Disinflations in Latin America and the Caribbean: a free lunch?

This paper challenges the conventional view according to which disinflations in Latin America -even from low and moderate peaks- have been carried out at no cost to output. After suggesting a new methodology that overcomes some of the shortcomings of the traditional methods used to measure the costs...

Full description

Autores:
Hofstetter Gascón, Marc
Tipo de recurso:
Work document
Fecha de publicación:
2006
Institución:
Universidad de los Andes
Repositorio:
Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/7978
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/1992/7978
Palabra clave:
Inflation
Growth
Disinflation costs
Sacrifice ratios
Latin America
Inflación - América Latina - Modelos econométricos
Política monetaria - América Latina
Crecimiento económico - América Latina
E00, E31, E32, E52, F43
Rights
openAccess
License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description
Summary:This paper challenges the conventional view according to which disinflations in Latin America -even from low and moderate peaks- have been carried out at no cost to output. After suggesting a new methodology that overcomes some of the shortcomings of the traditional methods used to measure the costs of disinflations, large sacrifice ratios are obtained for the 1970s and 80s. While the disinflation costs for the 90s remain negative, it is shown that an unusual combination of circumstances -i.e., factors related to capital inflows, structural reforms, and the peculiar recent inflation history- can explain this fortunate result.