Why have so many disinflations succeeded?

Why is that the achievements of some disinflations from low and moderate peaks are long-lived, whereas in others the gains in the inflationary front dissipate quickly? Based on an index of the sustainability of disinflations proposed in the paper, various competing explanations of what determines su...

Full description

Autores:
Hofstetter Gascón, Marc
Tipo de recurso:
Work document
Fecha de publicación:
2005
Institución:
Universidad de los Andes
Repositorio:
Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/7974
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/1992/7974
Palabra clave:
Disinflation
Monetary policy
Supply shocks
Inflation targeting
Exchange
Inflación - Modelos econométricos
Política monetaria
Control de precios
Equilibrio (Economía) - Modelos econométricos
E31, E32, E52, E58, F41
Rights
openAccess
License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description
Summary:Why is that the achievements of some disinflations from low and moderate peaks are long-lived, whereas in others the gains in the inflationary front dissipate quickly? Based on an index of the sustainability of disinflations proposed in the paper, various competing explanations of what determines sustainability are tested. Three factors, potentially at the top of the list of many researchers, are shown to be insignificant: oil shocks, fiscal policy and inflation targeting. Nevertheless, other important features such as the exchange rate regime, achieving a low inflation rate during the disinflation and food price shocks are shown to be important variables driving the sustainability records.