Agricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actors
This paper examines the effect of conflict on agricultural production of small farmers. First, an inter-temporal model of agricultural production is developed, in which the impact of conflict is transmitted through two channels: violent shocks and uncertainty brought about by conflict. The model sho...
- Autores:
-
Arias, María Alejandra
Ibáñez Londoño, Ana María
Zambrano Riveros, Jorge Andrés
- Tipo de recurso:
- Work document
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2014
- Institución:
- Universidad de los Andes
- Repositorio:
- Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/8452
- Acceso en línea:
- http://hdl.handle.net/1992/8452
- Palabra clave:
- Agricultural production
Conflict
Developing economies
Small-farmers
Uncertainty
Explotación agrícola en pequeña escala - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia
Producción agropecuaria - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia
Conflicto armado - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia
D13, D74, Q1
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
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Agricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actors |
| dc.title.alternative.none.fl_str_mv |
Producción agrícola en medio del conflicto: los efectos de los choques, la incertidumbre y la gobernabilidad de los actores armados al margen de la ley |
| title |
Agricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actors |
| spellingShingle |
Agricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actors Agricultural production Conflict Developing economies Small-farmers Uncertainty Explotación agrícola en pequeña escala - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia Producción agropecuaria - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia Conflicto armado - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia D13, D74, Q1 |
| title_short |
Agricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actors |
| title_full |
Agricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actors |
| title_fullStr |
Agricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actors |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Agricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actors |
| title_sort |
Agricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actors |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Arias, María Alejandra Ibáñez Londoño, Ana María Zambrano Riveros, Jorge Andrés |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Arias, María Alejandra Ibáñez Londoño, Ana María Zambrano Riveros, Jorge Andrés |
| dc.subject.keyword.none.fl_str_mv |
Agricultural production Conflict Developing economies Small-farmers Uncertainty |
| topic |
Agricultural production Conflict Developing economies Small-farmers Uncertainty Explotación agrícola en pequeña escala - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia Producción agropecuaria - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia Conflicto armado - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia D13, D74, Q1 |
| dc.subject.armarc.none.fl_str_mv |
Explotación agrícola en pequeña escala - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia Producción agropecuaria - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia Conflicto armado - Aspectos socioeconómicos - Colombia |
| dc.subject.jel.none.fl_str_mv |
D13, D74, Q1 |
| description |
This paper examines the effect of conflict on agricultural production of small farmers. First, an inter-temporal model of agricultural production is developed, in which the impact of conflict is transmitted through two channels: violent shocks and uncertainty brought about by conflict. The model shows how conflict induces sub-optimal agricultural decisions in terms of land use and investment. We test the model using a unique household survey applied to 4,800 households in four micro-regions of Colombia. The survey collects detailed information on household economic conditions, incidence of violent shocks, and the presence of non-state armed actors. The results show that conflict affects agricultural production through different channels. In regions with intense conflict, households reduce the amount of land allocated to perennial crops, increase production of seasonal crops, and cut back investments. Households seem to learn to live amid conflict. Recent presence of non-state armed actors induces farmers strongly to cut back land use for perennial crops, pasture, and investments. As presence is more prolonged, farmers increase land use for pasture and investments rebound. However, total agricultural production may be lower because shocks and presence result in more land being idle. Households habituate to conflict, yet at a lower equilibrium. |
| publishDate |
2014 |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2014 |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2018-09-27T16:53:19Z |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2018-09-27T16:53:19Z |
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Documento de trabajo |
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http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042 |
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Text |
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https://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/WP |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042 |
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1657-5334 |
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http://hdl.handle.net/1992/8452 |
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1657-7191 |
| dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
10.57784/1992/8452 |
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instname:Universidad de los Andes |
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reponame:Repositorio Institucional Séneca |
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repourl:https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/ |
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1657-5334 1657-7191 10.57784/1992/8452 instname:Universidad de los Andes reponame:Repositorio Institucional Séneca repourl:https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/ |
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http://hdl.handle.net/1992/8452 |
| dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
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eng |
| dc.relation.ispartofseries.none.fl_str_mv |
Documentos CEDE No. 08 Febrero de 2014 |
| dc.relation.repec.SPA.fl_str_mv |
https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/011005.html |
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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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openAccess |
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46 páginas |
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application/pdf |
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Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE |
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Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE |
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Universidad de los Andes |
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Al consultar y hacer uso de este recurso, está aceptando las condiciones de uso establecidas por los autores.http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Arias, María Alejandra5fbf9327-c1d4-4242-8b38-3dba692319c2600Ibáñez Londoño, Ana María8766600Zambrano Riveros, Jorge Andrés110616002018-09-27T16:53:19Z2018-09-27T16:53:19Z20141657-5334http://hdl.handle.net/1992/84521657-719110.57784/1992/8452instname:Universidad de los Andesreponame:Repositorio Institucional Sénecarepourl:https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/This paper examines the effect of conflict on agricultural production of small farmers. First, an inter-temporal model of agricultural production is developed, in which the impact of conflict is transmitted through two channels: violent shocks and uncertainty brought about by conflict. The model shows how conflict induces sub-optimal agricultural decisions in terms of land use and investment. We test the model using a unique household survey applied to 4,800 households in four micro-regions of Colombia. The survey collects detailed information on household economic conditions, incidence of violent shocks, and the presence of non-state armed actors. The results show that conflict affects agricultural production through different channels. In regions with intense conflict, households reduce the amount of land allocated to perennial crops, increase production of seasonal crops, and cut back investments. Households seem to learn to live amid conflict. Recent presence of non-state armed actors induces farmers strongly to cut back land use for perennial crops, pasture, and investments. As presence is more prolonged, farmers increase land use for pasture and investments rebound. However, total agricultural production may be lower because shocks and presence result in more land being idle. Households habituate to conflict, yet at a lower equilibrium.Este trabajo analiza el efecto del conflicto en la producción agrícola de los pequeños agricultores. Primero desarrollamos un modelo intertemporal de producción agrícola, en donde el impacto del conflicto se transmite a través de dos canales: choques violentos e incertidumbre generada por el conflicto. El modelo muestra cómo el conflicto induce decisiones agrícolas sub-óptimas en términos de uso de la tierra y la inversión. Las predicciones del modelo son evaluadas usando una encuesta de hogares aplicada a 4.800 hogares en cuatro micro-regiones de Colombia. La encuesta recoge información detallada sobre las condiciones económicas de los hogares, la incidencia de los choques violentos y la presencia de actores armados al margen de la ley. En las regiones con un intenso conflicto, los hogares reducen la cantidad de tierra asignada a los cultivos permanentes, aumentan la producción de cultivos transitorios, y disminuyen las inversiones. Los hogares parecen aprender a vivir en medio del conflicto. La presencia reciente de los actores armados al margen de la ley induce a los agricultores a reducir fuertemente el uso del suelo para los cultivos permanentes y pastos, y a disminuir las inversiones. Cuando la presencia es más prolongada, los agricultores incrementan el uso del suelo para pastos y las inversiones se recuperan. Sin embargo, la producción agrícola total puede ser menor debido a que los choques y una mayor presencia llevan a tener más tierra inactiva. Los hogares se habitúan al conflicto, sin embargo, en un equilibrio más bajo.46 páginasapplication/pdfengUniversidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDEDocumentos CEDE No. 08 Febrero de 2014https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/011005.htmlAgricultural production amid conflict: the effects of shocks, uncertainty, and governance of non-state armed actorsProducción agrícola en medio del conflicto: los efectos de los choques, la incertidumbre y la gobernabilidad de los actores armados al margen de la leyDocumento de trabajoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Texthttps://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/WPAgricultural productionConflictDeveloping economiesSmall-farmersUncertaintyExplotación agrícola en pequeña escala - Aspectos socioeconómicos - ColombiaProducción agropecuaria - Aspectos socioeconómicos - ColombiaConflicto armado - Aspectos socioeconómicos - ColombiaD13, D74, Q1Facultad de EconomíaPublicationORIGINALdcede2014-08.pdfdcede2014-08.pdfapplication/pdf712752https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/1eb96b4f-2470-43f4-a7f2-f22c57ce638d/download037741a9d4c7c3302be0b8acc6008261MD51TEXTdcede2014-08.pdf.txtdcede2014-08.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain128330https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/450d403f-fe60-454a-ab46-5f76b88f9272/downloaddf0c38599fbe5c6954ad51a427aa1b01MD54THUMBNAILdcede2014-08.pdf.jpgdcede2014-08.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg10045https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/1c816181-7a08-4441-89da-a5778f69dafe/download0ffe8125027b1d36c982442d12c9518fMD551992/8452oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/84522024-06-04 15:32:20.982http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/open.accesshttps://repositorio.uniandes.edu.coRepositorio institucional Sénecaadminrepositorio@uniandes.edu.co |