Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer

Este artículo estima la curva de Laffer mediante un análisis de estática comparativa y un ejercicio econométrico. A partir de una especificación microeconómica, primero analiza la distorsión que causaría establecer un impuesto indirecto y las implicaciones de bienestar si se maximizara el recaudo tr...

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Autores:
Herrera Saavedra, Juan Pablo
Villar Otalora, Juan Camilo
Campo Robledo, Jacobo
Tipo de recurso:
Article of journal
Fecha de publicación:
2022
Institución:
Universidad Externado de Colombia
Repositorio:
Biblioteca Digital Universidad Externado de Colombia
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:bdigital.uexternado.edu.co:001/12299
Acceso en línea:
https://bdigital.uexternado.edu.co/handle/001/12299
https://doi.org/10.18601/01245996.v24n47.05
Palabra clave:
Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rate
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
Curva de Laffer, ingreso fiscal, impuesto óptimo; incidencia fiscal en los mercados; tasa de tributación
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rate
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
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openAccess
License
Juan Pablo Herrera Saavedra, Juan Camilo Villar Otalora, Jacobo Campo Robledo - 2022
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network_name_str Biblioteca Digital Universidad Externado de Colombia
repository_id_str
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer
dc.title.translated.eng.fl_str_mv Taxation in Colombia: Theoretical and empirical approximation of the Laffer Curve
title Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer
spellingShingle Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer
Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rate
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
Curva de Laffer, ingreso fiscal, impuesto óptimo; incidencia fiscal en los mercados; tasa de tributación
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rate
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
title_short Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer
title_full Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer
title_fullStr Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer
title_full_unstemmed Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer
title_sort Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de Laffer
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Herrera Saavedra, Juan Pablo
Villar Otalora, Juan Camilo
Campo Robledo, Jacobo
dc.contributor.author.spa.fl_str_mv Herrera Saavedra, Juan Pablo
Villar Otalora, Juan Camilo
Campo Robledo, Jacobo
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rate
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
topic Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rate
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
Curva de Laffer, ingreso fiscal, impuesto óptimo; incidencia fiscal en los mercados; tasa de tributación
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rate
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv Curva de Laffer, ingreso fiscal, impuesto óptimo; incidencia fiscal en los mercados; tasa de tributación
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rate
C23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30
description Este artículo estima la curva de Laffer mediante un análisis de estática comparativa y un ejercicio econométrico. A partir de una especificación microeconómica, primero analiza la distorsión que causaría establecer un impuesto indirecto y las implicaciones de bienestar si se maximizara el recaudo tributario. Luego, con datos del ingreso tributario real per cápita y de la tasa impositiva, estima un modelo econométrico para calcular la tasa tributaria óptima en Colombia. Los resultados muestran que los postulados de Laffer se cumplen con una tasa óptima de un 32%, y sugieren que el Gobierno tiene un margen de casi 12 puntos porcentuales.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2022-07-01 14:04:06
2022-09-09T21:19:27Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2022-07-01 14:04:06
2022-09-09T21:19:27Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2022-07-01
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv Artículo de revista
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dc.relation.bitstream.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/7960/11826
dc.relation.citationedition.spa.fl_str_mv Núm. 47 , Año 2022 : Julio-Diciembre
dc.relation.citationendpage.none.fl_str_mv 143
dc.relation.citationissue.spa.fl_str_mv 47
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dc.relation.ispartofjournal.spa.fl_str_mv Revista de Economía Institucional
dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv Bejarano, H. D. (2008). Verificación empírica de la curva de Laffer en la economía colombiana 1980-2005. Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, 16(1), 151-164. Bejarano, H. D. (2014). Tributación en Colombia: La tasa óptima que maximiza el recaudo tributario. Revista de Estrategia Organizacional, 3, 133-142. Brill, A., y Hassett, K. (2007). Revenue-maximizing corporate income taxes: The Laffer Curve in OECD countries. American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, working paper 137. Buchanan, J. y Lee, D. (1982). Politics, time, and the Laffer Curve. Journal of Political Economy, 90(4), 816-819. Canto, V., Douglas, J. y Laffer, A. (1979). An income expenditure version of the wedge model. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Proceedings, 2, 27-62. Chakraborty, L. (2015). Fiscal seigniorage “Laffer-curve effect” on Central Bank autonomy in India. National Institute of Public Finance and Policy New Delhi, 2015-2156. Dickey, D. A. y Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 427-431. Dickey, D.A. y Fuller, W.A. (1981). The likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057-1072. Elliott, G., Rothenberg, T. y Stock, J. (1996). Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root. Econometrica, 64(4), 813-836. Engle R. y Granger, C.W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276. Fullerton, D. (1980). On the possibility of an inverse relationship between tax rates and government revenues. NBER working paper series, 19(467). Granger, C.W. y Newbold, P. (1974). Spurious regressions in econometrics. Journal of Econometrics, 2(2), 111-120. Guedes de O., F. y Costa, L. (2015). The VAT Laffer Curve and the business cycle in the EU27: An empirical approach. Journal of Economic Issues, 20(2), 29-43. Hsing, Y. (1996). Estimating the Laffer Curve and policy implications. Journal of Socio-Economics, 25(3), 395-401. Kalmarzi, H. y Mousavi, M. (2014). An estimation of Laffer Curve in Iran: A non-linear approach. Iranian Journal of Economic Studies, 3(1), 43-59. Karas, M. (2012). Tax rate to maximize the revenue: Laffer curve for the Czech Republic. Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, 60(4), 189-194. Laffer, A. (1978). An equilibrium rational macroeconomic framework. En N. Mirakami y R. Day (eds.), Economic Issues of the eighties. Baltimore, Johns Hopkins University Press. Laffer, A. y Seymur, J. (1979). The economics of the tax revolt: A reader. Nueva York: Harcourt Brace Javanovich. Laffer, A. (2004). The Laffer Curve: Past, present, and future. Heritage Foundation Backgrounder. No. 1765. Lindsey, L. (1986). Individual taxpayer response to tax cuts 1982-1984 with implications for the revenue maximizing tax rate. NBER working paper series, 19(33). Lozano, I., y Arias, F. (2018). Curvas Laffer de la tributación en Colombia. Borradores de Economía 1045. Lozano, I., y Arias, F. (2019). How do the tax burden and the fiscal space in Latin America look like? Evidence through Laffer Curves. Borradores de Economía 1117. Nutahara, K. (2015). Laffer curves in Japan. Journal of The Japanese and International Economies, 36, 56-72. Phillips, P. (1986). Understanding spuriors regressions in econometrics. Journal of Econometrics, 33(3)11-340. Phillips, P., y Hansen, B. E. (1990). Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I(1) processes. Review of Economic Studies, 57(1), 99-125. Phillips, P. y Ouliaris, S. (1990). Asymptotic properties of residual based tests for cointegration. Econometrica, 58(1), 165-193. Phillips, P. y Loretan, M. (1991). Estimating long-run economic equilibria. Review of Economic Studies, 58(3), 407-436. Saikkonen, P. (1991). Asymptotically efficient estimation of cointegration regressions. Econometric Theory, 7(1), 1-21. Sidrauski, M. (1967). Rational choice and patterns of growth in a monetary economy. The American Economic Review, 57(2), 534-544. Sidrauski, M. (1967). Inflation and economic growth. Journal of Political Economy, 75(6), 796-810. Stock, J. y Watson, M. (1989). Interpreting the evidence on moneyincome causality. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1), 161-181. Stock, J. y Watson, M. (1993). A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems. Econometrica, 61(4), 783-820. Stuart, C. (1981). Swedish tax rates labor supply and tax revenues. Journal of Political Economy, 89(5), 1020-1038. Uhlig, H. (1995). A toolkit for analyzing nonlinear dynamic stochastic models easily. Discussion paper 1091, Minneapolis, MN: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Walsh, C. (2010). Monetary theory and policy. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.
dc.rights.spa.fl_str_mv Juan Pablo Herrera Saavedra, Juan Camilo Villar Otalora, Jacobo Campo Robledo - 2022
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spelling Herrera Saavedra, Juan Pabloa4fab310b3e6663538379f2c535a9cb0Villar Otalora, Juan Camiloceb49aa1-7046-4c03-9f57-0a99acb52c3dCampo Robledo, Jacobof7f24b32-ce84-455f-b1da-ad32a76199032022-07-01 14:04:062022-09-09T21:19:27Z2022-07-01 14:04:062022-09-09T21:19:27Z2022-07-01Este artículo estima la curva de Laffer mediante un análisis de estática comparativa y un ejercicio econométrico. A partir de una especificación microeconómica, primero analiza la distorsión que causaría establecer un impuesto indirecto y las implicaciones de bienestar si se maximizara el recaudo tributario. Luego, con datos del ingreso tributario real per cápita y de la tasa impositiva, estima un modelo econométrico para calcular la tasa tributaria óptima en Colombia. Los resultados muestran que los postulados de Laffer se cumplen con una tasa óptima de un 32%, y sugieren que el Gobierno tiene un margen de casi 12 puntos porcentuales.This paper estimates the Laffer curve through a comparative statical analysis and an econometric exercise. Starting from a microeconomic specification, it first analyzes the distortion caused by an indirect tax and the welfare implications of maximizing tax collection. Then, using data on real per capita tax revenue and the tax rate, an estimate of an econometric model to calculate the optimal tax rate in Colombia is made. The results show that Laffer's postulates are proven with an optimal rate of 32% and suggest that the government has a margin of almost 12 percentage points.application/pdf10.18601/01245996.v24n47.052346-24500124-5996https://bdigital.uexternado.edu.co/handle/001/12299https://doi.org/10.18601/01245996.v24n47.05spaUniversidad Externado de Colombiahttps://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/7960/11826Núm. 47 , Año 2022 : Julio-Diciembre1434711724Revista de Economía InstitucionalBejarano, H. D. (2008). Verificación empírica de la curva de Laffer en la economía colombiana 1980-2005. Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, 16(1), 151-164. Bejarano, H. D. (2014). Tributación en Colombia: La tasa óptima que maximiza el recaudo tributario. Revista de Estrategia Organizacional, 3, 133-142. Brill, A., y Hassett, K. (2007). Revenue-maximizing corporate income taxes: The Laffer Curve in OECD countries. American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, working paper 137. Buchanan, J. y Lee, D. (1982). Politics, time, and the Laffer Curve. Journal of Political Economy, 90(4), 816-819. Canto, V., Douglas, J. y Laffer, A. (1979). An income expenditure version of the wedge model. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Proceedings, 2, 27-62. Chakraborty, L. (2015). Fiscal seigniorage “Laffer-curve effect” on Central Bank autonomy in India. National Institute of Public Finance and Policy New Delhi, 2015-2156. Dickey, D. A. y Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 427-431. Dickey, D.A. y Fuller, W.A. (1981). The likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057-1072. Elliott, G., Rothenberg, T. y Stock, J. (1996). Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root. Econometrica, 64(4), 813-836. Engle R. y Granger, C.W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276. Fullerton, D. (1980). On the possibility of an inverse relationship between tax rates and government revenues. NBER working paper series, 19(467). Granger, C.W. y Newbold, P. (1974). Spurious regressions in econometrics. Journal of Econometrics, 2(2), 111-120. Guedes de O., F. y Costa, L. (2015). The VAT Laffer Curve and the business cycle in the EU27: An empirical approach. Journal of Economic Issues, 20(2), 29-43. Hsing, Y. (1996). Estimating the Laffer Curve and policy implications. Journal of Socio-Economics, 25(3), 395-401. Kalmarzi, H. y Mousavi, M. (2014). An estimation of Laffer Curve in Iran: A non-linear approach. Iranian Journal of Economic Studies, 3(1), 43-59. Karas, M. (2012). Tax rate to maximize the revenue: Laffer curve for the Czech Republic. Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, 60(4), 189-194. Laffer, A. (1978). An equilibrium rational macroeconomic framework. En N. Mirakami y R. Day (eds.), Economic Issues of the eighties. Baltimore, Johns Hopkins University Press. Laffer, A. y Seymur, J. (1979). The economics of the tax revolt: A reader. Nueva York: Harcourt Brace Javanovich. Laffer, A. (2004). The Laffer Curve: Past, present, and future. Heritage Foundation Backgrounder. No. 1765. Lindsey, L. (1986). Individual taxpayer response to tax cuts 1982-1984 with implications for the revenue maximizing tax rate. NBER working paper series, 19(33). Lozano, I., y Arias, F. (2018). Curvas Laffer de la tributación en Colombia. Borradores de Economía 1045. Lozano, I., y Arias, F. (2019). How do the tax burden and the fiscal space in Latin America look like? Evidence through Laffer Curves. Borradores de Economía 1117. Nutahara, K. (2015). Laffer curves in Japan. Journal of The Japanese and International Economies, 36, 56-72. Phillips, P. (1986). Understanding spuriors regressions in econometrics. Journal of Econometrics, 33(3)11-340. Phillips, P., y Hansen, B. E. (1990). Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I(1) processes. Review of Economic Studies, 57(1), 99-125. Phillips, P. y Ouliaris, S. (1990). Asymptotic properties of residual based tests for cointegration. Econometrica, 58(1), 165-193. Phillips, P. y Loretan, M. (1991). Estimating long-run economic equilibria. Review of Economic Studies, 58(3), 407-436. Saikkonen, P. (1991). Asymptotically efficient estimation of cointegration regressions. Econometric Theory, 7(1), 1-21. Sidrauski, M. (1967). Rational choice and patterns of growth in a monetary economy. The American Economic Review, 57(2), 534-544. Sidrauski, M. (1967). Inflation and economic growth. Journal of Political Economy, 75(6), 796-810. Stock, J. y Watson, M. (1989). Interpreting the evidence on moneyincome causality. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1), 161-181. Stock, J. y Watson, M. (1993). A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems. Econometrica, 61(4), 783-820. Stuart, C. (1981). Swedish tax rates labor supply and tax revenues. Journal of Political Economy, 89(5), 1020-1038. Uhlig, H. (1995). A toolkit for analyzing nonlinear dynamic stochastic models easily. Discussion paper 1091, Minneapolis, MN: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Walsh, C. (2010). Monetary theory and policy. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.Juan Pablo Herrera Saavedra, Juan Camilo Villar Otalora, Jacobo Campo Robledo - 2022info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0.http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/view/7960Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rateC23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30Curva de Laffer, ingreso fiscal, impuesto óptimo; incidencia fiscal en los mercados; tasa de tributaciónC23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30Laffer Curve; tax income; optimal tax; tax incidence in markets; tax rateC23, D72, E13, E62, H20, H30Tributación en Colombia: Aproximación teórica y empírica de la curva de LafferTaxation in Colombia: Theoretical and empirical approximation of the Laffer CurveArtículo de revistahttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Textinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleJournal articlehttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ARTREFinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionPublicationOREORE.xmltext/xml2658https://bdigital.uexternado.edu.co/bitstreams/4d1fd284-802b-4233-89ac-61b835901f3f/download1e1ec7736af7f616948368ac156ae8ddMD51001/12299oai:bdigital.uexternado.edu.co:001/122992023-08-14 15:00:45.143http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0Juan Pablo Herrera Saavedra, Juan Camilo Villar Otalora, Jacobo Campo Robledo - 2022https://bdigital.uexternado.edu.coUniversidad Externado de Colombiametabiblioteca@metabiblioteca.org