To kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018
The growing displacement of theory and other forms of wide-ranging knowledge of social phenomena by empirical research methods in economics is widely noted by economists and historians of economic knowledge. Less attention has been devoted, however, to understand the materialization of such changes...
- Autores:
-
Castilla Bravo, Juan Pablo
- Tipo de recurso:
- Work document
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2020
- Institución:
- Universidad de los Andes
- Repositorio:
- Séneca: repositorio Uniandes
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/45870
- Acceso en línea:
- http://hdl.handle.net/1992/45870
- Palabra clave:
- Diseño experimental
Metodología en economía
Econometría - Enseñanza - Bogotá (Colombia) - 2000-2018
B21, B23, B30, B41, C1, C61, Z13
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
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dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
To kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018 |
title |
To kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018 |
spellingShingle |
To kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018 Diseño experimental Metodología en economía Econometría - Enseñanza - Bogotá (Colombia) - 2000-2018 B21, B23, B30, B41, C1, C61, Z13 |
title_short |
To kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018 |
title_full |
To kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018 |
title_fullStr |
To kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018 |
title_full_unstemmed |
To kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018 |
title_sort |
To kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018 |
dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Castilla Bravo, Juan Pablo |
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Castilla Bravo, Juan Pablo |
dc.subject.keyword.none.fl_str_mv |
Diseño experimental Metodología en economía Econometría - Enseñanza - Bogotá (Colombia) - 2000-2018 |
topic |
Diseño experimental Metodología en economía Econometría - Enseñanza - Bogotá (Colombia) - 2000-2018 B21, B23, B30, B41, C1, C61, Z13 |
dc.subject.jel.none.fl_str_mv |
B21, B23, B30, B41, C1, C61, Z13 |
description |
The growing displacement of theory and other forms of wide-ranging knowledge of social phenomena by empirical research methods in economics is widely noted by economists and historians of economic knowledge. Less attention has been devoted, however, to understand the materialization of such changes in the scientific practices in a specific research center. This article studies the recent transformations in the epistemological practices at CEDE, a research center that is both, highly influential in the production of economic knowledge in Colombia, and does not belong to the core economics research centers that lead the debates regarding the recent changes in the discipline. I use a machine learning technique called Topic Modeling, interviews to CEDE researchers, and exegesis of papers to identify a shift in the production of knowledge in microeconometrics at CEDE during the years 2000 and 2018. I explain this shift by characterizing two sets of epistemological practices. The first one, usually present during the years 2000 and 2006, establishes a complementary relationship between wide-ranging knowledge (theory included) and data estimation techniques in order to achieve a broad comprehension of the phenomenon under study. The second one, usually present during the years 2009 and 2018, prioritizes data estimation techniques over theoretical models and contextual knowledge in order to achieve a causal comprehension of one variable in the phenomenon under study. Because epistemological practices make truth claims, each one establishes its own criteria about what constitutes a valid research through a distinct way of replicating a scientific experiment. The shift I identify implies a recent tendency to disdain research works that cannot make a strong causal inference. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-09-11T22:07:38Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-09-11T22:07:38Z |
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2020 |
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv |
Documento de trabajo |
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http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042 |
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Text |
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https://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/WP |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042 |
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv |
1657-5334 |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/1992/45870 |
dc.identifier.eissn.none.fl_str_mv |
1657-7191 |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
10.57784/1992/45870 |
dc.identifier.instname.spa.fl_str_mv |
instname:Universidad de los Andes |
dc.identifier.reponame.spa.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositorio Institucional Séneca |
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http://hdl.handle.net/1992/45870 |
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.ispartofseries.none.fl_str_mv |
Documentos CEDE No. 35 Agosto de 2020 |
dc.relation.repec.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/018366.html |
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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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openAccess |
dc.format.extent.none.fl_str_mv |
67 páginas |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE |
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Universidad de los Andes |
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spelling |
Al consultar y hacer uso de este recurso, está aceptando las condiciones de uso establecidas por los autores.http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Castilla Bravo, Juan Pablo77d09829-2ac4-416b-827c-ae65cb9b76045002020-09-11T22:07:38Z2020-09-11T22:07:38Z20201657-5334http://hdl.handle.net/1992/458701657-719110.57784/1992/45870instname:Universidad de los Andesreponame:Repositorio Institucional Sénecarepourl:https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/The growing displacement of theory and other forms of wide-ranging knowledge of social phenomena by empirical research methods in economics is widely noted by economists and historians of economic knowledge. Less attention has been devoted, however, to understand the materialization of such changes in the scientific practices in a specific research center. This article studies the recent transformations in the epistemological practices at CEDE, a research center that is both, highly influential in the production of economic knowledge in Colombia, and does not belong to the core economics research centers that lead the debates regarding the recent changes in the discipline. I use a machine learning technique called Topic Modeling, interviews to CEDE researchers, and exegesis of papers to identify a shift in the production of knowledge in microeconometrics at CEDE during the years 2000 and 2018. I explain this shift by characterizing two sets of epistemological practices. The first one, usually present during the years 2000 and 2006, establishes a complementary relationship between wide-ranging knowledge (theory included) and data estimation techniques in order to achieve a broad comprehension of the phenomenon under study. The second one, usually present during the years 2009 and 2018, prioritizes data estimation techniques over theoretical models and contextual knowledge in order to achieve a causal comprehension of one variable in the phenomenon under study. Because epistemological practices make truth claims, each one establishes its own criteria about what constitutes a valid research through a distinct way of replicating a scientific experiment. The shift I identify implies a recent tendency to disdain research works that cannot make a strong causal inference.Los economistas e historiadores del pensamiento económico han documentado el desplazamiento de la teoría por los métodos empíricos en la investigación en economía. Sin embargo, comprender la materialización de tales cambios en las prácticas científicas en un centro de investigación específico ha recibido menos atención. Este artículo estudia las transformaciones recientes en las prácticas epistemológicas en el CEDE, un centro de investigación influyente en la producción de conocimiento económico en Colombia y que no pertenece a los centros de investigación económica centrales que lideran los debates sobre los cambios recientes en la disciplina. Utilizo una técnica de aprendizaje automático llamada Topic Modeling, entrevistas a investigadores del CEDE y exégesis de documentos, para identificar un cambio en la producción de conocimiento en la microeconometría en el CEDE entre el 2000 y el 2018. Explico este cambio caracterizando dos conjuntos de prácticas epistemológicas. El primero, que usualmente se manifiesta durante los años 2000 y 2006, establece una relación complementaria entre la teoría y las técnicas de estimación de datos para lograr una comprensión extensa del fenómeno en estudio. El segundo, que usualmente se manifiesta durante los años 2009 y 2018, prioriza las técnicas de estimación de datos sobre los modelos teóricos y el conocimiento contextual para lograr una comprensión causal de una variable en el fenómeno en estudio. Debido a que las prácticas epistemológicas hacen afirmaciones de verdad, cada una establece sus propios criterios sobre lo que constituye una investigación válida a través de una forma específica de replicar un experimento científico. El cambio que identifico implica una tendencia reciente a desdeñar las investigaciones que no pueden hacer una inferencia causal fuerte.67 páginasengUniversidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDEDocumentos CEDE No. 35 Agosto de 2020https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/018366.htmlTo kill a black swan : the credibility revolution at CEDE, 2000-2018Documento de trabajoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Texthttps://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/WPDiseño experimentalMetodología en economíaEconometría - Enseñanza - Bogotá (Colombia) - 2000-2018B21, B23, B30, B41, C1, C61, Z13Facultad de EconomíaPublicationTEXTdcede2020-35.pdf.txtdcede2020-35.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain185304https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/a616dab6-743f-48dd-b7dd-4f5191aade90/downloadb8e841b32f83d10cd136b3062c493cd7MD54THUMBNAILdcede2020-35.pdf.jpgdcede2020-35.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg9782https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/e540608f-3a0c-43e6-8a07-19f18616b33c/downloadb350a73d0d34a6735d5aae4f548314bfMD55ORIGINALdcede2020-35.pdfdcede2020-35.pdfapplication/pdf1471865https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/130d6e0a-bae5-4c8c-8769-2027603e7e3a/download389db4e082459554000f05c12aed4528MD511992/45870oai:repositorio.uniandes.edu.co:1992/458702024-06-04 15:42:11.392http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/open.accesshttps://repositorio.uniandes.edu.coRepositorio institucional Sénecaadminrepositorio@uniandes.edu.co |