Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in Colombia
Códigos JEL.: O13, O17, Q34, Q56, K42
- Autores:
-
Marín Llanes, Lucas
Fernández Sierra, Manuel
Vélez Lesmes, María Alejandra
Martínez González, Eduard
Murillo Sandoval, Paulo
- Tipo de recurso:
- Work document
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2024
- Institución:
- Universidad de los Andes
- Repositorio:
- Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/75108
- Acceso en línea:
- https://hdl.handle.net/1992/75108
- Palabra clave:
- Illicit economies
Economic growth
Coca cultivation
Deforestation
Colombia
Economía
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/static/pdf/aceptacion_uso_es.pdf
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Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in Colombia |
| title |
Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in Colombia |
| spellingShingle |
Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in Colombia Illicit economies Economic growth Coca cultivation Deforestation Colombia Economía |
| title_short |
Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in Colombia |
| title_full |
Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in Colombia |
| title_fullStr |
Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in Colombia |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in Colombia |
| title_sort |
Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in Colombia |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Marín Llanes, Lucas Fernández Sierra, Manuel Vélez Lesmes, María Alejandra Martínez González, Eduard Murillo Sandoval, Paulo |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Marín Llanes, Lucas Fernández Sierra, Manuel Vélez Lesmes, María Alejandra Martínez González, Eduard Murillo Sandoval, Paulo |
| dc.subject.keyword.none.fl_str_mv |
Illicit economies Economic growth Coca cultivation Deforestation Colombia |
| topic |
Illicit economies Economic growth Coca cultivation Deforestation Colombia Economía |
| dc.subject.themes.none.fl_str_mv |
Economía |
| description |
Códigos JEL.: O13, O17, Q34, Q56, K42 |
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2024 |
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2024-08-20T18:25:26Z |
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2024-08 |
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1657-7191 |
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https://hdl.handle.net/1992/75108 |
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1657-7191 |
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https://hdl.handle.net/1992/75108 |
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eng |
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eng |
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Documentos CEDE; 2024-31 |
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https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/021186.html |
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openAccess |
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63 páginas |
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application/pdf |
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Universidad de los Andes |
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Facultad de Economía |
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Universidad de los Andes |
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Marín Llanes, LucasFernández Sierra, ManuelVélez Lesmes, María AlejandraMartínez González, EduardMurillo Sandoval, Paulo2024-08-20T18:25:26Z2024-08-20T18:25:26Z2024-081657-7191https://hdl.handle.net/1992/75108Códigos JEL.: O13, O17, Q34, Q56, K42This study investigates the socio-economic effects of Colombia’s recent coca cultivation boom, exploiting municipal variations in production incentives following the 2014 announcement of the coca crop substitution program. Using a difference-in-differences strategy with satellite-derived night-time light data as a proxy for economic activity, we find that a one standard deviation increase in coca crops resulted in a 2.5% to 3.1% increase in municipality-level GDP. We also estimate local GDP multipliers, showing that each additional dollar from coca leaf and coca base sales raises GDP by $1.17 to $2.30 and $0.86 to $1.63, respectively. Although the coca boom did not significantly affect local fiscal revenues, violence indicators, or land used for agricultural production, it had substantial environmental impacts, with deforestation rates increasing by 104% and a 302% rise in land conversion from coca cultivation to cattle pastures in the Colombian Amazon. Our findings underscore the significance of illicit economies in providing short-term economic gains and acting as catalysts for economic activity.Este estudio investiga los efectos socioeconómicos del reciente auge en el cultivo de coca en Colombia, empleando las variaciones municipales en los incentivos de producción tras el anuncio en 2014 del programa de sustitución de cultivos de coca. Utilizando una estrategia de diferencia en diferencias y datos satelitales de luminosidad nocturna como proxy de la actividad económica, encontramos que un aumento de una desviación estándar en los cultivos de coca incrementó entre 2.5% y 3.1% el Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) a nivel municipal. También estimamos los multiplicadores del PIB local, mostrando que cada dólar adicional del valor producido de hoja de coca y base de coca aumenta el PIB entre $1.17 y $2.30 y entre $0.86 y $1.63, respectivamente. Aunque el auge de la coca no afectó significativamente los ingresos fiscales locales, los indicadores de violencia o las hectáreas de tierra utilizadas para la producción agrícola, tuvo impactos ambientales sustanciales, con un aumento del 104% en las tasas de deforestación y un incremento del 302% en el área transformada de cultivo de coca a pastos para ganado en la Amazonía colombiana. Nuestros hallazgos resaltan la importancia de las economías ilícitas en proporcionar ganancias económicas a corto plazo y actuar como catalizadores de la actividad económica.63 páginasapplication/pdfengUniversidad de los AndesFacultad de EconomíaDocumentos CEDE; 2024-31https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/021186.htmlhttps://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/static/pdf/aceptacion_uso_es.pdfinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Coca-Based Local Growth and Its Socio-Economic Impact in ColombiaDocumento de trabajoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Texthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/WPIllicit economiesEconomic growthCoca cultivationDeforestationColombiaEconomíaPublicationORIGINALdcede2024-31.pdfdcede2024-31.pdfapplication/pdf16576109https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/b6658ac6-6091-4017-8d5c-2b4054d69d4a/downloadabbf603960aafb8ebc56ac471b22e528MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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