Piecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish population
We introduce a deterministic SEIR model and fit it to epidemiological data for the COVID-19 outbreak in Ireland. We couple the model to economic considerations — we formulate an optimal control problem in which the cost to the economy of the various non-pharmaceutical interventions is minimized, sub...
- Autores:
- Tipo de recurso:
- Article of investigation
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2020
- Institución:
- Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
- Repositorio:
- Expeditio: repositorio UTadeo
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co:20.500.12010/14670
- Palabra clave:
- SEIR model
Optimal control
Simulated annealing
Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Coronavirus
- Rights
- License
- Abierto (Texto Completo)
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oai_identifier_str |
oai:expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co:20.500.12010/14670 |
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UTADEO2 |
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Expeditio: repositorio UTadeo |
repository_id_str |
|
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
Piecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish population |
title |
Piecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish population |
spellingShingle |
Piecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish population SEIR model Optimal control Simulated annealing Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus |
title_short |
Piecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish population |
title_full |
Piecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish population |
title_fullStr |
Piecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish population |
title_full_unstemmed |
Piecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish population |
title_sort |
Piecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish population |
dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv |
SEIR model Optimal control Simulated annealing |
topic |
SEIR model Optimal control Simulated annealing Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus |
dc.subject.lemb.spa.fl_str_mv |
Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus |
description |
We introduce a deterministic SEIR model and fit it to epidemiological data for the COVID-19 outbreak in Ireland. We couple the model to economic considerations — we formulate an optimal control problem in which the cost to the economy of the various non-pharmaceutical interventions is minimized, subject to hospital admissions never exceeding a threshold value corresponding to health-service capacity. Within the framework of the model, the optimal strategy of disease control is revealed to be one of disease suppression, rather than disease mitigation. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-10-21T20:00:38Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-10-21T20:00:38Z |
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv |
2020 |
dc.type.local.spa.fl_str_mv |
Artículo |
dc.type.coar.spa.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1 |
format |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1 |
dc.identifier.issn.spa.fl_str_mv |
0025-5564 |
dc.identifier.other.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108496 |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/14670 |
dc.identifier.doi.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108496 |
identifier_str_mv |
0025-5564 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108496 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/14670 |
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
dc.rights.local.spa.fl_str_mv |
Abierto (Texto Completo) |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Abierto (Texto Completo) http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
dc.format.extent.spa.fl_str_mv |
12 páginas |
dc.format.mimetype.spa.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv |
Mathematical Biosciences |
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL instname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano |
instname_str |
Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano |
institution |
Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano |
reponame_str |
Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL |
collection |
Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL |
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv |
https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/14670/2/license.txt https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/14670/3/Piecewise-constant-optimal-control-strategies-for-controll_2020_Mathematical.pdf.jpg |
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv |
abceeb1c943c50d3343516f9dbfc110f f11546a9376d33c39af151fd5bee82f9 |
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv |
MD5 MD5 |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositorio Institucional - Universidad Jorge Tadeo Lozano |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
expeditio@utadeo.edu.co |
_version_ |
1814213495647895552 |
spelling |
2020-10-21T20:00:38Z2020-10-21T20:00:38Z20200025-5564https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108496http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/14670https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108496We introduce a deterministic SEIR model and fit it to epidemiological data for the COVID-19 outbreak in Ireland. We couple the model to economic considerations — we formulate an optimal control problem in which the cost to the economy of the various non-pharmaceutical interventions is minimized, subject to hospital admissions never exceeding a threshold value corresponding to health-service capacity. Within the framework of the model, the optimal strategy of disease control is revealed to be one of disease suppression, rather than disease mitigation.12 páginasapplication/pdfengMathematical Biosciencesreponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo LozanoSEIR modelOptimal controlSimulated annealingSíndrome respiratorio agudo graveCOVID-19SARS-CoV-2CoronavirusPiecewise-constant optimal control strategies for controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in the Irish populationArtículohttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1Abierto (Texto Completo)http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Náraigh, Lennon ÓByrne, ÁineLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82938https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/14670/2/license.txtabceeb1c943c50d3343516f9dbfc110fMD52open accessTHUMBNAILPiecewise-constant-optimal-control-strategies-for-controll_2020_Mathematical.pdf.jpgPiecewise-constant-optimal-control-strategies-for-controll_2020_Mathematical.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg15750https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/14670/3/Piecewise-constant-optimal-control-strategies-for-controll_2020_Mathematical.pdf.jpgf11546a9376d33c39af151fd5bee82f9MD53open access20.500.12010/14670oai:expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co:20.500.12010/146702021-03-12 18:09:26.605metadata only accessRepositorio Institucional - Universidad Jorge Tadeo Lozanoexpeditio@utadeo.edu.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 |