The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia

This paper analyses the feasibility of forecasting daily, weekly and ten-day water-levels at 20 hydrological stations forming part of the monitoring network supporting the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies’ (IDEAM) Alert Service in Colombia (www.ideam.gov.co). Such viabil...

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Autores:
Domínguez Calle, Efraín Antonio
Angarita, Héctor
Rivera, Hebert
Tipo de recurso:
Article of journal
Fecha de publicación:
2010
Institución:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/29664
Acceso en línea:
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/29664
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/2/
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/8/
Palabra clave:
pronósticos hidrológicos
modelación matemática
combinaciones lineales adaptativamente óptimas
hydrological forecasting
mathematical modelling
optimal linear adaptive combination
Rights
openAccess
License
Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
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oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/29664
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network_name_str Universidad Nacional de Colombia
repository_id_str
spelling Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 InternacionalDerechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Domínguez Calle, Efraín Antonioe2fe2c74-5ecf-44b6-b9e7-5488cfb50b16300Angarita, Héctord32b75a9-d209-4439-824b-ae415f9ab95c300Rivera, Hebert7cab228a-4cb4-453c-839a-14c9c8df4a8b3002019-06-26T13:43:56Z2019-06-26T13:43:56Z2010https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/29664http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/2/http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/8/This paper analyses the feasibility of forecasting daily, weekly and ten-day water-levels at 20 hydrological stations forming part of the monitoring network supporting the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies’ (IDEAM) Alert Service in Colombia (www.ideam.gov.co). Such viability was determined by a set of orthogonal performance criteria and implementing optimally adaptive linear combinations (OALC) was recommended for this study as a viable operator for configuring a real-time hydrological forecast system. It is shown that the forecast for daily, weekly and ten-day levels had satisfactory viability for 70% of the cases studied.El presente artículo analiza y concluye sobre la viabilidad de pronósticos hidrológicos de niveles diarios, semanales y decadales en 20 estaciones hidrológicas de la red de monitoreo hidrometeorológico que soporta al Servicio de Alertas del Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y Estudios Ambientales – Ideam en Colombia (www.ideam.gov.co). Esta viabilidad se determina a través de un conjunto de criterios de desempeño ortogonales y para el presente estudio recomienda la aplicación de combinaciones lineales adaptativamente óptimas (CLAO) como operador viable para la configuración de un sistema de pronóstico hidrológico en tiempo real de niveles diarios, semanales y decadales. En conclusión, se muestra que los pronósticos de niveles diarios, semanales y decadales tienen una viabilidad de pronóstico satisfactoria para el 70% de los casos estudiados.application/pdfspaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Facultad de Ingenieríahttp://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/ingeinv/article/view/15748Universidad Nacional de Colombia Revistas electrónicas UN Ingeniería e InvestigaciónIngeniería e InvestigaciónIngeniería e Investigación; Vol. 30, núm. 2 (2010); 178-187 Ingeniería e Investigación; Vol. 30, núm. 2 (2010); 178-187 2248-8723 0120-5609Domínguez Calle, Efraín Antonio and Angarita, Héctor and Rivera, Hebert (2010) The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia. Ingeniería e Investigación; Vol. 30, núm. 2 (2010); 178-187 Ingeniería e Investigación; Vol. 30, núm. 2 (2010); 178-187 2248-8723 0120-5609 .The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombiaArtículo de revistainfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Texthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ARTpronósticos hidrológicosmodelación matemáticacombinaciones lineales adaptativamente óptimashydrological forecastingmathematical modellingoptimal linear adaptive combinationORIGINAL15748-48394-1-PB.pdfapplication/pdf356286https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/29664/1/15748-48394-1-PB.pdfce517366b2ec1fba4e0c866ea9ee9d10MD51THUMBNAIL15748-48394-1-PB.pdf.jpg15748-48394-1-PB.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg9006https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/29664/2/15748-48394-1-PB.pdf.jpg1fd6d6d9905f1f0b7d0c9aee2c9f9c07MD52unal/29664oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/296642023-11-21 23:06:35.762Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiarepositorio_nal@unal.edu.co
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia
title The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia
spellingShingle The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia
pronósticos hidrológicos
modelación matemática
combinaciones lineales adaptativamente óptimas
hydrological forecasting
mathematical modelling
optimal linear adaptive combination
title_short The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia
title_full The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia
title_fullStr The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia
title_full_unstemmed The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia
title_sort The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Domínguez Calle, Efraín Antonio
Angarita, Héctor
Rivera, Hebert
dc.contributor.author.spa.fl_str_mv Domínguez Calle, Efraín Antonio
Angarita, Héctor
Rivera, Hebert
dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv pronósticos hidrológicos
modelación matemática
combinaciones lineales adaptativamente óptimas
hydrological forecasting
mathematical modelling
optimal linear adaptive combination
topic pronósticos hidrológicos
modelación matemática
combinaciones lineales adaptativamente óptimas
hydrological forecasting
mathematical modelling
optimal linear adaptive combination
description This paper analyses the feasibility of forecasting daily, weekly and ten-day water-levels at 20 hydrological stations forming part of the monitoring network supporting the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies’ (IDEAM) Alert Service in Colombia (www.ideam.gov.co). Such viability was determined by a set of orthogonal performance criteria and implementing optimally adaptive linear combinations (OALC) was recommended for this study as a viable operator for configuring a real-time hydrological forecast system. It is shown that the forecast for daily, weekly and ten-day levels had satisfactory viability for 70% of the cases studied.
publishDate 2010
dc.date.issued.spa.fl_str_mv 2010
dc.date.accessioned.spa.fl_str_mv 2019-06-26T13:43:56Z
dc.date.available.spa.fl_str_mv 2019-06-26T13:43:56Z
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv Artículo de revista
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dc.type.driver.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/29664
dc.identifier.eprints.spa.fl_str_mv http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/2/
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/8/
url https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/29664
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/2/
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/19712/8/
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv spa
language spa
dc.relation.spa.fl_str_mv http://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/ingeinv/article/view/15748
dc.relation.ispartof.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia Revistas electrónicas UN Ingeniería e Investigación
Ingeniería e Investigación
dc.relation.ispartofseries.none.fl_str_mv Ingeniería e Investigación; Vol. 30, núm. 2 (2010); 178-187 Ingeniería e Investigación; Vol. 30, núm. 2 (2010); 178-187 2248-8723 0120-5609
dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv Domínguez Calle, Efraín Antonio and Angarita, Héctor and Rivera, Hebert (2010) The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in colombia. Ingeniería e Investigación; Vol. 30, núm. 2 (2010); 178-187 Ingeniería e Investigación; Vol. 30, núm. 2 (2010); 178-187 2248-8723 0120-5609 .
dc.rights.spa.fl_str_mv Derechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.license.spa.fl_str_mv Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
dc.rights.uri.spa.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.rights.accessrights.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
Derechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.mimetype.spa.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Facultad de Ingeniería
institution Universidad Nacional de Colombia
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