COVID-19 and Italy: what next?
The spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has already taken on pandemic proportions, affecting over 100 countries in a matter of weeks. A global response to prepare health systems worldwide is imperative. Although containment measures in China have reduced new cases...
- Autores:
- Tipo de recurso:
- Article of investigation
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2020
- Institución:
- Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
- Repositorio:
- Expeditio: repositorio UTadeo
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co:20.500.12010/12555
- Acceso en línea:
- https://doi.org/10.1016/
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/12555
- Palabra clave:
- COVID-19
Italy
Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Coronavirus
- Rights
- License
- Acceso restringido
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repository_id_str |
|
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
COVID-19 and Italy: what next? |
title |
COVID-19 and Italy: what next? |
spellingShingle |
COVID-19 and Italy: what next? COVID-19 Italy Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus |
title_short |
COVID-19 and Italy: what next? |
title_full |
COVID-19 and Italy: what next? |
title_fullStr |
COVID-19 and Italy: what next? |
title_full_unstemmed |
COVID-19 and Italy: what next? |
title_sort |
COVID-19 and Italy: what next? |
dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv |
COVID-19 Italy |
topic |
COVID-19 Italy Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus |
dc.subject.lemb.spa.fl_str_mv |
Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus |
description |
The spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has already taken on pandemic proportions, affecting over 100 countries in a matter of weeks. A global response to prepare health systems worldwide is imperative. Although containment measures in China have reduced new cases by more than 90%, this reduction is not the case elsewhere, and Italy has been particularly affected. There is now grave concern regarding the Italian national health system’s capacity to effectively respond to the needs of patients who are infected and require intensive care for SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. The percentage of patients in intensive care reported daily in Italy between March 1 and March 11, 2020, has consistently been between 9% and 11% of patients who are actively infected. The number of patients infected since Feb 21 in Italy closely follows an exponential trend. If this trend continues for 1 more week, there will be 30000 infected patients. Intensive care units will then be at maximum capacity; up to 4000 hospital beds will be needed by mid-April, 2020. Our analysis might help political leaders and health authorities to allocate enough resources, including personnel, beds, and intensive care facilities, to manage the situation in the next few days and weeks. If the Italian outbreak follows a similar trend as in Hubei province, China, the number of newly infected patients could start to decrease within 3–4 days, departing from the exponential trend. However, this cannot currently be predicted because of differences between social distancing measures and the capacity to quickly build dedicated facilities in China. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-09-01T16:53:08Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-09-01T16:53:08Z |
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv |
2020 |
dc.type.local.spa.fl_str_mv |
Artículo |
dc.type.coar.spa.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1 |
format |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1 |
dc.identifier.issn.spa.fl_str_mv |
S0140-6736 |
dc.identifier.other.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.1016/ |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/12555 |
dc.identifier.doi.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.1016/ |
identifier_str_mv |
S0140-6736 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/ http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/12555 |
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_f1cf |
dc.rights.local.spa.fl_str_mv |
Acceso restringido |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Acceso restringido http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_f1cf |
dc.format.extent.spa.fl_str_mv |
4 páginas |
dc.format.mimetype.spa.fl_str_mv |
image/jepg |
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv |
The Lancet |
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL instname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano |
instname_str |
Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano |
institution |
Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano |
reponame_str |
Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL |
collection |
Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL |
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spelling |
2020-09-01T16:53:08Z2020-09-01T16:53:08Z2020S0140-6736https://doi.org/10.1016/http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/12555https://doi.org/10.1016/The spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has already taken on pandemic proportions, affecting over 100 countries in a matter of weeks. A global response to prepare health systems worldwide is imperative. Although containment measures in China have reduced new cases by more than 90%, this reduction is not the case elsewhere, and Italy has been particularly affected. There is now grave concern regarding the Italian national health system’s capacity to effectively respond to the needs of patients who are infected and require intensive care for SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. The percentage of patients in intensive care reported daily in Italy between March 1 and March 11, 2020, has consistently been between 9% and 11% of patients who are actively infected. The number of patients infected since Feb 21 in Italy closely follows an exponential trend. If this trend continues for 1 more week, there will be 30000 infected patients. Intensive care units will then be at maximum capacity; up to 4000 hospital beds will be needed by mid-April, 2020. Our analysis might help political leaders and health authorities to allocate enough resources, including personnel, beds, and intensive care facilities, to manage the situation in the next few days and weeks. If the Italian outbreak follows a similar trend as in Hubei province, China, the number of newly infected patients could start to decrease within 3–4 days, departing from the exponential trend. However, this cannot currently be predicted because of differences between social distancing measures and the capacity to quickly build dedicated facilities in China.4 páginasimage/jepgengThe Lancetreponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo LozanoCOVID-19ItalySíndrome respiratorio agudo graveCOVID-19SARS-CoV-2CoronavirusCOVID-19 and Italy: what next?Artículohttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1Acceso restringidohttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_f1cfRemuzzi, AndreaRemuzzi, GiuseppeTHUMBNAILCaptura.PNGCaptura.PNGPortadaimage/png179430https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/12555/4/Captura.PNG453ee9d01196c4abeec281ca19da6b68MD54open accessCOVID-19-and-Italy--what-next-_2020_The-Lancet.pdf.jpgCOVID-19-and-Italy--what-next-_2020_The-Lancet.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg14974https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/12555/5/COVID-19-and-Italy--what-next-_2020_The-Lancet.pdf.jpga231fc663dc413370def53d4b59a4396MD55open accessORIGINALCaptura.PNGCaptura.PNGVer portadaimage/png179430https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/12555/1/Captura.PNG453ee9d01196c4abeec281ca19da6b68MD51open accessCOVID-19-and-Italy--what-next-_2020_The-Lancet.pdfCOVID-19-and-Italy--what-next-_2020_The-Lancet.pdfArtículo reservadoapplication/pdf492885https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/12555/3/COVID-19-and-Italy--what-next-_2020_The-Lancet.pdfaf2198b4c31a3693e6d0476af2a29c62MD53embargoed access|||2200-09-01LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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