Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality
Códigos JEL: K14, K38, K42, I18
- Autores:
-
Marín Llanes, Lucas
Zuleta González, Hernando
- Tipo de recurso:
- Work document
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2022
- Institución:
- Universidad de los Andes
- Repositorio:
- Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/59326
- Acceso en línea:
- http://hdl.handle.net/1992/59326
- Palabra clave:
- Illicit drugs
Decriminalization
Drug policy reform
Consumption drug-related deaths
Homicides
Drogas ilícitas
Descriminalización
Reforma a la política de drogas
Muertes relacionadas con consumo
Homicidios
Economía
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
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Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality |
| title |
Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality |
| spellingShingle |
Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality Illicit drugs Decriminalization Drug policy reform Consumption drug-related deaths Homicides Drogas ilícitas Descriminalización Reforma a la política de drogas Muertes relacionadas con consumo Homicidios Economía |
| title_short |
Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality |
| title_full |
Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality |
| title_fullStr |
Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality |
| title_sort |
Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortality |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Marín Llanes, Lucas Zuleta González, Hernando |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Marín Llanes, Lucas Zuleta González, Hernando |
| dc.subject.keyword.none.fl_str_mv |
Illicit drugs Decriminalization Drug policy reform Consumption drug-related deaths Homicides Drogas ilícitas Descriminalización Reforma a la política de drogas Muertes relacionadas con consumo Homicidios |
| topic |
Illicit drugs Decriminalization Drug policy reform Consumption drug-related deaths Homicides Drogas ilícitas Descriminalización Reforma a la política de drogas Muertes relacionadas con consumo Homicidios Economía |
| dc.subject.themes.es_CO.fl_str_mv |
Economía |
| description |
Códigos JEL: K14, K38, K42, I18 |
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2022 |
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2022-07-28T21:32:30Z |
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2022-07-28T21:32:30Z |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-07 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper |
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1657-7191 |
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http://hdl.handle.net/1992/59326 |
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10.57784/1992/59326 |
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1657-7191 10.57784/1992/59326 |
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http://hdl.handle.net/1992/59326 |
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eng |
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eng |
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Documentos CEDE;2022-28 |
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https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/020328.html |
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40 páginas |
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application/pdf |
| dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv |
Universidad de los Andes |
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Facultad de Economía |
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Universidad de los Andes |
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Marín Llanes, Lucasf55d03be-4f89-4dfb-a83e-b12bdb693d26600Zuleta González, Hernando110526002022-07-28T21:32:30Z2022-07-28T21:32:30Z2022-071657-7191http://hdl.handle.net/1992/5932610.57784/1992/59326Códigos JEL: K14, K38, K42, I18There is scarce empirical evidence on the impacts of drug consumption decriminalization, especially, on problematic drug use and violence. In 2001, Portugal decriminalized the consumption of all illicit drugs. In this paper, we focus on determining the short, medium, and long-term impact of Portuguese decriminalization on mortality due to drug use and homicides, from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. We model drug consumption using an intertemporal consumption model and the decisions of trafficking firms to gain market share employing an optimization model. Our results suggest a non-linear effect of decriminalization on drug consumption risk and increasing incentives for firms to expand their market share employing violence after decriminalization. Empirically, we estimate a negative short-run effect on drug-related deaths and null long-run impacts of this legal reform. In terms of homicides, we find a positive effects in a range of 28.7%-34.2% in the medium- and long-term.La evidencia frente a los impactos de la descriminalización del consumo de drogas es escaza, especialmente en cuanto al consumo problemático de estas sustancias y en violencia. En 2001, Portugal descriminalizó el consumo de todas las sustancias ilícitas. En este artículo determinamos, teórica y empíricamente, los efectos de corto, mediano y largo plazo de la descriminalización en Portugal en la mortalidad asociada al consumo de drogas y homicidios. Modelamos el consumo de drogas con un modelo dinámico y las decisiones de las firmas vendedoras de sustancias a través de un modelo de optimización. Nuestros resultados sugieren un efecto no lineal de la descriminalización en el riesgo asociado al consumo y un aumento en los incentivos que tienen las firmas para aumentar su poder de mercado por medio de métodos violentos. Empíricamente, estimamos un efecto negativo de corto plazo de la descriminalización en muertes relacionadas con el consumo de sustancias y, en el largo plazo, el efecto es estadísticamente igual a cero. En el caso de los homicidios, encontramos que la descriminalización aumentó este indicador en 28.7% y 34.2% en el mediano y largo plazo, respectivamente.40 páginasapplication/pdfengUniversidad de los AndesFacultad de EconomíaDocumentos CEDE;2022-28https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/020328.htmlhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Myths of drug consumption decriminalization: effects of Portuguese decriminalization on violent and drug use mortalityDocumento de trabajoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Texthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/WPIllicit drugsDecriminalizationDrug policy reformConsumption drug-related deathsHomicidesDrogas ilícitasDescriminalizaciónReforma a la política de drogasMuertes relacionadas con consumoHomicidiosEconomíaPublicationTHUMBNAILdcede2022-28.pdf.jpgdcede2022-28.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg21156https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/48668aaa-755b-4f1b-a465-92ce61fcacd2/download6295c82fd33489bc961e107b25f33e31MD54ORIGINALdcede2022-28.pdfdcede2022-28.pdfapplication/pdf11436773https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/6203cdb2-660a-47ca-b704-40b4f780bbce/downloadc4226a2f82e8a489f6cdb1204b140887MD52TEXTdcede2022-28.pdf.txtdcede2022-28.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain79548https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/dd3c6948-5682-4f6c-b6c7-86c2fcd9c2a5/download30b67eb102f20c2c41d1996af2ee914cMD53LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81810https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/27085d61-d4af-4699-8c07-587ebbb994d2/download5aa5c691a1ffe97abd12c2966efcb8d6MD511992/59326oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/593262024-06-04 15:39:39.199http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/open.accesshttps://repositorio.uniandes.edu.coRepositorio institucional Sénecaadminrepositorio@uniandes.edu.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 |