Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats

In the last 20-30 years, technological innovation has enabled the advancement of industry at a global scale, giving rise to a truly global society, resting on an interdependent web of transnational technical, economic and social systems. These systems are exposed to scenarios of cascading outbreaks,...

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Autores:
Tipo de recurso:
Article of investigation
Fecha de publicación:
2020
Institución:
Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
Repositorio:
Expeditio: repositorio UTadeo
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co:20.500.12010/14550
Acceso en línea:
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107270
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/14550
Palabra clave:
Globalization and global risk
Risk analysis
Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Coronavirus
Rights
License
Abierto (Texto Completo)
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dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats
title Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats
spellingShingle Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats
Globalization and global risk
Risk analysis
Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Coronavirus
title_short Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats
title_full Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats
title_fullStr Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats
title_full_unstemmed Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats
title_sort Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats
dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv Globalization and global risk
Risk analysis
topic Globalization and global risk
Risk analysis
Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Coronavirus
dc.subject.lemb.spa.fl_str_mv Síndrome respiratorio agudo grave
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Coronavirus
description In the last 20-30 years, technological innovation has enabled the advancement of industry at a global scale, giving rise to a truly global society, resting on an interdependent web of transnational technical, economic and social systems. These systems are exposed to scenarios of cascading outbreaks, whose impacts can ripple to very large scales through their strong interdependencies, as recently shown by the pandemic spreading of the Coronavirus. Considerable work has been conducted in recent years to develop frameworks to support the assessment, communication, management and governance of this type of risk, building on concepts like systemic risks, complexity theory, deep uncertainties, resilience engineering, adaptive management and black swans. Yet contemporary risk analysis struggles to provide authoritative societal guidance for adequately handling these types of risks, as clearly illustrated by the Coronavirus case. In this paper, we reflect on this situation. We aim to identify critical challenges in current frameworks of risk assessment and management and point to ways to strengthen these, to be better able to confront threats like the Coronavirus in the future. A set of principles and theses are established, which have the potential to support a common foundation for the many different scientific perspectives and ‘schools’ currently dealing with risk handling issues.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2020-10-16T21:14:58Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2020-10-16T21:14:58Z
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv 2020
dc.type.local.spa.fl_str_mv Artículo
dc.type.coar.spa.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
format http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
dc.identifier.issn.spa.fl_str_mv 0951-8320
dc.identifier.other.spa.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107270
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/14550
dc.identifier.doi.spa.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107270
identifier_str_mv 0951-8320
url https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107270
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/14550
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.local.spa.fl_str_mv Abierto (Texto Completo)
rights_invalid_str_mv Abierto (Texto Completo)
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.format.extent.spa.fl_str_mv 21 páginas
dc.format.mimetype.spa.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Reliability Engineering and System Safety
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv reponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL
instname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
instname_str Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
institution Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
reponame_str Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL
collection Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/14550/3/Globalization-and-global-risk--How-risk-analysis-need_2020_Reliability-Engin.pdf.jpg
https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/14550/2/license.txt
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spelling 2020-10-16T21:14:58Z2020-10-16T21:14:58Z20200951-8320https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107270http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/14550https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107270In the last 20-30 years, technological innovation has enabled the advancement of industry at a global scale, giving rise to a truly global society, resting on an interdependent web of transnational technical, economic and social systems. These systems are exposed to scenarios of cascading outbreaks, whose impacts can ripple to very large scales through their strong interdependencies, as recently shown by the pandemic spreading of the Coronavirus. Considerable work has been conducted in recent years to develop frameworks to support the assessment, communication, management and governance of this type of risk, building on concepts like systemic risks, complexity theory, deep uncertainties, resilience engineering, adaptive management and black swans. Yet contemporary risk analysis struggles to provide authoritative societal guidance for adequately handling these types of risks, as clearly illustrated by the Coronavirus case. In this paper, we reflect on this situation. We aim to identify critical challenges in current frameworks of risk assessment and management and point to ways to strengthen these, to be better able to confront threats like the Coronavirus in the future. A set of principles and theses are established, which have the potential to support a common foundation for the many different scientific perspectives and ‘schools’ currently dealing with risk handling issues.21 páginasapplication/pdfengReliability Engineering and System Safetyreponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo LozanoGlobalization and global riskRisk analysisSíndrome respiratorio agudo graveCOVID-19SARS-CoV-2CoronavirusGlobalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threatsArtículohttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1Abierto (Texto Completo)http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Aven, TerjeZio, EnricoTHUMBNAILGlobalization-and-global-risk--How-risk-analysis-need_2020_Reliability-Engin.pdf.jpgGlobalization-and-global-risk--How-risk-analysis-need_2020_Reliability-Engin.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg9979https://expeditiorepositorio.utadeo.edu.co/bitstream/20.500.12010/14550/3/Globalization-and-global-risk--How-risk-analysis-need_2020_Reliability-Engin.pdf.jpgbbed182251a8affa2c305d0b1e0d2130MD53open accessLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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