La explicación causal en economía
La teoría económica rehúye las explicaciones de tipo causal y adopta relaciones funcionales y soluciones de equilibrio que suponen alguna forma de simetría entre las variables involucradas. Sin embargo, la causalidad es un supuesto inherente a toda política o decisión económica, que se defiende y ad...
- Autores:
-
Lorente, Luis
- Tipo de recurso:
- Article of journal
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2018
- Institución:
- Universidad Externado de Colombia
- Repositorio:
- Biblioteca Digital Universidad Externado de Colombia
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https://doi.org/10.18601/01245996.v20n39.02
- Palabra clave:
- Accounting identity, statistical correlation, causal explanation, explanatory theory, macroeconomic analysis, economic policy
Identidad contable, correlación estadística, explicación causal, teoría explicativa, análisis macroeconómico, política económica
identidade contábil, correlação estatística, explicação causal, teoria explicativa, análise macroeconômica, política econômica
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dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
La explicación causal en economía |
dc.title.translated.eng.fl_str_mv |
The causal explanation in economics |
title |
La explicación causal en economía |
spellingShingle |
La explicación causal en economía Accounting identity, statistical correlation, causal explanation, explanatory theory, macroeconomic analysis, economic policy Identidad contable, correlación estadística, explicación causal, teoría explicativa, análisis macroeconómico, política económica identidade contábil, correlação estatística, explicação causal, teoria explicativa, análise macroeconômica, política econômica |
title_short |
La explicación causal en economía |
title_full |
La explicación causal en economía |
title_fullStr |
La explicación causal en economía |
title_full_unstemmed |
La explicación causal en economía |
title_sort |
La explicación causal en economía |
dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Lorente, Luis |
dc.contributor.author.spa.fl_str_mv |
Lorente, Luis |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Accounting identity, statistical correlation, causal explanation, explanatory theory, macroeconomic analysis, economic policy |
topic |
Accounting identity, statistical correlation, causal explanation, explanatory theory, macroeconomic analysis, economic policy Identidad contable, correlación estadística, explicación causal, teoría explicativa, análisis macroeconómico, política económica identidade contábil, correlação estatística, explicação causal, teoria explicativa, análise macroeconômica, política econômica |
dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv |
Identidad contable, correlación estadística, explicación causal, teoría explicativa, análisis macroeconómico, política económica identidade contábil, correlação estatística, explicação causal, teoria explicativa, análise macroeconômica, política econômica |
description |
La teoría económica rehúye las explicaciones de tipo causal y adopta relaciones funcionales y soluciones de equilibrio que suponen alguna forma de simetría entre las variables involucradas. Sin embargo, la causalidad es un supuesto inherente a toda política o decisión económica, que se defiende y adopta solo porque se espera de ella un determinado efecto. La desconfianza proviene de que, en ausencia de un método experimental que aísle unos fenómenos de su entorno y garantice su repetibilidad, es posible imaginar numerosas causas, incluso teleológicas, que interfieren mutuamente y ofrecen un exceso de explicaciones alternativas, sin un criterio claro para escoger entre ellas. Pero existen circunstancias que permiten deducir regularidades de tipo causal en un contexto de cambio dinámico, innovación y desequilibrio permanente. Este artículo desarrolla varios ejemplos sencillos que tienen consecuencias importantes para la teoría económica y sugieren ajustes de fondo en algunas políticas. |
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2018 |
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2018-06-22 00:00:00 2022-09-09T21:17:27Z |
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2018-06-22 00:00:00 2022-09-09T21:17:27Z |
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2018-06-22 |
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https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5429/6625 https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5429/7007 https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5429/7020 |
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<p>Bunge, M. (2009). Causality and modern science. New Brunswick: Transaction Publishers. Candy, J. (1988). Signal processing: The modern approach.Nueva York: McGraw-Hill. Chiarella, C., Flaschel, P. y Franke, R. (2005). Foundations for a disequilibrium theory of the business cycle: Qualitative analysis and quantitative assesment.Nueva York: Cambridge University Press. Corbett, J. y Jenkinson, T. (1997). How is investment financed? A study of Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States. Manchester School, 65(S-Supplement), 69-93. Currie, L. y Sandilands, R. (1997). Implications of an endogenous theory of growth in Allyn Young's macroeconomic concept of increasing returns. History of Political Economy,29(3), 413-443. Trad. al español: Currie, L. y R. Sandilands. (2013). Implicaciones de una teoría del crecimiento endógeno en el concepto macroeconómico de rendimientos crecientes de Allyn Young", Revista de Economía Institucional, 15(28), 95-126. Duesenberry, J. S. (1949). Income, saving and the theory of the consumer. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Eberhardt, F., Hoyer, P. y Scheines, R. (2010). Combining experiments to discover linear cyclic models with latent variables. Journal of Machine Learning, 9, 185-192. Felipe, J. y McCombie, J. (2007). Is a theory of total factor productivity really needed? Metroeconomica,58(1), 195-229. Fisher, F. (1971). Aggregate production functions and the explanation of wages: A simulation experiment. Review of Economics and Statistics, 5J(4), 305-325. Fisher, F. M. (1969). The existence of aggregate production functions. Econometrica, 37(4), 553-577. Frank, R. H. y Levine, A. S. (2007). Expenditure cascades. [www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2007/0107_1300_0202.pdf.]. Friedman, M. (1953). The methodology of positive economics. En M. Friedman, (ed.), Essays in positive economics (pp. 3-43). Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Gnedenko, B. (1962). Theory of probability. Nueva York: Chelsea. Hackethal, A. y Schmidt, R. (2003). Financing patterns: mesurement, concepts and empirical results. Finance & Accounting, Working paper 125. Harcourt, G. (1972). Some Cambridge controversies in the theory of capital. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Knuth, D. (1969). The art of computer programming. Massachusetts: Addison-Wesley. Kuhn, T. (1962). The structure of scientific revolutions. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Lorente, L. (2018). Dinámica del crecimiento económico. Bogotá: Universidad Nacional de Colombia. Lucas, R. (1990). Why doesn't capital flow from rich to poor countries? American Economic Review,80(2), 92-96. Marshall, A. (1920). Principles of economics. Londres: McMillan and Co. Mill, J., 1848. Principles of Political Economy. London: John Parker. Nagel, E. (1961). The structure of science: Problems in the logic of scientific explanation.Nueva York: Harcourt Brace & World. Ricardo, D. (1821). On the principles of political economy and taxation. Londres: John Murray. Russell, B. (1917). On the notion of cause. En B. Russell, (ed.), Mysticism and logic and other essays (pp. 180-208). Londres: George Allen and Unwin. Samuelson, P. (1962). Parable and realism in capital theory: The surrogate production function. Review of Economic Studies, 29(3), 193-206. Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65-94. Spirtes, P., Glymour, C. y Scheines, R. (2000). Causation, prediction, and search. Cambridge: MIT Press. Sylos-Labini, P. (1991a). I mutamenti di lungo periodo nei meccanismi che regolano salari e prezzi e il processo di sviluppo. Rivista di Storia Economica, 8, 1-26. Sylos-Labini, P. (1991b). The changing character of the so-called business cycle. Atlantic Economic Journal, 19(3), 1-14. Veblen, T. (1898). Why is economics not an evolutionary Science?. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 12(4), 373-397. Veblen, T. (1899). The theory of the leisure class.Nueva York: Macmillan. Von-Wright, G. (1971). Explanation and understanding.Londres: Routledge and Kegan Paul. Young, A. (1928). Increasing returns and economic progress. The Economic Journal, 38(152), 527-542. Trad. al español: Young, A. A. (2009). Rendimientos crecientes y progreso económico, Revista de Economía Institucional,11(21), 227-243.</p> |
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Lorente, Luis6f95b044-ff5a-4ded-bdbe-6d9b63e8ea572018-06-22 00:00:002022-09-09T21:17:27Z2018-06-22 00:00:002022-09-09T21:17:27Z2018-06-22La teoría económica rehúye las explicaciones de tipo causal y adopta relaciones funcionales y soluciones de equilibrio que suponen alguna forma de simetría entre las variables involucradas. Sin embargo, la causalidad es un supuesto inherente a toda política o decisión económica, que se defiende y adopta solo porque se espera de ella un determinado efecto. La desconfianza proviene de que, en ausencia de un método experimental que aísle unos fenómenos de su entorno y garantice su repetibilidad, es posible imaginar numerosas causas, incluso teleológicas, que interfieren mutuamente y ofrecen un exceso de explicaciones alternativas, sin un criterio claro para escoger entre ellas. Pero existen circunstancias que permiten deducir regularidades de tipo causal en un contexto de cambio dinámico, innovación y desequilibrio permanente. Este artículo desarrolla varios ejemplos sencillos que tienen consecuencias importantes para la teoría económica y sugieren ajustes de fondo en algunas políticas.Economic theory avoids explanations of causal type and adopts functional relationships and equilibrium solutions that suppose some form of symmetry between the variables involved. However, causality is an inherent assumption of any economic policy or decision, which is defended and adopted only because a certain effect is expected from it. The distrust stems from the fact that, in the absence of an experimental method that isolates phenomena from its environment and guarantees its repeatability, it is possible to imagine numerous causes, even teleological, that interfere with each other and offer an excess of alternative explanations, without a clear criterion to choose among them. However, there are circumstances that allow the deduction of regularities of causal type in a context of dynamic change, innovation and permanent imbalance. This article develops several simple examples that have important consequences for economic theory and suggest fundamental adjustments in some policies.application/pdfapplication/xmltext/html10.18601/01245996.v20n39.022346-24500124-5996https://bdigital.uexternado.edu.co/handle/001/12188https://doi.org/10.18601/01245996.v20n39.02spaUniversidad Externado de Colombiahttps://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5429/6625https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5429/7007https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5429/7020Núm. 39 , Año 2018 : Julio-Diciembre5139920Revista de Economía Institucional<p>Bunge, M. (2009). Causality and modern science. New Brunswick: Transaction Publishers. Candy, J. (1988). Signal processing: The modern approach.Nueva York: McGraw-Hill. Chiarella, C., Flaschel, P. y Franke, R. (2005). Foundations for a disequilibrium theory of the business cycle: Qualitative analysis and quantitative assesment.Nueva York: Cambridge University Press. Corbett, J. y Jenkinson, T. (1997). How is investment financed? A study of Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States. Manchester School, 65(S-Supplement), 69-93. Currie, L. y Sandilands, R. (1997). Implications of an endogenous theory of growth in Allyn Young's macroeconomic concept of increasing returns. History of Political Economy,29(3), 413-443. Trad. al español: Currie, L. y R. Sandilands. (2013). Implicaciones de una teoría del crecimiento endógeno en el concepto macroeconómico de rendimientos crecientes de Allyn Young", Revista de Economía Institucional, 15(28), 95-126. Duesenberry, J. S. (1949). Income, saving and the theory of the consumer. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Eberhardt, F., Hoyer, P. y Scheines, R. (2010). Combining experiments to discover linear cyclic models with latent variables. Journal of Machine Learning, 9, 185-192. Felipe, J. y McCombie, J. (2007). Is a theory of total factor productivity really needed? Metroeconomica,58(1), 195-229. Fisher, F. (1971). Aggregate production functions and the explanation of wages: A simulation experiment. Review of Economics and Statistics, 5J(4), 305-325. Fisher, F. M. (1969). The existence of aggregate production functions. Econometrica, 37(4), 553-577. Frank, R. H. y Levine, A. S. (2007). Expenditure cascades. [www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2007/0107_1300_0202.pdf.]. Friedman, M. (1953). The methodology of positive economics. En M. Friedman, (ed.), Essays in positive economics (pp. 3-43). Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Gnedenko, B. (1962). Theory of probability. Nueva York: Chelsea. Hackethal, A. y Schmidt, R. (2003). Financing patterns: mesurement, concepts and empirical results. Finance & Accounting, Working paper 125. Harcourt, G. (1972). Some Cambridge controversies in the theory of capital. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Knuth, D. (1969). The art of computer programming. Massachusetts: Addison-Wesley. Kuhn, T. (1962). The structure of scientific revolutions. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Lorente, L. (2018). Dinámica del crecimiento económico. Bogotá: Universidad Nacional de Colombia. Lucas, R. (1990). Why doesn't capital flow from rich to poor countries? American Economic Review,80(2), 92-96. Marshall, A. (1920). Principles of economics. Londres: McMillan and Co. Mill, J., 1848. Principles of Political Economy. London: John Parker. Nagel, E. (1961). The structure of science: Problems in the logic of scientific explanation.Nueva York: Harcourt Brace & World. Ricardo, D. (1821). On the principles of political economy and taxation. Londres: John Murray. Russell, B. (1917). On the notion of cause. En B. Russell, (ed.), Mysticism and logic and other essays (pp. 180-208). Londres: George Allen and Unwin. Samuelson, P. (1962). Parable and realism in capital theory: The surrogate production function. Review of Economic Studies, 29(3), 193-206. Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65-94. Spirtes, P., Glymour, C. y Scheines, R. (2000). Causation, prediction, and search. Cambridge: MIT Press. Sylos-Labini, P. (1991a). I mutamenti di lungo periodo nei meccanismi che regolano salari e prezzi e il processo di sviluppo. Rivista di Storia Economica, 8, 1-26. Sylos-Labini, P. (1991b). The changing character of the so-called business cycle. Atlantic Economic Journal, 19(3), 1-14. Veblen, T. (1898). Why is economics not an evolutionary Science?. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 12(4), 373-397. Veblen, T. (1899). The theory of the leisure class.Nueva York: Macmillan. Von-Wright, G. (1971). Explanation and understanding.Londres: Routledge and Kegan Paul. Young, A. (1928). Increasing returns and economic progress. The Economic Journal, 38(152), 527-542. Trad. al español: Young, A. A. (2009). Rendimientos crecientes y progreso económico, Revista de Economía Institucional,11(21), 227-243.</p>info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/view/5429Accounting identity, statistical correlation, causal explanation, explanatory theory, macroeconomic analysis, economic policyIdentidad contable, correlación estadística, explicación causal, teoría explicativa, análisis macroeconómico, política económicaidentidade contábil, correlação estatística, explicação causal, teoria explicativa, análise macroeconômica, política econômicaLa explicación causal en economíaThe causal explanation in economicsArtículo de revistahttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Textinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleJournal articlehttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ARTREFinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionPublicationOREORE.xmltext/xml2452https://bdigital.uexternado.edu.co/bitstreams/5496b407-645f-4b1f-b40d-062983ed204f/download5f6bf811d32332ef2892bc5653f50a11MD51001/12188oai:bdigital.uexternado.edu.co:001/121882023-08-14 15:29:17.598https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/https://bdigital.uexternado.edu.coUniversidad Externado de Colombiametabiblioteca@metabiblioteca.org |