Uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping review
ilustraciones, tablas
- Autores:
-
Moreno Garzón, Andrés Camilo
- Tipo de recurso:
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2022
- Institución:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Repositorio:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/82116
- Palabra clave:
- 510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadas
Attendance
Demand
Uncertainty of Outcome
Football
Soccer
Asistencia
Demanda
Incertidumbre del resultado
Fútbol
Teoría de probabilidades
Probability theory
Competencia deportiva
Sports competitions
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacional
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Uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping review |
| dc.title.translated.spa.fl_str_mv |
Hipótesis de la incertidumbre en el resultado en el fútbol profesional: Una revisión de alcance |
| title |
Uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping review |
| spellingShingle |
Uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping review 510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadas Attendance Demand Uncertainty of Outcome Football Soccer Asistencia Demanda Incertidumbre del resultado Fútbol Teoría de probabilidades Probability theory Competencia deportiva Sports competitions |
| title_short |
Uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping review |
| title_full |
Uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping review |
| title_fullStr |
Uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping review |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping review |
| title_sort |
Uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping review |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Moreno Garzón, Andrés Camilo |
| dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv |
Stadtmann, Georg Garzón Santos, Claudia Alexandra |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Moreno Garzón, Andrés Camilo |
| dc.subject.ddc.spa.fl_str_mv |
510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadas |
| topic |
510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadas Attendance Demand Uncertainty of Outcome Football Soccer Asistencia Demanda Incertidumbre del resultado Fútbol Teoría de probabilidades Probability theory Competencia deportiva Sports competitions |
| dc.subject.proposal.eng.fl_str_mv |
Attendance Demand Uncertainty of Outcome Football Soccer |
| dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv |
Asistencia Demanda Incertidumbre del resultado Fútbol |
| dc.subject.spines.spa.fl_str_mv |
Teoría de probabilidades |
| dc.subject.spines.eng.fl_str_mv |
Probability theory |
| dc.subject.unesco.spa.fl_str_mv |
Competencia deportiva |
| dc.subject.unesco.eng.fl_str_mv |
Sports competitions |
| description |
ilustraciones, tablas |
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2022 |
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2022-08-25T19:59:46Z |
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2022-08-25T19:59:46Z |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-04-28 |
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Trabajo de grado - Maestría |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
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Text |
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acceptedVersion |
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https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/82116 |
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Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
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Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
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https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/ |
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https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/82116 https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/ |
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Universidad Nacional de Colombia Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
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eng |
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eng |
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Arksey, H., & O’Malley, L. (2005). Scoping studies: towards a methodological framework. International Journal of Social Research Methodology, 8(1), 19-32. https://doi.org/10.1080/1364557032000119616 Arrondel, L., & Duhautois, R. (2019). Are French Football Fans Sensitive to Outcome Uncertainty?. Economie et Statistique, 513(1), 5-26. DOI:10.24187/ecostat.2019.513.2001 Besters, L. M., van Ours, J. C., & van Tuijl, M. A. (2019). How outcome uncertainty, loss aversion and team quality affect stadium attendance in Dutch professional football. Journal of Economic Psychology, 72, 117-127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2019.03.002 Benz, M. A., Brandes, L., & Franck, E. (2009). Do soccer associations really spend on a good thing? Empirical evidence on heterogeneity in the consumer response to match uncertainty of outcome. Contemporary Economic Policy, 27(2), 216-235. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7287.2008.00127.x Borland, J., & MacDonald, R. (2003). Demand for Sport. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 19(4), 478-502. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/19.4.478 Budzinski, O., & Pawlowski, T. (2017). The behavioral economics of competitive balance: Theories, findings, and implications. International Journal of Sport Finance, 12(2). Buraimo, B., & Simmons, R. (2008). Do sports fans really value uncertainty of outcome? Evidence from the English Premier League. International Journal of Sport Finance, 3(3), 146-155. Buraimo, B., & Simmons, R. (2009). A tale of two audiences: Spectators, television viewers and outcome uncertainty in Spanish football. Journal of Economics and Business, 61(4), 326-338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconbus.2008.10.002 Buraimo, B., & Simmons, R. (2015). Uncertainty of Outcome or Star Quality? Television Audience Demand for English Premier League Football. International Journal of the Economics of Business, 22(3), 449-469. https://doi.org/10.1080/13571516.2015.1010282 Cairns, J., Jennett, N., & Sloane, P. J. (1986). The economics of professional team sports: a survey of theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Studies, 13(1), 3-80. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1108/eb002618 Caruso, R., Addesa, F., & Di Domizio, M. (2019). The determinants of the TV demand for soccer: Empirical evidence on Italian Serie A for the period 2008-2015. Journal of Sports Economics, 20(1), 25-49. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002517717298 Clarivate. (2022). Web of Science Confident research begins here. https://clarivate.com/webofsciencegroup/solutions/web-of-science/ Coates, D., Humphreys, B. R., & Zhou, L. (2014). Reference-dependent preferences, loss aversion, and live game attendance. Economic Inquiry, 52(3), 959-973. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12061 Czarnitzki, D., & Stadtmann, G. (2002). Uncertainty of outcome versus reputation: Empirical evidence for the First German Football Division. Empirical Economics, 27(1), 101-112. https://doi.org/10.1007/s181-002-8361-7 Davis, K., Drey, N., & Gould, D. (2009). What are scoping studies? A review of the nursing literature. International journal of nursing studies, 46(10), 1386-1400. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2009.02.010 Dowling, M., Leopkey, B., & Smith, L. (2018). Governance in Sport: A Scoping Review. Journal of Sport Management, 32(5), 438-451. https://doi.org/10.1123/jsm.2018-0032 Downward, P., Dawson, A., & Dejonghe, T. (2009). Uncertainty of Outcome, Competitive Balance and Bias in Sports Leagues. In Sports Economics (pp. 205-231). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-7506-8354-8.00008-9 Ely, J., Frankel, A., & Kamenica, E. (2015). Suspense and surprise. Journal of Political Economy, 123(1), 215-260. https://doi.org/10.1086/677350 Elsevier. (2022). Elsevier at a glance. https://www.elsevier.com/about/this-is-elsevier Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2002). Outcome uncertainty and attendance demand in sport: the case of English soccer. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 51(2), 229-241. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00314 Forrest, D., Simmons, R., & Buraimo, B. (2005). Outcome uncertainty and the couch potato audience. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 52(4), 641-661. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9485.2005.00360.x Fort, R., & Maxcy, J. (2003). Competitive balance in sports leagues: An introduction. Journal of Sports Economics, 4(2), 154-160. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002503004002005 Gasparetto, T., & Barajas, ´A. (2018). Fan preferences: one country, two markets and different behaviours. European Sport Management Quarterly, 18(3), 330-347. https://doi.org/10.1080/16184742.2017.1394346 Guironnet, J. P. (2018). Incertitude de classement final et affluence en Ligue 1 fran¸caise de football: une nouvelle approche. Revue d’´economie politique, 128(4), 641-666.https://doi.org/10.3917/redp.284.0641 Jennett, N. (1984). Attendances, uncertainty of outcome and policy in Scottish league football. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 31(2), 176-198. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9485.1984.tb00472.x Krautmann, A. C., Lee, Y. H., & Quinn, K. (2011). Playoff uncertainty and pennant races. Journal of Sports Economics, 12(5), 495-514. Levac, D., Colquhoun, H., & O’Brien, K. K. (2010). Scoping studies: advancing the methodology. Implementation Science, 5(1), 69. https://doi.org/10.1186/1748-5908-5-69 Martins, A. M., & Cr´o, S. (2018). The demand for football in Portugal: New insights on outcome uncertainty. Journal of Sports Economics, 19(4), 473-497. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002516661602 Nalbantis, G., Pawlowski, T., & Coates, D. (2017). The Fans’ Perception of Competitive Balance and Its Impact on Willingness-to-Pay for a Single Game. Journal of Sports Economics, 18(5), 479-505. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002515588137 Neale, W. C. (1964). The peculiar economics of professional sports. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 78(1), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.2307/1880543 Pawlowski, T. (2013). Testing the uncertainty of outcome hypothesis in European Professional Football: A stated preference approach. Journal of Sports Economics, 14(4), 341-367. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002513496011 Pawlowski, T., & Anders, C. (2012). Stadium attendance in German professional football - the (un)importance of uncertainty of outcome reconsidered. Applied Economics Letters, 19(16), 1553-1556. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2011.639725 Pawlowski, T., & Nalbantis, G. (2015). Competition format, championship uncertainty and stadium attendance in European football - a small league perspective. Applied Economics, 47(38), 4128-4139. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023949 Pawlowski, T., & Nalbantis, G. (2019). Competitive balance: Measurement and relevance. The SAGE handbook of sports economics, 154-162. Pawlowski, T., Nalbantis, G., & Coates, D. (2018). Perceived game uncertainty, suspense and the demand for sport. Economic Inquiry, 56(1), 173-192. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12462 Pham, M. T., Rajic, A., Greig, J. D., Sargeant, J. M., Papadopoulos, A., & McEwen, S. A. (2014). A scoping review of scoping reviews: advancing the approach and enhancing the consistency. Research synthesis methods, 5(4), 371-385.https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1123 Peters, M. D., Godfrey, C. M., Khalil, H., McInerney, P., Parker, D., & Soares, C. B. (2015). Guidance for conducting systematic scoping reviews. JBI Evidence Implementation, 13(3), 141-146. https://doi.org/10.1097/XEB.0000000000000050 Peel, D., & Thomas, D. (1988). Outcome uncertainty and the demand for football: An analysis of match attendances in the English football league. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 35(3), 242-249. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9485.1988.tb01049.x Peel, D., & Thomas, D. (1992). The demand for football: Some evidence on outcome uncertainty. Empirical Economics, 17(2), 323-331. P´erez, L., Puente, V., & Rodr´ıguez, P. (2017). Factors determining TV soccer viewing: Does uncertainty of outcome really matter? In International Journal of Sport Finance, 12, 124-139. Ritchie, J., Spencer, L., & O’Connor, W. (2003). Carrying out qualitative analysis. Qualitative research practice: A guide for social science students and researchers, 2003, 219-62. Rottenberg, S. (1956). The baseball players’ labor market. Journal of Political Economy, 64(3), 242-258. https://doi.org/10.1086/2577 90 Sanderson, A. R., & Siegfried, J. J. (2003). Thinking about competitive balance. Journal of Sports Economics, 4(4), 255-279. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002503257321 Sauer, R. D. (1998). The economics of wagering markets. Journal of economic Literature, 36(4), 2021-2064. Scelles, N., Durand, C., Bonnal, L., Goyeau, D., & Andreff, W. (2013). Competitive balance versus competitive intensity before a match: Is one of these two concepts more relevant in explaining attendance? The case of the French football Ligue 1 over the period 2008-2011. Applied Economics, 45(29), 4184-4192.https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846 .2013.770124 Schreyer, D., & Ansari, P. (2021). Stadium Attendance Demand Research: A Scoping Review. Journal of Sports Economics, 1-40. https://doi.org/10.1177/15270025211000404 Schreyer, D., & D¨auper, D. (2018). Determinants of spectator no-show behaviour: first empirical evidence from the German Bundesliga. Applied Economics Letters, 25(21), 1475-1480. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2018.1430314 Schreyer, D., Schmidt, S. L., & Torgler, B. (2017). Game Outcome Uncertainty and the Demand for International Football Games: Evidence From the German TV Market. Journal of Media Economics, 30(1), 31-45. Schreyer, D., Schmidt, S.L., & Torgler, B. (2018). Game outcome uncertainty and television audience demand: New evidence from German Football. German Economic Review, 19(2), 140-161. https://doi.org/10.1111/geer.12120 Serrano, R., Garc´ıa-Bernal, J., Fern´andez-Olmos, M., & Espitia-Escuer, M. A. (2015). Expected quality in European football attendance: market value and uncertainty reconsidered. Applied Economics Letters, 22(13), 1051-1054. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2014.997919 Sucharew, H., & Macaluso, M. (2019). Methods for research evidence synthesis: The scoping review approach. Journal of hospital medicine, 14(7), 416-418.https://doi.org/10.12788/jhm.3248 Tricco, A. C., Lillie, E., Zarin, W., O’Brien, K., Colquhoun, H., Kastner, M., Levac, D., Ng, C., Sharpe, J. P., Wilson, K., Kenny, M., Warren, R., Wilson, C., Stelfox, H. T., & Straus, S. E. (2016). A scoping review on the conduct and reporting of scoping reviews. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 16(1), 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s128 74-016-0116-4 |
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Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacional Derechos reservados al autor, 2022 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
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49 páginas |
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Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
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Escuela de Administración y Contaduría Pública |
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Facultad de Ciencias Económicas |
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Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0 InternacionalDerechos reservados al autor, 2022http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Stadtmann, Georg898a7a5d376c884a33709d51c7cbff44Garzón Santos, Claudia Alexandrabc7147a4f6a9857837be00cc61987afdMoreno Garzón, Andrés Camilod86ae102b1043f041329e660d7dcf28a2022-08-25T19:59:46Z2022-08-25T19:59:46Z2022-04-28https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/82116Universidad Nacional de ColombiaRepositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttps://repositorio.unal.edu.co/ilustraciones, tablasThis paper reviews empirical studies that tested the Uncertainty of Outcome Hypothesis proposed by Rottenberg (1956) on the European professional football attendees. First, it reviews the theoretical aspects of the Outcome Uncertainty Hypothesis, match and championship outcome uncertainty measures, and its precedents in European football. In addition, they examine eight empirical articles selected using the scoping review model and compare them in function of shared variables and outcomes. This paper analyses research conducted in different leagues of English football, German Bundesliga, Spanish league, Serie A (Italian league), and Swiss and Austrian leagues. The analysis of this selection concluded that most studies reject the hypothesis of uncertainty of match outcomes and accept the uncertainty of championship outcomes. However, it does not represent a generalisable conclusion due to the sample size.Este artículo revisa los estudios empíricos que pusieron a prueba la hipótesis de la incertidumbre en el resultado propuesta por Rottenberg (1956) en los asistentes al fútbol profesional europeo. En primer lugar, se revisan los aspectos teóricos de la hipótesis de incertidumbre en el resultado, las medidas de incertidumbre de resultados de partidos y campeonatos, y sus precedentes en el fútbol europeo. Además, se examinan ocho artículos empíricos seleccionados mediante el modelo de revisión del alcance y se comparan en función de las variables y los resultados compartidos. Este trabajo analiza las investigaciones realizadas en diferentes ligas del fútbol inglés, la Bundesliga alemana, la liga española, la Serie A (liga italiana) y las ligas suiza y austriaca. El análisis de esta selección concluyó que la mayoría de los estudios rechazan la hipótesis de la incertidumbre de los resultados de los partidos y aceptan la incertidumbre de los resultados del campeonato. Sin embargo, no representa una conclusión generalizable debido al tamaño de la muestra.Programa de doble titulación Universidad Nacional de Colombia Universidad Europea Viadrina, AlemaniaMaestríaMagíster en Administración49 páginasapplication/pdfengUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaBogotá - Ciencias Económicas - Maestría en AdministraciónEscuela de Administración y Contaduría PúblicaFacultad de Ciencias EconómicasBogotá, ColombiaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Bogotá510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadasAttendanceDemandUncertainty of OutcomeFootballSoccerAsistenciaDemandaIncertidumbre del resultadoFútbolTeoría de probabilidadesProbability theoryCompetencia deportivaSports competitionsUncertainty of outcome hypothesis in professional football: A scoping reviewHipótesis de la incertidumbre en el resultado en el fútbol profesional: Una revisión de alcanceTrabajo de grado - Maestríainfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionTexthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TMArksey, H., & O’Malley, L. (2005). Scoping studies: towards a methodological framework. International Journal of Social Research Methodology, 8(1), 19-32. https://doi.org/10.1080/1364557032000119616Arrondel, L., & Duhautois, R. (2019). Are French Football Fans Sensitive to Outcome Uncertainty?. Economie et Statistique, 513(1), 5-26. DOI:10.24187/ecostat.2019.513.2001Besters, L. M., van Ours, J. C., & van Tuijl, M. A. (2019). How outcome uncertainty, loss aversion and team quality affect stadium attendance in Dutch professional football. Journal of Economic Psychology, 72, 117-127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2019.03.002Benz, M. A., Brandes, L., & Franck, E. (2009). Do soccer associations really spend on a good thing? Empirical evidence on heterogeneity in the consumer response to match uncertainty of outcome. Contemporary Economic Policy, 27(2), 216-235. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7287.2008.00127.xBorland, J., & MacDonald, R. (2003). Demand for Sport. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 19(4), 478-502. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/19.4.478Budzinski, O., & Pawlowski, T. (2017). The behavioral economics of competitive balance: Theories, findings, and implications. International Journal of Sport Finance, 12(2).Buraimo, B., & Simmons, R. (2008). Do sports fans really value uncertainty of outcome? Evidence from the English Premier League. International Journal of Sport Finance, 3(3), 146-155.Buraimo, B., & Simmons, R. (2009). A tale of two audiences: Spectators, television viewers and outcome uncertainty in Spanish football. Journal of Economics and Business, 61(4), 326-338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconbus.2008.10.002Buraimo, B., & Simmons, R. (2015). Uncertainty of Outcome or Star Quality? Television Audience Demand for English Premier League Football. International Journal of the Economics of Business, 22(3), 449-469. https://doi.org/10.1080/13571516.2015.1010282Cairns, J., Jennett, N., & Sloane, P. J. (1986). The economics of professional team sports: a survey of theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Studies, 13(1), 3-80. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1108/eb002618Caruso, R., Addesa, F., & Di Domizio, M. (2019). The determinants of the TV demand for soccer: Empirical evidence on Italian Serie A for the period 2008-2015. Journal of Sports Economics, 20(1), 25-49. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002517717298Clarivate. (2022). Web of Science Confident research begins here. https://clarivate.com/webofsciencegroup/solutions/web-of-science/Coates, D., Humphreys, B. R., & Zhou, L. (2014). Reference-dependent preferences, loss aversion, and live game attendance. Economic Inquiry, 52(3), 959-973. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12061Czarnitzki, D., & Stadtmann, G. (2002). Uncertainty of outcome versus reputation: Empirical evidence for the First German Football Division. Empirical Economics, 27(1), 101-112. https://doi.org/10.1007/s181-002-8361-7Davis, K., Drey, N., & Gould, D. (2009). What are scoping studies? A review of the nursing literature. International journal of nursing studies, 46(10), 1386-1400. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2009.02.010Dowling, M., Leopkey, B., & Smith, L. (2018). Governance in Sport: A Scoping Review. Journal of Sport Management, 32(5), 438-451. https://doi.org/10.1123/jsm.2018-0032Downward, P., Dawson, A., & Dejonghe, T. (2009). Uncertainty of Outcome, Competitive Balance and Bias in Sports Leagues. In Sports Economics (pp. 205-231). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-7506-8354-8.00008-9Ely, J., Frankel, A., & Kamenica, E. (2015). Suspense and surprise. Journal of Political Economy, 123(1), 215-260. https://doi.org/10.1086/677350Elsevier. (2022). Elsevier at a glance. https://www.elsevier.com/about/this-is-elsevierForrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2002). Outcome uncertainty and attendance demand in sport: the case of English soccer. 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