Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems

We propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explo...

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Autores:
Cardoza Montalvo, David
Uribe Gil, Jorge Mario
Palacios Peñaranda, Jairo Arcesio
Tipo de recurso:
Article of journal
Fecha de publicación:
2018
Institución:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/68495
Acceso en línea:
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/68495
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/69528/
Palabra clave:
62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering
photovoltaic systems
horizontal solar radiation
structural breakpoints
renewable energy sources
risk measurement
sistemas fotovoltaicos
radiación solar horizontal
quiebres estructurales
energías renovables
evaluación del riesgo
Rights
openAccess
License
Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
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spelling Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 InternacionalDerechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Cardoza Montalvo, Davida38aca5d-a0d3-4b12-9c05-c3990d6e2360300Uribe Gil, Jorge Mariofcca2c33-6eb9-455d-8b05-51d6936546eb300Palacios Peñaranda, Jairo Arcesio285864ef-d0f2-4149-acfe-654e0838c6cb3002019-07-03T06:56:40Z2019-07-03T06:56:40Z2018-04-01ISSN: 2346-2183https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/68495http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/69528/We propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explored in depth. Our proposal uses public weather time series, which are usually recorded by meteorological observatories. This makes our approach a suitable strategy for any firm interested in applying it to its own data and projects. This approach also allows the user to set an appropriate level of confidence for the scenarios depending on her interests.Se propone una metodología para realizar simulaciones de escenarios de operación de sistemas solares fotovoltaicos. Esta aproximación tiene en cuenta características documentadas de las variables climáticas, como su estacionalidad y la presencia de quiebres estructurales, las cuales no han sido exploradas anteriormente con profundidad. La propuesta usa series de tiempo de datos de diferentes variables climáticas, las cuales son normalmente recolectadas por estaciones meteorológicas; esto le da utilidad a nuestra propuesta, ya que cualquier firma interesada pueda aplicar nuestro planteamiento a sus propios datos y proyectos. Este enfoque también les permite a los usuarios establecer un nivel de confianza adecuado para los escenarios de operación en los cuales se tenga interés.application/pdfspaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín - Facultad de Minashttps://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/62970Universidad Nacional de Colombia Revistas electrónicas UN DynaDynaCardoza Montalvo, David and Uribe Gil, Jorge Mario and Palacios Peñaranda, Jairo Arcesio (2018) Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems. DYNA, 85 (205). pp. 98-104. ISSN 2346-218362 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineeringphotovoltaic systemshorizontal solar radiationstructural breakpointsrenewable energy sourcesrisk measurementsistemas fotovoltaicosradiación solar horizontalquiebres estructuralesenergías renovablesevaluación del riesgoRisk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systemsArtículo de revistainfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Texthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ARTORIGINAL62970-384327-1-PB.pdfapplication/pdf517110https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/68495/1/62970-384327-1-PB.pdfec9746114de79b5c95c8915886d6ca09MD51THUMBNAIL62970-384327-1-PB.pdf.jpg62970-384327-1-PB.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg9623https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/68495/2/62970-384327-1-PB.pdf.jpgc041a2768f38423e4194ed3a08739ba2MD52unal/68495oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/684952023-06-04 23:03:04.125Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiarepositorio_nal@unal.edu.co
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
title Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
spellingShingle Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering
photovoltaic systems
horizontal solar radiation
structural breakpoints
renewable energy sources
risk measurement
sistemas fotovoltaicos
radiación solar horizontal
quiebres estructurales
energías renovables
evaluación del riesgo
title_short Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
title_full Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
title_fullStr Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
title_full_unstemmed Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
title_sort Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Cardoza Montalvo, David
Uribe Gil, Jorge Mario
Palacios Peñaranda, Jairo Arcesio
dc.contributor.author.spa.fl_str_mv Cardoza Montalvo, David
Uribe Gil, Jorge Mario
Palacios Peñaranda, Jairo Arcesio
dc.subject.ddc.spa.fl_str_mv 62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering
topic 62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering
photovoltaic systems
horizontal solar radiation
structural breakpoints
renewable energy sources
risk measurement
sistemas fotovoltaicos
radiación solar horizontal
quiebres estructurales
energías renovables
evaluación del riesgo
dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv photovoltaic systems
horizontal solar radiation
structural breakpoints
renewable energy sources
risk measurement
sistemas fotovoltaicos
radiación solar horizontal
quiebres estructurales
energías renovables
evaluación del riesgo
description We propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explored in depth. Our proposal uses public weather time series, which are usually recorded by meteorological observatories. This makes our approach a suitable strategy for any firm interested in applying it to its own data and projects. This approach also allows the user to set an appropriate level of confidence for the scenarios depending on her interests.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.issued.spa.fl_str_mv 2018-04-01
dc.date.accessioned.spa.fl_str_mv 2019-07-03T06:56:40Z
dc.date.available.spa.fl_str_mv 2019-07-03T06:56:40Z
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv Artículo de revista
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dc.identifier.issn.spa.fl_str_mv ISSN: 2346-2183
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/68495
dc.identifier.eprints.spa.fl_str_mv http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/69528/
identifier_str_mv ISSN: 2346-2183
url https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/68495
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/69528/
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv spa
language spa
dc.relation.spa.fl_str_mv https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/62970
dc.relation.ispartof.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia Revistas electrónicas UN Dyna
Dyna
dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv Cardoza Montalvo, David and Uribe Gil, Jorge Mario and Palacios Peñaranda, Jairo Arcesio (2018) Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems. DYNA, 85 (205). pp. 98-104. ISSN 2346-2183
dc.rights.spa.fl_str_mv Derechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.license.spa.fl_str_mv Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
dc.rights.uri.spa.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.rights.accessrights.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
Derechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.mimetype.spa.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín - Facultad de Minas
institution Universidad Nacional de Colombia
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/68495/1/62970-384327-1-PB.pdf
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