Metodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.

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Autores:
Galeano Muñoz, Wilinton
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2021
Institución:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Idioma:
spa
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oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/80561
Acceso en línea:
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/80561
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
Palabra clave:
500 - Ciencias naturales y matemáticas
Delphi method
Cluster analysis
Método Delphi
Análisis cluster
Riesgo (Finanzas)
Metodología Delphi
Scoring de crédito
Componentes principales
Análisis clúster
Delphi Methodology
Credit scoring
Main components
Cluster analysis
Rights
openAccess
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Atribución-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacional
id UNACIONAL2_d5f20cdd4a7f6e81c2b9257786d82f1d
oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/80561
network_acronym_str UNACIONAL2
network_name_str Universidad Nacional de Colombia
repository_id_str
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Metodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.
dc.title.translated.eng.fl_str_mv Delphi methodology applied to the granting of credit for university students.
title Metodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.
spellingShingle Metodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.
500 - Ciencias naturales y matemáticas
Delphi method
Cluster analysis
Método Delphi
Análisis cluster
Riesgo (Finanzas)
Metodología Delphi
Scoring de crédito
Componentes principales
Análisis clúster
Delphi Methodology
Credit scoring
Main components
Cluster analysis
title_short Metodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.
title_full Metodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.
title_fullStr Metodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.
title_full_unstemmed Metodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.
title_sort Metodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Galeano Muñoz, Wilinton
dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv Juan Carlos, Correa Morales
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv Galeano Muñoz, Wilinton
dc.subject.ddc.spa.fl_str_mv 500 - Ciencias naturales y matemáticas
topic 500 - Ciencias naturales y matemáticas
Delphi method
Cluster analysis
Método Delphi
Análisis cluster
Riesgo (Finanzas)
Metodología Delphi
Scoring de crédito
Componentes principales
Análisis clúster
Delphi Methodology
Credit scoring
Main components
Cluster analysis
dc.subject.lemb.eng.fl_str_mv Delphi method
Cluster analysis
dc.subject.lemb.spa.fl_str_mv Método Delphi
Análisis cluster
Riesgo (Finanzas)
dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv Metodología Delphi
Scoring de crédito
Componentes principales
Análisis clúster
dc.subject.proposal.eng.fl_str_mv Delphi Methodology
Credit scoring
Main components
Cluster analysis
description Tablas
publishDate 2021
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2021-10-15T14:46:07Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2021-10-15T14:46:07Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2021
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv Trabajo de grado - Maestría
dc.type.driver.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
dc.type.version.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
dc.type.content.spa.fl_str_mv Text
dc.type.redcol.spa.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TM
status_str acceptedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/80561
dc.identifier.instname.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifier.reponame.spa.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifier.repourl.spa.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
url https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/80561
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
identifier_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv spa
language spa
dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv Almenara, J. C., y Moro, A. I. (2014). Empleo del método delphi y su empleo en la investigación en comunicación y educación. EDUTEC. Revista electrónica de tecnología educativa (48), a272–a272.
Anglin, G. J. (1995). Instructional technology: Past, present, and future. ERIC.
Arango Correa, D. M., Colmenares Colmenares, L. J., Rave Contreras, I. C., y cols. (2018). Comparación entre el método tradicional y algunos basados en inteligencia artificial para el estudio del riesgo crediticio en instituciones financieras colombianas (Tesis Doctoral no publicada). Universidad EAFIT.
Bader, P., McDonald, P., y Selby, P. (2009). An algorithm for tailoring pharmacotherapy for smoking cessation: results from a delphi panel of international experts. Tobacco control, 18 (1), 34–42.
Basle Committee, B. S. (2004). International convergence of capital measurement and capital standards. Journal of Risk Finance A revised framework, Bank for International Settlement, Basel, Switzerland.
Block, K. (2009). Credit card reform swipes easy plastic from college students. (may 26). USA Today.
Borden, L. M., Lee, S.-A., Serido, J., y Collins, D. (2008). Changing college students’ financial knowledge, attitudes, and behavior through seminar participation. Journal of family and economic issues, 29 (1), 23–40.
Borrero-Tigreros, D., y Bedoya-Leiva, O. F. (2020). Predicción de riesgo crediticio en Colombia usando técnicas de inteligencia artificial. Revista UIS Ingenierías, 19 (4), 37–52.
Boyes, W. J., Hoffman, D. L., y Low, S. A. (1989). An econometric analysis of the bank credit scoring problem. Journal of Econometrics, 40 (1), 3–14.
Bridges, J. S. (1988). Sex differences in occupational performance expectations. Psychology of Women Quarterly, 12 (1), 75–90.
Brill, J. M., Bishop, M., y Walker, A. E. (2006). The competencies and characteristics required of an effective project manager: A web-based delphi study. Educational technology research and development, 54 (2), 115–140.
Brooks, K. W. (1979). Delphi technique: Expanding applications. North Central Association Quarterly, 53 (3), 377–85.
Castro-González, K. C., Delgado-Ortiz, C., y Rodríguez-Madera, J. (2014). Uso y manejo del crédito en estudiantes universitarios. Revista Internacional, 7 (5), 51.
Cheung, S. (1996). Provincial credit ratings in canada: An ordered probit analysis.
Cimarelli, A. (2018). Creditrisk: Evaluation of credit risk with structural and reduced form models [Manual de software informático]. Descargado de https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=CreditRisk (R package version 0.1.3)
Cívico Morales, A. (2020). Aplicación del método delphi al sector bancario.
Clauser, B. E., Subhiyah, R. G., Nungester, R. J., Ripkey, D. R., Clyman, S. G., y McKinley, D. (1995). Scoring a performance-based assessment by modeling the judgments of experts. Journal of Educational Measurement, 32 (4), 397–415.
Custer, R. L., Scarcella, J. A., y Stewart, B. R. (1999). The modified delphi technique-a rotational modification.
Cyphert, F. R., y Gant, W. L. (1971). The delphi technique: A case study. Phi Delta Kappa, 52 (5), 272–273.
Dalkey, N. C. (1969). The delphi method: An experimental study of group opinion (Inf. T´ec.). RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF.
De Bock, K. W. (2018). Customerscoringmetrics: Evaluation metrics for customer scoring models depending on binary classifiers [Manual de software informático]. Descargado de https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=CustomerScoringMetrics (R package version 1.0.0)
Delbeq, A., Van de Ven, A., y Gustafson, D. H. (1975). Group techniques for program planning: A guide to nominal group and delphi processes. Glenview, USA: Scott, Foresman and Company, 124.
Ehrhardt, A. (2020). Credit scoring tools: the ‘scoringtools‘ package [Manual de software informático]. Descargado de https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=scoring (https://adimajo.github.io/scoringTools)
Falkenstein, E. G., Boral, A., y Carty, L. V. (2000). Riskcalc for private companies: Moody’s default model. Available at SSRN 236011.
Fitzgerald, L. F., y Crites, J. O. (1980). Toward a career psychology of women: What do we know? what do we need to know? Journal of Counseling Psychology, 27 (1), 44.
for Economic Co-operation, O., y (OECD), D. (2010). Education at a glance 2010: Oecd indicators. OECD Paris.
Gordy, M. B. (2000). A comparative anatomy of credit risk models. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24 (1-2), 119–149.
Grau Álvarez, J. (2020). Machine learning y riesgo de crédito.
Greene, W. (1998). Sample selection in credit-scoring models. Japan and the world economy, 10 (3), 299–316.
Gutiérrez, M. (2007). Credit scoring models: what, how, when and for what purposes. Banco Central de la República Argentina. Munich Pesonal RePEc Archive. Octuber, 1–32.
Gutiérrez J., M. T. P., Llorente, Pérez, y Sabiote, C. R. (2007). El uso del método delphi en la definición de los criterios para una formación de calidad en animación sociocultural y tiempo libre. Revista de investigación educativa, 25 (2), 351–366.
Hand, D. J., y Henley, W. E. (1997). Statistical classification methods in consumer credit scoring: a review. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 160 (3), 523–541.
Hayhoe, C., Leach, L. J., Allen, M., y Edwards, R. (2005). Credit cards held by college students. Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning, 16 (1).
Hogan, E., Bryant, S., y Overymyer-Day, L. (2013). Relationships between college students’ credit card debt, undesirable academic behaviors and cognitions, and academic performance. College Student Journal, 47 (1), 102–112.
Holub, T. (2002). Credit card usage and debt among college and university students. eric digest.
Hsieh, Y. P., Hsieh, Y. W., Lin, C. C., Yeh, C. W., y Chang, S. C. (2012). A study on the formation of a measurement scale for the environmental quality of taiwan’s long-term care institutions by the delphi method. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 27 (2), 169–186.
Jacobs, J. M. (1997). Essential assessment criteria for physical education teacher education programs: A delphi study.
Jones, C. (2011). Students, the net generation, and digital natives. Deconstructing digital natives: Young people, technology, and the new literacies, 30–45.
Jones, J. (2005). College students’ knowledge and use of credit. Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning, 16 (2).
Joo, S.-h., Grable, J. E., y Bagwell, D. C. (2003). Credit card attitudes and behaviors of college students. College Student Journal, 37 (3), 405–420.
Kerlinger, F. N. (1973). Foundations of behavioral research.
Landeta, J. (1999). El método delphi: una técnica de previsión para la incertidumbre. Editorial Ariel, SA Barcelona.
Linstone, H. A., Turoff, M., y cols. (1975). The delphi method. Addison-Wesley Reading, MA.
Ludwig, B. (1997). Predicting the future: Have you considered using the delphi methodology. Journal of extension, 35 (5), 1–4.
Lyons, A. C. (2004). A profile of financially at-risk college students. Journal of consumer affairs, 38 (1), 56–80.
Lyons, A. C., y Hunt, J. (2003). The credit practices and financial education needs of community college students. Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning, 14 (2).
Madaras-Kelly, K., Jones, M., Remington, R., Hill, N., Huttner, B., y Samore, M. (2014). Development of an antibiotic spectrum score based on veterans affairs culture and susceptibility data for the purpose of measuring antibiotic de-escalation: a modified delphi approach. Infection control and hospital epidemiology, 35 (9), 1103.
Madruga Peláez, A., Alvarado Capó, Y., Sosa López, R., Santana Ching, I., y Mesa Rodríguez, J. R. (2019). Modelo de crecimiento y desarrollo de hortalizas en casas de cultivo mediante mapas cognitivos difusos. Revista Cubana de Ciencias Informáticas, 13 (2), 47–60.
Navarro-Guzmán, C., y Casero-Martínez, A. (2012). Análisis de las diferencias de género en la elección de estudios universitarios.
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Norvilitis, J. M., Merwin, M. M., Osberg, T. M., Roehling, P. V., Young, P., y Kamas, M. M. (2006). Personality factors, money attitudes, financial knowledge, and credit-card debt in college students 1. Journal of applied social psychology, 36 (6), 1395–1413.
Paul, M., Nolan, J., y Smith-Hunter, A. (2017). Financially at risk: a look at college students. credit card usage. Journal of Higher Education Theory and Practice, 17 (5), 110–128.
Pfeifer, G. (1968). Angeborene fehlbildungen des gesichtes, der kiefer und der mundh¨ohle. Handbuch der Kinderheilkunde, Bd IX. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York, 347– 400.
Poddar, A. (2019). scorecardmodelutils: Credit scorecard modelling utils [Manual de software informático]. Descargado de https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=scorecardModelUtils (R package version 0.0.1.0)
Rabina, D. (2013). Reference materials in lis instruction: A delphi study. Journal of education for library and information science, 108–123.
Robb, C. A., y Pinto, M. B. (2010). College students and credit card use: An analysis of financially at-risk students. College Student Journal, 44 (4), 823–835.
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Wolstenholme, E., y Corben, D. (1994). A hypermedia-based delphi tool for knowledge acquisition in model building. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 45 (6), 659–672.
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dc.rights.license.spa.fl_str_mv Atribución-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacional
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dc.format.extent.spa.fl_str_mv ix, 52 páginas
dc.format.mimetype.spa.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Univesidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín
dc.publisher.program.spa.fl_str_mv Medellín - Ciencias - Maestría en Ciencias - Estadística
dc.publisher.department.spa.fl_str_mv Escuela de estadística
dc.publisher.faculty.spa.fl_str_mv Facultad de Ciencias
dc.publisher.place.spa.fl_str_mv Medellín, Colombia
dc.publisher.branch.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín
institution Universidad Nacional de Colombia
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spelling Atribución-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacionalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Juan Carlos, Correa Moralesc92cab7988ca4e0498983d0fe8c4202b600Galeano Muñoz, Wilinton136f88efd6f93fabfff04b932577948b2021-10-15T14:46:07Z2021-10-15T14:46:07Z2021https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/80561Universidad Nacional de ColombiaRepositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttps://repositorio.unal.edu.co/TablasEl crédito es una fuente de financiación para adquirir bienes o servicios, que cada vez es más utilizada en todos los sectores económicos, especialmente por la facilidad de compra y por los mayores ingresos que generan, pero a su vez lleva inmerso el riesgo de no pago en todo su ciclo de vida. En este trabajo, se ahondará en el otorgamiento de crédito y en la recolección de información apelando al juicio del experto, que contribuyan en la definición de variables relevantes en el ejercicio de la valoración de riesgo, especialmente para los estudiantes universitarios que normalmente no son objeto de crédito teniendo en cuenta que en su mayoría son personas recién graduados del colegio, jóvenes y que aspiran a aplicar para su primer crédito. (Texto tomado de la fuente)Credit is a source of financing to acquire goods or services, which is increasingly used in all economic sectors, especially for the ease of and the higher income they generate, but in turn carries the risk of non-payment throughout its life cycle. In this work, it will deepen in the granting of credit and in the collection of information appealing to the expert’s opinion, that contribute to the definition of relevant variables in the exercise of risk assessment, especially for university students who are not normally subject to of credit considering that they are mostly recent graduates of the school, young people and who aspire to apply for their first credit.MaestríaMagíster en Ciencias - Estadísticaix, 52 páginasapplication/pdfspaUnivesidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede MedellínMedellín - Ciencias - Maestría en Ciencias - EstadísticaEscuela de estadísticaFacultad de CienciasMedellín, ColombiaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín500 - Ciencias naturales y matemáticasDelphi methodCluster analysisMétodo DelphiAnálisis clusterRiesgo (Finanzas)Metodología DelphiScoring de créditoComponentes principalesAnálisis clústerDelphi MethodologyCredit scoringMain componentsCluster analysisMetodología delphi aplicada al otorgamiento de crédito para estudiantes universitarios.Delphi methodology applied to the granting of credit for university students.Trabajo de grado - Maestríainfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionTexthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TMAlmenara, J. C., y Moro, A. I. (2014). Empleo del método delphi y su empleo en la investigación en comunicación y educación. EDUTEC. Revista electrónica de tecnología educativa (48), a272–a272.Anglin, G. J. (1995). Instructional technology: Past, present, and future. ERIC.Arango Correa, D. M., Colmenares Colmenares, L. J., Rave Contreras, I. C., y cols. (2018). Comparación entre el método tradicional y algunos basados en inteligencia artificial para el estudio del riesgo crediticio en instituciones financieras colombianas (Tesis Doctoral no publicada). Universidad EAFIT.Bader, P., McDonald, P., y Selby, P. (2009). An algorithm for tailoring pharmacotherapy for smoking cessation: results from a delphi panel of international experts. Tobacco control, 18 (1), 34–42.Basle Committee, B. S. (2004). International convergence of capital measurement and capital standards. Journal of Risk Finance A revised framework, Bank for International Settlement, Basel, Switzerland.Block, K. (2009). Credit card reform swipes easy plastic from college students. (may 26). USA Today.Borden, L. M., Lee, S.-A., Serido, J., y Collins, D. (2008). Changing college students’ financial knowledge, attitudes, and behavior through seminar participation. Journal of family and economic issues, 29 (1), 23–40.Borrero-Tigreros, D., y Bedoya-Leiva, O. F. (2020). Predicción de riesgo crediticio en Colombia usando técnicas de inteligencia artificial. Revista UIS Ingenierías, 19 (4), 37–52.Boyes, W. J., Hoffman, D. L., y Low, S. A. (1989). An econometric analysis of the bank credit scoring problem. Journal of Econometrics, 40 (1), 3–14.Bridges, J. S. (1988). Sex differences in occupational performance expectations. Psychology of Women Quarterly, 12 (1), 75–90.Brill, J. M., Bishop, M., y Walker, A. E. (2006). The competencies and characteristics required of an effective project manager: A web-based delphi study. Educational technology research and development, 54 (2), 115–140.Brooks, K. W. (1979). Delphi technique: Expanding applications. North Central Association Quarterly, 53 (3), 377–85.Castro-González, K. C., Delgado-Ortiz, C., y Rodríguez-Madera, J. (2014). Uso y manejo del crédito en estudiantes universitarios. Revista Internacional, 7 (5), 51.Cheung, S. (1996). Provincial credit ratings in canada: An ordered probit analysis.Cimarelli, A. (2018). Creditrisk: Evaluation of credit risk with structural and reduced form models [Manual de software informático]. Descargado de https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=CreditRisk (R package version 0.1.3)Cívico Morales, A. (2020). Aplicación del método delphi al sector bancario.Clauser, B. E., Subhiyah, R. G., Nungester, R. J., Ripkey, D. R., Clyman, S. G., y McKinley, D. (1995). Scoring a performance-based assessment by modeling the judgments of experts. Journal of Educational Measurement, 32 (4), 397–415.Custer, R. L., Scarcella, J. A., y Stewart, B. R. (1999). The modified delphi technique-a rotational modification.Cyphert, F. R., y Gant, W. L. (1971). The delphi technique: A case study. Phi Delta Kappa, 52 (5), 272–273.Dalkey, N. C. (1969). The delphi method: An experimental study of group opinion (Inf. T´ec.). RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF.De Bock, K. W. (2018). Customerscoringmetrics: Evaluation metrics for customer scoring models depending on binary classifiers [Manual de software informático]. Descargado de https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=CustomerScoringMetrics (R package version 1.0.0)Delbeq, A., Van de Ven, A., y Gustafson, D. H. (1975). Group techniques for program planning: A guide to nominal group and delphi processes. Glenview, USA: Scott, Foresman and Company, 124.Ehrhardt, A. (2020). Credit scoring tools: the ‘scoringtools‘ package [Manual de software informático]. Descargado de https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=scoring (https://adimajo.github.io/scoringTools)Falkenstein, E. G., Boral, A., y Carty, L. V. (2000). Riskcalc for private companies: Moody’s default model. Available at SSRN 236011.Fitzgerald, L. F., y Crites, J. O. (1980). Toward a career psychology of women: What do we know? what do we need to know? Journal of Counseling Psychology, 27 (1), 44.for Economic Co-operation, O., y (OECD), D. (2010). Education at a glance 2010: Oecd indicators. OECD Paris.Gordy, M. B. (2000). A comparative anatomy of credit risk models. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24 (1-2), 119–149.Grau Álvarez, J. (2020). Machine learning y riesgo de crédito.Greene, W. (1998). Sample selection in credit-scoring models. Japan and the world economy, 10 (3), 299–316.Gutiérrez, M. (2007). Credit scoring models: what, how, when and for what purposes. Banco Central de la República Argentina. Munich Pesonal RePEc Archive. Octuber, 1–32.Gutiérrez J., M. T. P., Llorente, Pérez, y Sabiote, C. R. (2007). El uso del método delphi en la definición de los criterios para una formación de calidad en animación sociocultural y tiempo libre. Revista de investigación educativa, 25 (2), 351–366.Hand, D. J., y Henley, W. E. (1997). Statistical classification methods in consumer credit scoring: a review. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 160 (3), 523–541.Hayhoe, C., Leach, L. J., Allen, M., y Edwards, R. (2005). Credit cards held by college students. Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning, 16 (1).Hogan, E., Bryant, S., y Overymyer-Day, L. (2013). Relationships between college students’ credit card debt, undesirable academic behaviors and cognitions, and academic performance. College Student Journal, 47 (1), 102–112.Holub, T. (2002). Credit card usage and debt among college and university students. eric digest.Hsieh, Y. P., Hsieh, Y. W., Lin, C. C., Yeh, C. W., y Chang, S. C. (2012). A study on the formation of a measurement scale for the environmental quality of taiwan’s long-term care institutions by the delphi method. 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Journal of the Operational Research Society, 45 (6), 659–672.AdministradoresEstudiantesInvestigadoresMaestrosProveedores de ayuda financiera para estudiantesPúblico generalORIGINAL8028417.2021.pdf8028417.2021.pdfTesis Maestría en Ciencias - Estadísticaapplication/pdf631454https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/80561/5/8028417.2021.pdfcdad7d7784ead83b09b9e60b6f16070fMD55LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-83964https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/80561/3/license.txtcccfe52f796b7c63423298c2d3365fc6MD53THUMBNAIL8028417.2021.pdf.jpg8028417.2021.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg4252https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/80561/6/8028417.2021.pdf.jpgbf003abe73527b96d0ee3704cace90c4MD56unal/80561oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/805612023-07-30 23:03:46.257Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de 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