Sudden stops in emerging markets - how to minimize their impact on GDP?

Since the beginning of the 1990s, capital flows to emerging markets soared to historically high levels. However, many countries suffered sudden stops in these capital flows. These sudden stops affected simultaneously several countries with different economic characteristics. Taking into account the sudden stop episodes that occurred after 1990, this work attempts to analyze in an empirical manner which characteristics and policies helped reduce the cost of the different crises on gdp. The countries with a lower level of external debt had a less costly crisis. Additionally, a countercyclical fiscal policy and the sale of international reserves to counter the domestic currency's depreciation also helped reduce the cost of the sudden stops on output. On the other hand, the level of exports and the changes in the central bank's interest rate did not have statistically significant effects.

• Autores: Alzate Mahecha, José Osler
• Tipo de recurso: Work document
• Fecha de publicación: 2013
• Institución: Universidad de los Andes
• Repositorio: Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
• Idioma: eng
• OAI Identifier: oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/8371
• Acceso en línea: http://hdl.handle.net/1992/8371
• Palabra clave: Sudden stops; Emerging markets; Crisis costs on gdp; Countercyclical policy; Producto interno bruto; Mercados emergentes; Crisis económica; F32, F44
• Rights: openAccess
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/