Risk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework

This thesis presents a framework for risk-informed decision support for infrastructure networks operation, referred to as the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework. CoDAN has been designed to recognize and model infrastructure systems as the result of interacting physical, natural, and...

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Autores:
Gómez Castro, Camilo Hernando
Tipo de recurso:
Doctoral thesis
Fecha de publicación:
2014
Institución:
Universidad de los Andes
Repositorio:
Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/7819
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/1992/7819
Palabra clave:
Análisis de sistemas - Investigaciones
Análisis cluster - Investigaciones
Toma de decisiones - Investigaciones
Redes de información - Investigaciones
Ingeniería
Rights
openAccess
License
https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/static/pdf/aceptacion_uso_es.pdf
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dc.title.es_CO.fl_str_mv Risk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework
title Risk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework
spellingShingle Risk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework
Análisis de sistemas - Investigaciones
Análisis cluster - Investigaciones
Toma de decisiones - Investigaciones
Redes de información - Investigaciones
Ingeniería
title_short Risk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework
title_full Risk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework
title_fullStr Risk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework
title_full_unstemmed Risk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework
title_sort Risk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Gómez Castro, Camilo Hernando
dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv Dueñas Osorio, Leonardo Augusto
Song, Junho
Agarwal, Jitendra
Baker, Jack
Sánchez Silva, Edgar Mauricio
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv Gómez Castro, Camilo Hernando
dc.subject.keyword.es_CO.fl_str_mv Análisis de sistemas - Investigaciones
Análisis cluster - Investigaciones
Toma de decisiones - Investigaciones
Redes de información - Investigaciones
topic Análisis de sistemas - Investigaciones
Análisis cluster - Investigaciones
Toma de decisiones - Investigaciones
Redes de información - Investigaciones
Ingeniería
dc.subject.themes.none.fl_str_mv Ingeniería
description This thesis presents a framework for risk-informed decision support for infrastructure networks operation, referred to as the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework. CoDAN has been designed to recognize and model infrastructure systems as the result of interacting physical, natural, and social systems, and is built upon the following principles: - different decision problems occur at different system description, or resolution, levels; - decentralization schemes respond to each specific system and problem; - control processes are embraced by distributed decision units to maintain and improve network indicators of performance and risk; and - socio-economic and organizational aspects affect infrastructure performance as much as technical aspects. To operationalize the stated principles, CoDAN is comprised of the three following phases: - Phase I ("Knowing the system") explores network properties (e.g., relative importance of network components) and embraces a human-machine interactive process to define relevant sub-systems in the context of a decision problem, supported on supervised and unsupervised clustering algorithms; - Phase II ("Who's in charge") develops resource allocation models in terms of subsystems, signaling which of those are appropriate for autonomous use of resources in the context of problems such as maintenance or disaster relief throughout the network; - Phase III ("Behavior under control") defines agents associated to key decision problems of autonomous sub-systems, and provides them with the capabilities to control variables of interest (e.g., connectivity, flow reliability) and pursue a target system state
publishDate 2014
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2014
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2018-09-27T16:39:18Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2018-09-27T16:39:18Z
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv Trabajo de grado - Doctorado
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dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/1992/7819
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.57784/1992/7819
dc.identifier.pdf.none.fl_str_mv u686795.pdf
dc.identifier.instname.spa.fl_str_mv instname:Universidad de los Andes
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dc.publisher.es_CO.fl_str_mv Uniandes
dc.publisher.program.es_CO.fl_str_mv Doctorado en Ingeniería
dc.publisher.faculty.es_CO.fl_str_mv Facultad de Ingeniería
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spelling Al consultar y hacer uso de este recurso, está aceptando las condiciones de uso establecidas por los autores.https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/static/pdf/aceptacion_uso_es.pdfinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Dueñas Osorio, Leonardo Augusto83bdbe2a-1d2f-45c0-a301-9922578af7e7500Song, Junhoe0376f57-6c17-41d8-99d4-d7442e2b12c6500Agarwal, Jitendra2678548d-a7f4-4a4f-ac43-fea47ed79399500Baker, Jackd6f79eb4-5713-410c-ac53-f0d8b16880a1500Sánchez Silva, Edgar Mauriciovirtual::11930-1Gómez Castro, Camilo Hernando112464002018-09-27T16:39:18Z2018-09-27T16:39:18Z2014http://hdl.handle.net/1992/781910.57784/1992/7819u686795.pdfinstname:Universidad de los Andesreponame:Repositorio Institucional Sénecarepourl:https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/This thesis presents a framework for risk-informed decision support for infrastructure networks operation, referred to as the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) framework. CoDAN has been designed to recognize and model infrastructure systems as the result of interacting physical, natural, and social systems, and is built upon the following principles: - different decision problems occur at different system description, or resolution, levels; - decentralization schemes respond to each specific system and problem; - control processes are embraced by distributed decision units to maintain and improve network indicators of performance and risk; and - socio-economic and organizational aspects affect infrastructure performance as much as technical aspects. To operationalize the stated principles, CoDAN is comprised of the three following phases: - Phase I ("Knowing the system") explores network properties (e.g., relative importance of network components) and embraces a human-machine interactive process to define relevant sub-systems in the context of a decision problem, supported on supervised and unsupervised clustering algorithms; - Phase II ("Who's in charge") develops resource allocation models in terms of subsystems, signaling which of those are appropriate for autonomous use of resources in the context of problems such as maintenance or disaster relief throughout the network; - Phase III ("Behavior under control") defines agents associated to key decision problems of autonomous sub-systems, and provides them with the capabilities to control variables of interest (e.g., connectivity, flow reliability) and pursue a target system statePhase III is further divided into three modules. - first, the modeling module describes deterioration and shocks across a set of sub-networks that are associated to key decision problems; - second, the assessment module estimates current and future indicators of performance and risk in the network based on state-of-the-art algorithms (e.g., for reliability computation); - and third, the intervention module supports (sub)-optimal decisions about maintenance actions to maintain and improve performance or recover from disrupting events. The integration of CoDAN Phases enables the construction and use of an agentbased model in which decisions and policy about infrastructure can be studied. Subsystems (found in Phase I) act in a decentralized yet coordinated way (defined in Phase II) to execute local control processes (devised in Phase III) aimed at maintaining performance and service levels in a cost-effective way. Agents represent decision-makers in key sub-systems whose behavior depends on aging, hazards, and maintenance actions defined by the agents. Thus, the overall behavior of infrastructure networks is the result of physical processes, natural events, and interrelated decisions from multiple parties. These concepts are discussed, implemented, and illustrated with several examples throughout the document and a step-by-step analysis of the Chilean electricity supply system and its recovery after the 2010 earthquake using the CoDAN framework. The implementation and quantitative analysis of the CoDAN framework provide evidence of the benefits in terms of decision-support and computational efficiency of detecting relevant sub-systems in infrastructure and incorporating such information into optimal resource allocation problems, as well as into performance assessment and optimal maintenance scheduling problems, as demonstrated through the case study of the Chilean networkThe distributed analysis of infrastructure networks provides insight about the effects of local decisions on global behavior, while enabling the analysis of sub-systems of tractable size. CoDAN's socio-technical modeling of infrastructure networks opens many possibilities for future work, aimed at exploring different decision-making settings, including cooperative/competitive parties, inefficient or corrupt entities, principal-agent models that capture regulatory policies, among others. Moreover, because of CoDAN's modularity, several extensions and improvements can be pursued, namely: devising formal large-scale and multi-objective approaches to complement the optimization in the intervention module; incorporating more sophisticated and efficient models for progressive deterioration and shocks, which fit specific realistic scenarios; expand the scope of the risk management problem beyond reliability (e.g., integrate robustness, resiliency, consequence analysis). Finally, a catalogue of realistic case studies for validation and adjustment of CoDAN modules is to be developed, which will allow to devise practical guides to use CoDAN and provide reference for further researchDoctor en IngenieríaDoctorado164 hojasapplication/pdfengUniandesDoctorado en IngenieríaFacultad de Ingenieríainstname:Universidad de los Andesreponame:Repositorio Institucional SénecaRisk-informed decision support for infrastructure network operation - the Complex Distributed Agent Network (CoDAN) frameworkTrabajo de grado - Doctoradoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesishttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Texthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TDAnálisis de sistemas - InvestigacionesAnálisis cluster - InvestigacionesToma de decisiones - InvestigacionesRedes de información - InvestigacionesIngenieríaPublicationhttps://scholar.google.es/citations?user=0qgd0wkAAAAJvirtual::11930-10000-0002-3626-6690virtual::11930-1https://scienti.minciencias.gov.co/cvlac/visualizador/generarCurriculoCv.do?cod_rh=0000076813virtual::11930-124c11e3d-0ed1-4dc6-8d0f-47041642d01fvirtual::11930-124c11e3d-0ed1-4dc6-8d0f-47041642d01fvirtual::11930-1THUMBNAILu686795.pdf.jpgu686795.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg18393https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/0f76a5ea-8821-4f77-8374-e3be50ff1f82/download971d08ab89bf5426918f0e7c6e782b71MD55TEXTu686795.pdf.txtu686795.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain362280https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/d6cc7da3-d769-4c2d-a1d6-313fd1edb5a6/downloadcf482be2b1b2e2b49216953953a6204fMD54ORIGINALu686795.pdfapplication/pdf4114270https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/19fc5371-853a-43a9-9fb8-8130e69a2d08/download6adb6f79470d81aafd3063130b5e78e5MD511992/7819oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/78192024-08-26 15:25:20.028https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/static/pdf/aceptacion_uso_es.pdfopen.accesshttps://repositorio.uniandes.edu.coRepositorio institucional Sénecaadminrepositorio@uniandes.edu.co