Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk
The mining industry in Colombia has reached an important position in the international market and the national economy, so, in order to describe the dynamics of the mining market, analyze the structure of the industry and make a comparison with estimates mineral production released at the National M...
- Autores:
-
Franco-Sepúlveda, Giovanni
Villa-Posada, Luz Viviana
Henao-Gómez, Cristian Camilo
- Tipo de recurso:
- Article of journal
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2014
- Institución:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Repositorio:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Idioma:
- spa
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/50494
- Acceso en línea:
- https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/50494
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/44491/
- Palabra clave:
- Economy
Deterministic
Stochastic
Model
Projection
Uncertainty
Risk.
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
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Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 InternacionalDerechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Franco-Sepúlveda, Giovanni48ef6e1a-590f-4a3b-a09c-d394e2522934300Villa-Posada, Luz Vivianab4b6dfa3-ff15-4a70-9fb5-8ca300e222e5300Henao-Gómez, Cristian Camilob8167c52-40e9-4e89-9474-f77acf5b8e2a3002019-06-29T10:21:25Z2019-06-29T10:21:25Z2014-10-24https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/50494http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/44491/The mining industry in Colombia has reached an important position in the international market and the national economy, so, in order to describe the dynamics of the mining market, analyze the structure of the industry and make a comparison with estimates mineral production released at the National Mining Development Plan (PNDM) Unidad de Planeacion Minero Energetica (UPME), the @Risk tool is implemented. This tool and methodology defined in this article, allows for uncertainty and risk estimates in a simulation that generates a projection with a time horizon to 2019 the historical mining (extraction considering among years 1970 to 2013) of coal, gold and limestone, building alternative models that can be replicated by the mining institution in their respective futures PNDM and its updates.application/pdfspaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellínhttp://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/41055Universidad Nacional de Colombia Revistas electrónicas UN DynaDynaDyna; Vol. 81, núm. 187 (2014); 193-198 DYNA; Vol. 81, núm. 187 (2014); 193-198 2346-2183 0012-7353Franco-Sepúlveda, Giovanni and Villa-Posada, Luz Viviana and Henao-Gómez, Cristian Camilo (2014) Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk. Dyna; Vol. 81, núm. 187 (2014); 193-198 DYNA; Vol. 81, núm. 187 (2014); 193-198 2346-2183 0012-7353 .Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @riskArtículo de revistainfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Texthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ARTEconomyDeterministicStochasticModelProjectionUncertaintyRisk.ORIGINAL41055-185043-1-SP.pdfapplication/pdf66200https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/50494/1/41055-185043-1-SP.pdfa216b47245fd0651203f9951cfe7f099MD5141055-227058-1-PB.pdfapplication/pdf327941https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/50494/2/41055-227058-1-PB.pdf512793485031c95f144263c09c5f6e4bMD52THUMBNAIL41055-185043-1-SP.pdf.jpg41055-185043-1-SP.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg7193https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/50494/3/41055-185043-1-SP.pdf.jpgcf536c2827e8d273b70b260dd2b72da3MD5341055-227058-1-PB.pdf.jpg41055-227058-1-PB.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg9221https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/50494/4/41055-227058-1-PB.pdf.jpg30ed4929fed905edd3370198eceb8202MD54unal/50494oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/504942022-12-20 23:06:10.287Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiarepositorio_nal@unal.edu.co |
| dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk |
| title |
Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk |
| spellingShingle |
Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk Economy Deterministic Stochastic Model Projection Uncertainty Risk. |
| title_short |
Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk |
| title_full |
Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk |
| title_fullStr |
Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk |
| title_sort |
Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Franco-Sepúlveda, Giovanni Villa-Posada, Luz Viviana Henao-Gómez, Cristian Camilo |
| dc.contributor.author.spa.fl_str_mv |
Franco-Sepúlveda, Giovanni Villa-Posada, Luz Viviana Henao-Gómez, Cristian Camilo |
| dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv |
Economy Deterministic Stochastic Model Projection Uncertainty Risk. |
| topic |
Economy Deterministic Stochastic Model Projection Uncertainty Risk. |
| description |
The mining industry in Colombia has reached an important position in the international market and the national economy, so, in order to describe the dynamics of the mining market, analyze the structure of the industry and make a comparison with estimates mineral production released at the National Mining Development Plan (PNDM) Unidad de Planeacion Minero Energetica (UPME), the @Risk tool is implemented. This tool and methodology defined in this article, allows for uncertainty and risk estimates in a simulation that generates a projection with a time horizon to 2019 the historical mining (extraction considering among years 1970 to 2013) of coal, gold and limestone, building alternative models that can be replicated by the mining institution in their respective futures PNDM and its updates. |
| publishDate |
2014 |
| dc.date.issued.spa.fl_str_mv |
2014-10-24 |
| dc.date.accessioned.spa.fl_str_mv |
2019-06-29T10:21:25Z |
| dc.date.available.spa.fl_str_mv |
2019-06-29T10:21:25Z |
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Artículo de revista |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
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http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
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Text |
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https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/50494 |
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http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/44491/ |
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https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/50494 http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/44491/ |
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spa |
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spa |
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http://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/41055 |
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Universidad Nacional de Colombia Revistas electrónicas UN Dyna Dyna |
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Dyna; Vol. 81, núm. 187 (2014); 193-198 DYNA; Vol. 81, núm. 187 (2014); 193-198 2346-2183 0012-7353 |
| dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv |
Franco-Sepúlveda, Giovanni and Villa-Posada, Luz Viviana and Henao-Gómez, Cristian Camilo (2014) Projections in the national mining development plan (nmdp) using @risk. Dyna; Vol. 81, núm. 187 (2014); 193-198 DYNA; Vol. 81, núm. 187 (2014); 193-198 2346-2183 0012-7353 . |
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Derechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
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Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional Derechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombia http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
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