On the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSO

ilustraciones, diagramas

Autores:
Mantilla Quintero, Juan Diego
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2022
Institución:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/82703
Acceso en línea:
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/82703
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
Palabra clave:
550 - Ciencias de la tierra::551 - Geología, hidrología, meteorología
620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::629 - Otras ramas de la ingeniería
Cambios climáticos
Climatic changes
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Inter-basin Interaction
Tropical Indo-Pacific
Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)
Indian Ocean basin-wide Mode (IOBM)
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
Intraseasonal variability (ISV)
Interannual variability
CMIP6
Extended Empirical Orthogonal Function (EEOF)
Deterministic Chaos
El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENSO)
Interacción entre cuencas
IndoPacífico tropical
Dipolo del Océano Índico (IOD)
Oscilación de Madden-Julian (MJO)
Variabilidad intraestacional (ISV)
Variabilidad interanual
Funciones ortogonales empíricas extendidas (EEOF)
Caos determinístico
Rights
openAccess
License
Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
id UNACIONAL2_d8d0e42f58c5709975684de054ecae42
oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/82703
network_acronym_str UNACIONAL2
network_name_str Universidad Nacional de Colombia
repository_id_str
dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv On the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSO
dc.title.translated.spa.fl_str_mv Influencia del Océano Índico en la evolución del ENSO
title On the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSO
spellingShingle On the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSO
550 - Ciencias de la tierra::551 - Geología, hidrología, meteorología
620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::629 - Otras ramas de la ingeniería
Cambios climáticos
Climatic changes
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Inter-basin Interaction
Tropical Indo-Pacific
Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)
Indian Ocean basin-wide Mode (IOBM)
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
Intraseasonal variability (ISV)
Interannual variability
CMIP6
Extended Empirical Orthogonal Function (EEOF)
Deterministic Chaos
El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENSO)
Interacción entre cuencas
IndoPacífico tropical
Dipolo del Océano Índico (IOD)
Oscilación de Madden-Julian (MJO)
Variabilidad intraestacional (ISV)
Variabilidad interanual
Funciones ortogonales empíricas extendidas (EEOF)
Caos determinístico
title_short On the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSO
title_full On the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSO
title_fullStr On the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSO
title_full_unstemmed On the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSO
title_sort On the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSO
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Mantilla Quintero, Juan Diego
dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv Hoyos Ortiz, Carlos David
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv Mantilla Quintero, Juan Diego
dc.subject.ddc.spa.fl_str_mv 550 - Ciencias de la tierra::551 - Geología, hidrología, meteorología
620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::629 - Otras ramas de la ingeniería
topic 550 - Ciencias de la tierra::551 - Geología, hidrología, meteorología
620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::629 - Otras ramas de la ingeniería
Cambios climáticos
Climatic changes
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Inter-basin Interaction
Tropical Indo-Pacific
Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)
Indian Ocean basin-wide Mode (IOBM)
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
Intraseasonal variability (ISV)
Interannual variability
CMIP6
Extended Empirical Orthogonal Function (EEOF)
Deterministic Chaos
El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENSO)
Interacción entre cuencas
IndoPacífico tropical
Dipolo del Océano Índico (IOD)
Oscilación de Madden-Julian (MJO)
Variabilidad intraestacional (ISV)
Variabilidad interanual
Funciones ortogonales empíricas extendidas (EEOF)
Caos determinístico
dc.subject.lemb.none.fl_str_mv Cambios climáticos
Climatic changes
dc.subject.proposal.eng.fl_str_mv El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Inter-basin Interaction
Tropical Indo-Pacific
Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)
Indian Ocean basin-wide Mode (IOBM)
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
Intraseasonal variability (ISV)
Interannual variability
CMIP6
Extended Empirical Orthogonal Function (EEOF)
Deterministic Chaos
dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENSO)
Interacción entre cuencas
IndoPacífico tropical
Dipolo del Océano Índico (IOD)
Oscilación de Madden-Julian (MJO)
Variabilidad intraestacional (ISV)
Variabilidad interanual
Funciones ortogonales empíricas extendidas (EEOF)
Caos determinístico
description ilustraciones, diagramas
publishDate 2022
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2022-11-16T15:01:30Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2022-11-16T15:01:30Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2022-11-14
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv Trabajo de grado - Maestría
dc.type.driver.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
dc.type.version.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
dc.type.content.spa.fl_str_mv Text
dc.type.redcol.spa.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TM
status_str acceptedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/82703
dc.identifier.instname.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifier.reponame.spa.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifier.repourl.spa.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
url https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/82703
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
identifier_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.indexed.spa.fl_str_mv RedCol
LaReferencia
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dc.publisher.faculty.spa.fl_str_mv Facultad de Minas
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dc.publisher.branch.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín
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spelling Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacionalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Hoyos Ortiz, Carlos David27686cec87756851bf3b2f6ce68e0839Mantilla Quintero, Juan Diego2d0ed5e835a679062c081bc5fa8c82332022-11-16T15:01:30Z2022-11-16T15:01:30Z2022-11-14https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/82703Universidad Nacional de ColombiaRepositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttps://repositorio.unal.edu.co/ilustraciones, diagramasAlthough the major aspects that give rise to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the dominant mode of climate variability on the interannual time scale, are reasonably well understood, predicting the state of ENSO before the preceding boreal spring has proved to be challenging. Recent investigations suggested that interannual SST variability over the Indian Ocean can influence the following year’s ENSO and its phase transition, thus representing a potential additional source of predictability. This research aims to analyze the coupled interaction between the Indian and Pacific oceans that could provide information beyond the spring predictability barrier. Firstly, an empirical approach is used to study the subsurface temperature covariability across the two oceans to assess the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of the ENSO. Furthermore, two possible coupling mechanisms are investigated. Then, we assessed the representation of the CMIP6’s historical simulation of the subsurface covariability between the two oceans and compared the performance with the compressive CLIVAR ENSO metrics. Finally, using a simple conceptual model, we investigate the repercussions of the Indian Ocean over ENSO’s dynamical behavior, represented by the addition of an idealized MJO-forcing parameter over the Western Pacific. Overall, the results highlighted the role of the interbasin subsurface coupling in favoring the ENSO phase transitions and support the view that tropical Indo-Pacific climate variability should be studied as a whole rather than as separated basin modes.Aunque los aspectos principales que dan lugar a El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENSO), el modo dominante de variabilidad climática en la escala de tiempo interanual, se comprenden razonablemente bien, predecir el estado de ENSO antes de la primavera boreal continúa representando un desafío. Investigaciones recientes sugiriere que la variabilidad interanual de la temperature superficial del mar sobre el Océano Índico puede influir en desarrollo del ENSO del año siguiente como también en sus transiciones de fase, representando una posible fuente adicional de predictibilidad. Esta investigación tiene como objetivo analizar la interacción acoplada entre los océanos Índico y Pacífico que podría proporcionar información más allá de la barrera de predictibilidad de primaveral. En primer lugar, se utiliza un enfoque empírico para estudiar la covariabilidad de la temperatura del subsuperficie en los dos océanos para evaluar el papel del Océano Índico como precursor del ENSO. Además, se investigan dos posibles mecanismos acoplados. Luego, evaluamos la representación de las simulaciones históricas del CMIP6 de la covariabilidad entre los dos océanos y comparamos el rendimiento con las métricas compresivas del CLIVAR ENSO. Finalmente, usando un modelo conceptual simple, investigamos las repercusiones del Océano Índico sobre el comportamiento dinámico de ENSO, representado por la adición de un parámetro idealizado del forzamiento de la MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation) sobre el Pacífico Occidental. Los resultados resaltan el papel del acoplamiento de la subsuperficien entre las dos cuencas para favorer el cambio de fase del ENSO, y respaldan la opinión de que la variabilidad climática del Indo-Pacífico tropical debe estudiarse como un todo en lugar de modos de variabilidad separados. (Texto tomado de la fuente)MaestríaMagíster en Ingeniería - Recursos HidráulicosClimatologyÁrea Curricular de Medio Ambiente117 páginasapplication/pdfengUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaMedellín - Minas - Maestría en Ingeniería - Recursos HidráulicosFacultad de MinasMedellín, ColombiaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín550 - Ciencias de la tierra::551 - Geología, hidrología, meteorología620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::629 - Otras ramas de la ingenieríaCambios climáticosClimatic changesEl Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)Inter-basin InteractionTropical Indo-PacificIndian Ocean Dipole (IOD)Indian Ocean basin-wide Mode (IOBM)Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)Intraseasonal variability (ISV)Interannual variabilityCMIP6Extended Empirical Orthogonal Function (EEOF)Deterministic ChaosEl Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENSO)Interacción entre cuencasIndoPacífico tropicalDipolo del Océano Índico (IOD)Oscilación de Madden-Julian (MJO)Variabilidad intraestacional (ISV)Variabilidad interanualFunciones ortogonales empíricas extendidas (EEOF)Caos determinísticoOn the role of the Indian Ocean as a precursor of ENSOInfluencia del Océano Índico en la evolución del ENSOTrabajo de grado - Maestríainfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionTexthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TMRedColLaReferenciaAchuta Rao, K. and Sperber, K. 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Ocean Science, 15(3):779–808.EstudiantesInvestigadoresMaestrosLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-85879https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/82703/1/license.txteb34b1cf90b7e1103fc9dfd26be24b4aMD51ORIGINAL1053840382.2022.pdf1053840382.2022.pdfTesis de Maestría en Recursos Hidráulicosapplication/pdf72228033https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/82703/2/1053840382.2022.pdfe17cb1db049648d69e8efd6d65088825MD52THUMBNAIL1053840382.2022.pdf.jpg1053840382.2022.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg3889https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/82703/3/1053840382.2022.pdf.jpg20860c8e3b339a3a9ecb4b1767fc5409MD53unal/82703oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/827032024-08-12 23:11:51.553Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de 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