Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmission
This study investigates how temperature variability and larval competition influence Dengue transmission dynamics in systems where \textit{Aedes aegypti} and \textit{Aedes albopictus} coexist. We developed a deterministic model incorporating temperature-dependent parameters to analyze vector interac...
- Autores:
-
Villamil Chacón, Santiago Andrés
- Tipo de recurso:
- Trabajo de grado de pregrado
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2025
- Institución:
- Universidad de los Andes
- Repositorio:
- Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/75324
- Acceso en línea:
- https://hdl.handle.net/1992/75324
- Palabra clave:
- Vector competition
Dengue transmission dynamics
Temperature-dependent modeling
Aedes coexistence
Species invasion analysis
Biología
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International
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|
dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv |
Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmission |
title |
Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmission |
spellingShingle |
Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmission Vector competition Dengue transmission dynamics Temperature-dependent modeling Aedes coexistence Species invasion analysis Biología |
title_short |
Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmission |
title_full |
Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmission |
title_fullStr |
Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmission |
title_full_unstemmed |
Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmission |
title_sort |
Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmission |
dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Villamil Chacón, Santiago Andrés |
dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv |
Santos Vega, Oscar Mauricio |
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Villamil Chacón, Santiago Andrés |
dc.contributor.researchgroup.none.fl_str_mv |
Facultad de Ingeniería::Biología Matemática y Computacional Biomac |
dc.subject.keyword.eng.fl_str_mv |
Vector competition Dengue transmission dynamics Temperature-dependent modeling Aedes coexistence Species invasion analysis |
topic |
Vector competition Dengue transmission dynamics Temperature-dependent modeling Aedes coexistence Species invasion analysis Biología |
dc.subject.themes.spa.fl_str_mv |
Biología |
description |
This study investigates how temperature variability and larval competition influence Dengue transmission dynamics in systems where \textit{Aedes aegypti} and \textit{Aedes albopictus} coexist. We developed a deterministic model incorporating temperature-dependent parameters to analyze vector interactions across larval and adult stages, coupled with a SEIR framework for human infection dynamics. Using Pairwise Invasibility Plots, coexistence analysis, and infection peak assessment, we evaluated species invasion capability, population dynamics, and disease transmission patterns. Results showed that temperature enables \textit{Ae. albopictus} invasion even under high interspecific competition ($>$70\%), contrasting with its limited invasion capacity ($<$40\%) in temperature-independent conditions. Coexistence analysis demonstrated that temperature variability promotes balanced relative abundances between species, countering the typical \textit{Ae. aegypti} dominance observed in stable thermal conditions. Infection analysis revealed unexpected patterns, with highest infection peaks occurring in scenarios combining low larval competition for \textit{Ae. aegypti} with high competition for \textit{Ae. albopictus}. These findings challenge traditional assumptions about vector dominance in Dengue transmission and emphasize the importance of temperature-sensitive control strategies in regions where both species coexist under climate change conditions. |
publishDate |
2025 |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2025-01-10T14:57:29Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2025-01-10T14:57:29Z |
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2025-01-07 |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
Trabajo de grado - Pregrado |
dc.type.driver.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis |
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion |
dc.type.coar.none.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_7a1f |
dc.type.content.none.fl_str_mv |
Text |
dc.type.redcol.none.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TP |
format |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_7a1f |
status_str |
acceptedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
https://hdl.handle.net/1992/75324 |
dc.identifier.instname.none.fl_str_mv |
instname:Universidad de los Andes |
dc.identifier.reponame.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositorio Institucional Séneca |
dc.identifier.repourl.none.fl_str_mv |
repourl:https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/ |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/1992/75324 |
identifier_str_mv |
instname:Universidad de los Andes reponame:Repositorio Institucional Séneca repourl:https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/ |
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.references.none.fl_str_mv |
Gubler, D.J.: Human arbovirus infections worldwide. Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci. 951(1), 13–24 (2001). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.2001.tb02681.x CDC: Arbovirus Catalog - CDC Division of Vector-Borne Diseases (DVBD) — wwwn.cdc.gov (n.d). https://wwwn.cdc.gov/arbocat/VirusBrowser.aspx Instituto Nacional de Salud (INS): Semana epidemiol ́ogica 50. Bolet ́ın Epi- demiol ́ogico Semanal (1062) (2024). https://www.ins.gov.co/buscador-eventos/ BoletinEpidemiologico/2024 Boletin epidemiologico semana 50.pdf Pan American Health Organization (PAHO): Report on the epidemiological sit- uation of dengue in the americas (2024). https://www.paho.org/sites/default/ files/2024-12/2024-cde-dengue-sitrep-americas-epi-week-48-19-dec.pdf Carrasquilla, M.C., Ortiz, M.I., Le ́on, C., Rond ́on, S., Kulkarni, M.A., Talbot, B., Sander, B., V ́asquez, H., Cordovez, J.M., Gonz ́alez, C., RADAM-LAC Research Team: Entomological characterization of aedes mosquitoes and arbovirus detec- tion in ibagu ́e, a colombian city with co-circulation of zika, dengue and chikungunya viruses. Parasit. Vectors 14(1), 446 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1186/ s13071-021-04908-x Weetman, D., Kamgang, B., Badolo, A., Moyes, C., Shearer, F., Coulibaly, M., Pinto, J., Lambrechts, L., McCall, P.: Aedes mosquitoes and aedes-borne arboviruses in africa: Current and future threats. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 15(2), 220 (2018). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15020220 Merritt, R.W., Dadd, R.H., Walker, E.D.: Feeding behavior, natural food, and nutritional relationships of larval mosquitoes. Annu. Rev. Entomol. 37(1), 349– 374 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.en.37.010192.002025 Canyon, D.V., Hii, J.L.K., Muller, R.: The frequency of host biting and its effect on oviposition and survival in aedes aegypti (diptera: Culicidae). Bull. Entomol. Res. 89(1), 35–39 (1999). https://doi.org/10.1017/S000748539900005X Delatte, H., Desvars, A., Bou ́etard, A., Bord, S., Gimonneau, G., Vourc’h, G., Fontenille, D.: Blood-Feeding behavior ofaedes albopictus, a vector of chikun- gunya on la r ́eunion. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis. 10(3), 249–258 (2010). https: //doi.org/10.1089/vbz.2009.0026 Muhammad, N.A.F., Abu Kassim, N.F., Ab Majid, A.H., Abd Rahman, A., Dieng, H., Avicor, S.W.: Biting rhythm and demographic attributes of aedes albopictus (skuse) females from different urbanized settings in penang island, malaysia under uncontrolled laboratory conditions. PLoS One 15(11), 0241688 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0241688 Aneesh, D.E.M.A., Communicable Disease Research Laboratory, Department of Zoology, St. Josephs College, Irinjalakkuda.: Life cycle, bio-ecology and DNA barcoding of mosquitoes aedes aegypti (linnaeus) and aedes albopictus (skuse). J. Commun. Dis. 49(3), 32–41 (2017). https://doi.org/10.24321/0019.5138.201719 Faraji, A., Egizi, A., Fonseca, D.M., Unlu, I., Crepeau, T., Healy, S.P., Gau- gler, R.: Comparative host feeding patterns of the asian tiger mosquito, aedes albopictus, in urban and suburban northeastern USA and implications for dis- ease transmission. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 8(8), 3037 (2014). https://doi.org/10. 1371/journal.pntd.0003037 Rose, N.H., Sylla, M., Badolo, A., Lutomiah, J., Ayala, D., Aribodor, O.B., Ibe, N., Akorli, J., Otoo, S., Mutebi, J.-P., Kriete, A.L., Ewing, E.G., Sang, R., Gloria-Soria, A., Powell, J.R., Baker, R.E., White, B.J., Crawford, J.E., McBride, C.S.: Climate and urbanization drive mosquito preference for humans. Curr. Biol. 30(18), 3570–35796 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2020.06.092 NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information: Climate at a Glance — Global Time Series — National Centers for Environmental Informa- tion (NCEI) — ncei.noaa.gov. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/ climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series Rezza, G.: Aedes albopictus and the reemergence of dengue. BMC Public Health 12(1), 72 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-72 Brady, O.J., Johansson, M.A., Guerra, C.A., Bhatt, S., Golding, N., Pigott, D.M., Delatte, H., Grech, M.G., Leisnham, P.T., Maciel-de-Freitas, R., Styer, L.M., Smith, D.L., Scott, T.W., Gething, P.W., Hay, S.I.: Modelling adult aedes aegypti and aedes albopictus survival at different temperatures in laboratory and field settings. Parasit. Vectors 6(1), 351 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1186/ 1756-3305-6-351 Hamlet, A., Jean, K., Perea, W., Yactayo, S., Biey, J., Van Kerkhove, M., Fergu- son, N., Garske, T.: The seasonal influence of climate and environment on yellow fever transmission across africa. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 12(3), 0006284 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0006284 Ahebwa, A., Hii, J., Neoh, K.-B., Chareonviriyaphap, T.: Aedes aegypti and aedes albopictus (diptera: Culicidae) ecology, biology, behaviour, and implications on arbovirus transmission in thailand: Review. One Health 16(100555), 100555 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.onehlt.2023.100555 Mordecai, E.A., Cohen, J.M., Evans, M.V., Gudapati, P., Johnson, L.R., Lippi, C.A., Miazgowicz, K., Murdock, C.C., Rohr, J.R., Ryan, S.J., Savage, V., Shocket, M.S., Stewart Ibarra, A., Thomas, M.B., Weikel, D.P.: Detecting the impact of temperature on transmission of zika, dengue, and chikungunya using mechanistic models. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 11(4), 0005568 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1371/ journal.pntd.0005568 Zahid, M.H., Van Wyk, H., Morrison, A.C., Coloma, J., Lee, G.O., Cevallos, V., Ponce, P., Eisenberg, J.N.S.: The biting rate of aedes aegypti and its variability: A systematic review (1970-2022). PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 17(8), 0010831 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010831 Enduri, M.K., Jolad, S.: Dynamics of dengue disease with human and vector mobility. Spat. Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 25, 57–66 (2018). https://doi.org/10. 1016/j.sste.2018.03.001 Bhuju, G., Phaijoo, G.R., Gurung, D.B.: Fuzzy approach analyzing SEIR-SEI dengue dynamics. Biomed Res. Int. 2020, 1508613 (2020). https://doi.org/10. 1155/2020/1508613 Couret, J., Dotson, E., Benedict, M.Q.: Temperature, larval diet, and density effects on development rate and survival of aedes aegypti (diptera: Culicidae). PLoS One 9(2), 87468 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087468 Cui, G., Zhong, S., Zheng, T., Li, Z., Zhang, X., Li, C., Hemming-Schroeder, E., Zhou, G., Li, Y.: Aedes albopictus life table: environment, food, and age dependence survivorship and reproduction in a tropical area. Parasit. Vectors 14(1), 568 (2021) Sedda, L., Taylor, B.M., Eiras, A.E., Marques, J.T., Dillon, R.J.: Using the intrin- sic growth rate of the mosquito population improves spatio-temporal dengue risk estimation. Acta Trop. 208(105519), 105519 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j. actatropica.2020.105519 Fu, J.Y.L., Chua, C.L., Abu Bakar, A.S., Vythilingam, I., Wan Sulaiman, W.Y., Alphey, L., Chan, Y.F., Sam, I.-C.: Susceptibility of aedes albopictus, ae. aegypti and human populations to ross river virus in kuala lumpur, malaysia. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 17(6), 0011423 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0011423 O’Meara, G.F., Evans, L.F. Jr, Gettman, A.D., Cuda, J.P.: Spread of aedes albopictus and decline of ae. aegypti (diptera: Culicidae) in florida. J. Med. Entomol. 32(4), 554–562 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1093/jmedent/32.4.554 Lounibos, L.P.: Invasions by insect vectors of human disease. Annu. Rev. Entomol. 47(1), 233–266 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ento.47.091201.145206 Juliano, S.A.: Species introduction and replacement among mosquitoes: Inter- specific resource competition or apparent competition? Ecology 79(1), 255–268 (1998). https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(1998)079[0255:SIARAM]2.0.CO;2 Kaplan, L., Kendell, D., Robertson, D., Livdahl, T., Khatchikian, C.: Aedes aegypti and aedes albopictus in bermuda: extinction, invasion, invasion and extinction. Biol. Invasions 12(9), 3277–3288 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/ s10530-010-9721-z Braks, M.A.H., Hon ́orio, N.A., Lounibos, L.P., Lourenc ̧o-De-Oliveira, R., Juliano, S.A.: Interspecific competition between two invasive species of con- tainer mosquitoes, aedes aegypti and aedes albopictus (diptera: Culicidae), in brazil. Ann. Entomol. Soc. Am. 97(1), 130–139 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1603/ 0013-8746(2004)097[0130:ICBTIS]2.0.CO;2 Barrera, R.: Competition and resistance to starvation in larvae of container- inhabiting Aedes mosquitoes. Ecol. Entomol. 21(2), 117–127 (1996). https://doi. org/10.1111/j.1365-2311.1996.tb01178.x Juliano, S.A., O’Meara, G.F., Morrill, J.R., Cutwa, M.M.: Desiccation and ther- mal tolerance of eggs and the coexistence of competing mosquitoes. Oecologia 130(3), 458–469 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1007/s004420100811 Giatropoulos, A., Papachristos, D.P., Koliopoulos, G., Michaelakis, A., Emmanouel, N.: Asymmetric mating interference between two related mosquito species: Aedes (stegomyia) albopictus and aedes (stegomyia) cretinus. PLoS One 10(5), 0127762 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s004420100811 Lounibos, L.P., Su ́arez, S., Men ́endez, Z., Nishimura, N., Escher, R.L., O’Connell, S.M., Rey, J.R.: Does temperature affect the outcome of larval competition between aedes aegypti and aedes albopictus? Journal of vector ecology : journal of the Society for Vector Ecology 27 1, 86–95 (2002) Charrel, R.N., Lamballerie, X., Raoult, D.: Chikungunya outbreaks–the glob- alization of vectorborne diseases. N. Engl. J. Med. 356(8), 769–771 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMp078013 Gubler, D.J.: Dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever. Clin. Microbiol. Rev. 11(3), 480–496 (1998). https://doi.org/10.1128/CMR.11.3.480 Schuffenecker, I., Iteman, I., Michault, A., Murri, S., Frangeul, L., Vaney, M.-C., Lavenir, R., Pardigon, N., Reynes, J.-M., Pettinelli, F., Biscornet, L., Diancourt, L., Michel, S., Duquerroy, S., Guigon, G., Frenkiel, M.-P., Br ́ehin, A.-C., Cubito, N., Despr`es, P., Kunst, F., Rey, F.A., Zeller, H., Brisse, S.: Genome microevolu- tion of chikungunya viruses causing the indian ocean outbreak. PLoS Med. 3(7), 263 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0030263 Rezza, G., Nicoletti, L., Angelini, R., Romi, R., Finarelli, A.C., Panning, M., Cor- dioli, P., Fortuna, C., Boros, S., Magurano, F., Silvi, G., Angelini, P., Dottori, M., Ciufolini, M.G., Majori, G.C., Cassone, A., CHIKV study group: Infection with chikungunya virus in italy: an outbreak in a temperate region. Lancet 370(9602), 1840–1846 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(07)61779-6 |
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Santos Vega, Oscar Mauriciovirtual::21941-1Villamil Chacón, Santiago AndrésFacultad de Ingeniería::Biología Matemática y Computacional Biomac2025-01-10T14:57:29Z2025-01-10T14:57:29Z2025-01-07https://hdl.handle.net/1992/75324instname:Universidad de los Andesreponame:Repositorio Institucional Sénecarepourl:https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/This study investigates how temperature variability and larval competition influence Dengue transmission dynamics in systems where \textit{Aedes aegypti} and \textit{Aedes albopictus} coexist. We developed a deterministic model incorporating temperature-dependent parameters to analyze vector interactions across larval and adult stages, coupled with a SEIR framework for human infection dynamics. Using Pairwise Invasibility Plots, coexistence analysis, and infection peak assessment, we evaluated species invasion capability, population dynamics, and disease transmission patterns. Results showed that temperature enables \textit{Ae. albopictus} invasion even under high interspecific competition ($>$70\%), contrasting with its limited invasion capacity ($<$40\%) in temperature-independent conditions. Coexistence analysis demonstrated that temperature variability promotes balanced relative abundances between species, countering the typical \textit{Ae. aegypti} dominance observed in stable thermal conditions. Infection analysis revealed unexpected patterns, with highest infection peaks occurring in scenarios combining low larval competition for \textit{Ae. aegypti} with high competition for \textit{Ae. albopictus}. These findings challenge traditional assumptions about vector dominance in Dengue transmission and emphasize the importance of temperature-sensitive control strategies in regions where both species coexist under climate change conditions.PregradoEcologíaMatemática ComputacionalModelado MatemáticoEnfermedades Transmitidas por Vectores21 páginasapplication/pdfengUniversidad de los AndesBiologíaFacultad de CienciasDepartamento de Ciencias BiológicasAttribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 Internationalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Ecological dynamics of Aedes mosquitoes: unraveling the impact of larval competition and temperature on dengue transmissionTrabajo de grado - Pregradoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_7a1fTexthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TPVector competitionDengue transmission dynamicsTemperature-dependent modelingAedes coexistenceSpecies invasion analysisBiologíaGubler, D.J.: Human arbovirus infections worldwide. Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci. 951(1), 13–24 (2001). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.2001.tb02681.xCDC: Arbovirus Catalog - CDC Division of Vector-Borne Diseases (DVBD) — wwwn.cdc.gov (n.d). https://wwwn.cdc.gov/arbocat/VirusBrowser.aspxInstituto Nacional de Salud (INS): Semana epidemiol ́ogica 50. Bolet ́ın Epi- demiol ́ogico Semanal (1062) (2024). https://www.ins.gov.co/buscador-eventos/ BoletinEpidemiologico/2024 Boletin epidemiologico semana 50.pdfPan American Health Organization (PAHO): Report on the epidemiological sit- uation of dengue in the americas (2024). https://www.paho.org/sites/default/ files/2024-12/2024-cde-dengue-sitrep-americas-epi-week-48-19-dec.pdfCarrasquilla, M.C., Ortiz, M.I., Le ́on, C., Rond ́on, S., Kulkarni, M.A., Talbot, B., Sander, B., V ́asquez, H., Cordovez, J.M., Gonz ́alez, C., RADAM-LAC Research Team: Entomological characterization of aedes mosquitoes and arbovirus detec- tion in ibagu ́e, a colombian city with co-circulation of zika, dengue and chikungunya viruses. Parasit. Vectors 14(1), 446 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1186/ s13071-021-04908-xWeetman, D., Kamgang, B., Badolo, A., Moyes, C., Shearer, F., Coulibaly, M., Pinto, J., Lambrechts, L., McCall, P.: Aedes mosquitoes and aedes-borne arboviruses in africa: Current and future threats. Int. 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