Sacrifice Ratios and Inflation Targeting: The Role of Credibility

Two recent papers (Gonçalves and Carvalho, 2009; and Brito, 2010) hold contradictory views regarding the role of inflation targeting during periods of disinflation. The first paper claims that inflation targeting reduces sacrifice ratios¿i.e., the ratio of output losses to the change in trend inflat...

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Autores:
De Roux, Nicolás
Hofstetter, Marc
Tipo de recurso:
Work document
Fecha de publicación:
2012
Institución:
Universidad de los Andes
Repositorio:
Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/41017
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/1992/41017
Palabra clave:
Credibility
Disinflation
Inflation targeting
Monetary policy
Sacrifice ratios
E31, E32, E52, E58
Rights
openAccess
License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description
Summary:Two recent papers (Gonçalves and Carvalho, 2009; and Brito, 2010) hold contradictory views regarding the role of inflation targeting during periods of disinflation. The first paper claims that inflation targeting reduces sacrifice ratios¿i.e., the ratio of output losses to the change in trend inflation¿during disinflations; the second paper refutes this result. We show here that inflation targeting only matters if disinflations are slow. The credibility gains of a fast disinflation make inflation targeting irrelevant for reducing the output-inflation trade-off.