. Quedamos atentos a cualquier inquietud o sugerencia.220 pp.application/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.48713/10336_31310 https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/31310spaUniversidad del RosarioFacultad de EconomíaDoctorado en EconomíaAtribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 2.5 ColombiaAbierto (Texto Completo)EL AUTOR, manifiesta que la obra objeto de la presente autorización es original y la realizó sin violar o usurpar derechos de autor de terceros, por lo tanto la obra es de exclusiva autoría y tiene la titularidad sobre la misma. 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