Análisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidad

ilustraciones, graficas

Autores:
Tinoco Robledo, Emilio José
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2022
Institución:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/83055
Acceso en línea:
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/83055
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
Palabra clave:
620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::624 - Ingeniería civil
510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadas
ARENA
METODO DE MONTECARLO
Sand
Monte carlo method
Producción de arena
Análisis por confiabilidad
Evaluación de la incertidumbre
Simulación de Monte Carlo
Hasofer Lind
Sand production
Reliability analysis
Uncertainty assessment
Monte Carlo simulation
Hasofer Lind
Rights
openAccess
License
Reconocimiento 4.0 Internacional
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oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/83055
network_acronym_str UNACIONAL2
network_name_str Universidad Nacional de Colombia
repository_id_str
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Análisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidad
dc.title.translated.eng.fl_str_mv Reliability assessment of sand production onset in hydrocarbon production wells
title Análisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidad
spellingShingle Análisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidad
620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::624 - Ingeniería civil
510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadas
ARENA
METODO DE MONTECARLO
Sand
Monte carlo method
Producción de arena
Análisis por confiabilidad
Evaluación de la incertidumbre
Simulación de Monte Carlo
Hasofer Lind
Sand production
Reliability analysis
Uncertainty assessment
Monte Carlo simulation
Hasofer Lind
title_short Análisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidad
title_full Análisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidad
title_fullStr Análisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidad
title_full_unstemmed Análisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidad
title_sort Análisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidad
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Tinoco Robledo, Emilio José
dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv Rodríguez Pineda, Carlos Eduardo
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv Tinoco Robledo, Emilio José
dc.contributor.researchgroup.spa.fl_str_mv Grupo de Geotecnia
dc.contributor.orcid.spa.fl_str_mv Tinoco Robledo, Emilio Jose [0000000295742271]
dc.subject.ddc.spa.fl_str_mv 620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::624 - Ingeniería civil
510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadas
topic 620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::624 - Ingeniería civil
510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadas
ARENA
METODO DE MONTECARLO
Sand
Monte carlo method
Producción de arena
Análisis por confiabilidad
Evaluación de la incertidumbre
Simulación de Monte Carlo
Hasofer Lind
Sand production
Reliability analysis
Uncertainty assessment
Monte Carlo simulation
Hasofer Lind
dc.subject.lemb.spa.fl_str_mv ARENA
METODO DE MONTECARLO
dc.subject.lemb.eng.fl_str_mv Sand
Monte carlo method
dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv Producción de arena
Análisis por confiabilidad
Evaluación de la incertidumbre
Simulación de Monte Carlo
Hasofer Lind
dc.subject.proposal.eng.fl_str_mv Sand production
Reliability analysis
Uncertainty assessment
Monte Carlo simulation
Hasofer Lind
description ilustraciones, graficas
publishDate 2022
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2022
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2023-01-23T13:13:15Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2023-01-23T13:13:15Z
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv Trabajo de grado - Maestría
dc.type.driver.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
dc.type.version.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
dc.type.content.spa.fl_str_mv Text
dc.type.redcol.spa.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TM
status_str acceptedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/83055
dc.identifier.instname.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifier.reponame.spa.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifier.repourl.spa.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
url https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/83055
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
identifier_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv spa
language spa
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Ahad, Nur Aqilah, Morteza Jami, & Stephen Tyson. 2020. “A Review of Experimental Studies on Sand Screen Selection for Unconsolidated Sandstone Reservoirs.” Journal of Petroleum Exploration & Production Technology 10(4): 1675–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13202-019-00826-y.
Al-Ajmi, Adel M., & Robert W. Zimmerman. 2005. “Relation between the Mogi & the Coulomb Failure Criteria.” International Journal of Rock Mechanics & Mining Sciences 42(3): 431–39.
Al-Awad, Musaed N.J., Abdel Alim H. El-Sayed, & Saad El Din M. Desouky. 1999. “Factors Affecting Sand Production from Unconsolidated Sandstone Saudi Oil & Gas Reservoir.” Journal of King Saud University - Engineering Sciences 11(1): 151–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1018-3639(18)30995-4.
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spelling Reconocimiento 4.0 Internacionalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Rodríguez Pineda, Carlos Eduardob954af0360b40e5197ca64222afcdc8cTinoco Robledo, Emilio Joséa56724b4fcc6c715f51162490475159aGrupo de GeotecniaTinoco Robledo, Emilio Jose [0000000295742271]2023-01-23T13:13:15Z2023-01-23T13:13:15Z2022https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/83055Universidad Nacional de ColombiaRepositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttps://repositorio.unal.edu.co/ilustraciones, graficasLa producción de arena es un problema geomecánico complejo en la industria de hidrocarburos que involucra las propiedades de la roca, los esfuerzos, el cambio en la presión de poros del yacimiento y cambios operacionales en los pozos. Múltiples modelos analíticos y numéricos determinísticos se han desarrollado para investigar cuáles son las condiciones que desencadenan el inicio de la producción de arena. Basados en la evaluación por confiabilidad, buscamos identificar cuáles son los factores que condicionan el inicio de la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos. Para ello, mediante las técnicas de simulación de Hasofer Lind y Monte Carlo modelamos como variables aleatorias los parámetros y propiedades geomecánicas que representan la resistencia y las cargas de la función del margen de seguridad derivada de modelos analíticos propuestos en la literatura científica. Nuestros resultados muestran que la resistencia a la compresión no confinada de la roca, el esfuerzo horizontal máximo, el agotamiento de la presión de yacimiento y el drawdown tienen la mayor influencia en el inicio de la producción de arena. El análisis por confiabilidad en pozos con producción y sin producción de arena sugiere que valores del índice de confiabilidad menores o iguales a 2.6 representan una amenaza alta de iniciar producción de arena, valores mayores a 2.6 y menores a 3.0 una amenaza media y valores mayores o iguales a 3.0 una amenaza baja (Texto tomado de la fuente)Sand production is a complex geomechanical problem in the hydrocarbon industry involving rock properties, stresses, change in reservoir pore pressure and operational conditions. Multiple deterministic analytical and numerical models have been developed to examine the conditions that trigger the onset of sand production. Based on reliability assessment, we seek to identify the factors that influence the onset of sand production in hydrocarbon production wells. For this purpose, using Hasofer Lind and Monte Carlo simulation techniques, we model as random variables the geomechanical parameters and properties that represent the resistance and loads of the safety margin function derived from analytical models proposed in the scientific literature. Our results show that unconfined rock compressive strength, maximum horizontal stress, reservoir pressure depletion and drawdown significantly influence the onset of sand production. Reliability analysis in sand-producing and sand-free wells suggests that reliability index values less than or equal to 2.6 represent a high hazard of initiating sand production, values greater than 2.6 and less than 3.0 represent a medium hazard, and values greater than or equal to 3.0 are associated with a low hazard.Anexo digital que contiene el código desarrollado en Python de las simulaciones de Monte Carlo y Hasofer LindMaestríaMagíster en Ingeniería - GeotecniaGeotecnia básica183 páginasapplication/pdfspaUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaBogotá - Ingeniería - Maestría en Ingeniería - GeotecniaFacultad de IngenieríaBogotá, ColombiaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Bogotá620 - Ingeniería y operaciones afines::624 - Ingeniería civil510 - Matemáticas::519 - Probabilidades y matemáticas aplicadasARENAMETODO DE MONTECARLOSandMonte carlo methodProducción de arenaAnálisis por confiabilidadEvaluación de la incertidumbreSimulación de Monte CarloHasofer LindSand productionReliability analysisUncertainty assessmentMonte Carlo simulationHasofer LindAnálisis de los factores que condicionan la producción de arena en pozos de producción de hidrocarburos aplicando la evaluación por confiabilidadReliability assessment of sand production onset in hydrocarbon production wellsTrabajo de grado - Maestríainfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionTexthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TMAbbas, Ahmed K., Ralph E. Flori, Mortadha Alsaba, & Mohammed F. Al Dushaishi. 2020. “Application of Quantitative Risk Assessment for Optimum Mud Weight Window Design.” 54th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium.Ahad, Nur Aqilah, Morteza Jami, & Stephen Tyson. 2020. “A Review of Experimental Studies on Sand Screen Selection for Unconsolidated Sandstone Reservoirs.” Journal of Petroleum Exploration & Production Technology 10(4): 1675–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13202-019-00826-y.Al-Ajmi, Adel M., & Robert W. Zimmerman. 2005. “Relation between the Mogi & the Coulomb Failure Criteria.” International Journal of Rock Mechanics & Mining Sciences 42(3): 431–39.Al-Awad, Musaed N.J., Abdel Alim H. El-Sayed, & Saad El Din M. Desouky. 1999. “Factors Affecting Sand Production from Unconsolidated Sandstone Saudi Oil & Gas Reservoir.” Journal of King Saud University - Engineering Sciences 11(1): 151–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1018-3639(18)30995-4.Allahverdizadeh, P., D. V. Griffiths, & G. A. 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