Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
We propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explo...
- Autores:
-
Cardoza Montalvo, David
Uribe Gil, Jorge Mario
Palacios Peñaranda, Jairo Arcesio
- Tipo de recurso:
- Article of journal
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2018
- Institución:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Repositorio:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Idioma:
- spa
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/68495
- Acceso en línea:
- https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/68495
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/69528/
- Palabra clave:
- 62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering
photovoltaic systems
horizontal solar radiation
structural breakpoints
renewable energy sources
risk measurement
sistemas fotovoltaicos
radiación solar horizontal
quiebres estructurales
energías renovables
evaluación del riesgo
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
| Summary: | We propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explored in depth. Our proposal uses public weather time series, which are usually recorded by meteorological observatories. This makes our approach a suitable strategy for any firm interested in applying it to its own data and projects. This approach also allows the user to set an appropriate level of confidence for the scenarios depending on her interests. |
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