Modeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectories

ilustraciones, mapas

Autores:: Díez Echavarría, Luisa Fernanda

Tipo de recurso:: Doctoral thesis

Fecha de publicación:: 2024

Institución:: Universidad Nacional de Colombia

Repositorio:: Universidad Nacional de Colombia

Idioma:

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oai_identifier_str	oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/85895
network_acronym_str	UNACIONAL2
network_name_str	Universidad Nacional de Colombia
repository_id_str
dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv	Modeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectories
dc.title.translated.spa.fl_str_mv	Modelación de sistemas socio-ecológicos : influencia de la estructura de gobernanza en las trayectorias de cobertura y uso del suelo
title	Modeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectories
spellingShingle	Modeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectories 000 - Ciencias de la computación, información y obras generales::003 - Sistemas 630 - Agricultura y tecnologías relacionadas 000 - Ciencias de la computación, información y obras generales::003 - Sistemas Gobernanza de la tierra Agricultores - Toma de decisiones Cobertura de suelos - Toma de decisiones Distribución espacial - Simulación Utilización de la tierra Uso de la tierra - Métodos de simulación Uso de la tierra Cuencas hidrográficas Desarrollo sostenible Ecosistemas terrestres Simulación por computadores Governance Social-ecological systems Land cover and use Individual decision Modeling and simulation Gobernanza Sistemas socio-ecológicos Cobertura y uso del suelo Modelado y simulación Decisión individual
title_short	Modeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectories
title_full	Modeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectories
title_fullStr	Modeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectories
title_full_unstemmed	Modeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectories
title_sort	Modeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectories
dc.creator.fl_str_mv	Díez Echavarría, Luisa Fernanda
dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv	Villegas Palacio, Clara Inés Arango Aramburo, Santiago
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv	Díez Echavarría, Luisa Fernanda
dc.contributor.researchgroup.spa.fl_str_mv	Ciencias de la Decision
dc.contributor.orcid.spa.fl_str_mv	Díez Echavarría, Luisa Fernanda [0000-0001-6022-6595]
dc.contributor.cvlac.spa.fl_str_mv	https://scienti.minciencias.gov.co/cvlac/visualizador/generarCurriculoCv.do?cod_rh=0000010115
dc.contributor.scopus.spa.fl_str_mv	https://www.scopus.com/authid/detail.uri?authorId=56495602600
dc.contributor.researchgate.spa.fl_str_mv	https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Luisa-Diez-Echavarria
dc.contributor.googlescholar.spa.fl_str_mv	https://scholar.google.es/citations?user=PD0aaXEAAAAJ&hl=es
dc.subject.ddc.spa.fl_str_mv	000 - Ciencias de la computación, información y obras generales::003 - Sistemas 630 - Agricultura y tecnologías relacionadas 000 - Ciencias de la computación, información y obras generales::003 - Sistemas
topic	000 - Ciencias de la computación, información y obras generales::003 - Sistemas 630 - Agricultura y tecnologías relacionadas 000 - Ciencias de la computación, información y obras generales::003 - Sistemas Gobernanza de la tierra Agricultores - Toma de decisiones Cobertura de suelos - Toma de decisiones Distribución espacial - Simulación Utilización de la tierra Uso de la tierra - Métodos de simulación Uso de la tierra Cuencas hidrográficas Desarrollo sostenible Ecosistemas terrestres Simulación por computadores Governance Social-ecological systems Land cover and use Individual decision Modeling and simulation Gobernanza Sistemas socio-ecológicos Cobertura y uso del suelo Modelado y simulación Decisión individual
dc.subject.agrovoc.none.fl_str_mv	Gobernanza de la tierra Agricultores - Toma de decisiones Cobertura de suelos - Toma de decisiones Distribución espacial - Simulación Utilización de la tierra
dc.subject.armarc.none.fl_str_mv	Uso de la tierra - Métodos de simulación
dc.subject.lemb.none.fl_str_mv	Uso de la tierra Cuencas hidrográficas Desarrollo sostenible Ecosistemas terrestres Simulación por computadores
dc.subject.proposal.eng.fl_str_mv	Governance Social-ecological systems Land cover and use Individual decision Modeling and simulation
dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv	Gobernanza Sistemas socio-ecológicos Cobertura y uso del suelo Modelado y simulación Decisión individual
description	ilustraciones, mapas
publishDate	2024
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv	2024-04-10T19:34:18Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv	2024-04-10T19:34:18Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv	2024-03-20
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv	Trabajo de grado - Doctorado
dc.type.driver.spa.fl_str_mv	info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis
dc.type.version.spa.fl_str_mv	info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
dc.type.coar.spa.fl_str_mv	http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06
dc.type.content.spa.fl_str_mv	Text
dc.type.redcol.spa.fl_str_mv	http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TD
format	http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06
status_str	acceptedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv	https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/85895
dc.identifier.instname.spa.fl_str_mv	Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifier.reponame.spa.fl_str_mv	Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifier.repourl.spa.fl_str_mv	https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
url	https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/85895 https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
identifier_str_mv	Universidad Nacional de Colombia Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.relation.indexed.spa.fl_str_mv	LaReferencia
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V., Gardner, R.H., Milne, B.T., 1989. Effects of changing spatial scale on the analysis of landscape pattern. Landsc. Ecol. 3, 153–162. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00131534 United Nations. (2023). Times of crisis, times of change. Science for accelerating transformations to sustainable development. https://sdgs.un.org/sites/default/files/2023-09/FINAL GSDR 2023-Digital -110923_1.pdf van Vliet, J., Bregt, A. K., Brown, D. G., van Delden, H., Heckbert, S., & Verburg, P. H. (2016). A review of current calibration and validation practices in land-change modeling. Environmental Modelling and Software, 82, 174–182. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.04.017 van Vliet, J., Magliocca, N. R., Büchner, B., Cook, E., Rey Benayas, J. M., Ellis, E. C., Heinimann, A., Keys, E., Lee, T. M., Liu, J., Mertz, O., Meyfroidt, P., Moritz, M., Poeplau, C., Robinson, B. E., Seppelt, R., Seto, K. C., & Verburg, P. H. (2016). Meta-studies in land use science: Current coverage and prospects. 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spelling	Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0 Internacionalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Villegas Palacio, Clara Inés9bab9890d6e63f22b4b9ead6f09a5085Arango Aramburo, Santiago214c2102e45a3ac8004821f24543d086Díez Echavarría, Luisa Fernandaf6db3fff7671bc4dc8fd095b551eac42Ciencias de la DecisionDíez Echavarría, Luisa Fernanda [0000-0001-6022-6595]https://scienti.minciencias.gov.co/cvlac/visualizador/generarCurriculoCv.do?cod_rh=0000010115https://www.scopus.com/authid/detail.uri?authorId=56495602600https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Luisa-Diez-Echavarriahttps://scholar.google.es/citations?user=PD0aaXEAAAAJ&hl=es2024-04-10T19:34:18Z2024-04-10T19:34:18Z2024-03-20https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/85895Universidad Nacional de ColombiaRepositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttps://repositorio.unal.edu.co/ilustraciones, mapasEn esta tesis se muestra una ruta metodológica para analizar el efecto de la gobernanza multinivel en la trayectoria espacio-temporal de los usos y coberturas del suelo (LUC). Para esto se utilizó un caso de estudio en una zona de una cuenca hidrográfica estratégica en los Andes Colombianos: cuenca de los ríos Grande y Chico. El primer estudio subraya la importancia de considerar diversas extensiones espaciales y características de gobernanza a la hora de analizar los patrones de cambio LUC en la cuenca. Allí se desafía el enfoque convencional de utilizar unidades de análisis genéricas como una cuenca, destacando el atractivo de la ganadería lechera en una zona que se convierte en el centro de la tesis. A partir de este punto, el análisis se basa en la estructura del modelo de causas de cambio de LUC: fuerza subyacente, agente mediador y causa inmediata. La fuerza subyacente de los cambios de LUC se describe en el segundo estudio, donde se definen la estructura de gobernanza según tres funciones, y se analiza su coherencia para lograr objetivos. Mediante el análisis de redes sociales geo-localizadas, se revelan ciclos de realimentación inconexos con objetivos de producción y conservación, y aboga por una gobernanza impulsada por la comunidad para fomentar la participación activa y mitigar los conflictos. El agente mediador de los cambios de LUC es el centro del tercer estudio, que explora el impacto de la estructura de gobernanza en las decisiones de los campesinos sobre el LUC. Se definen las variables de cada función de gobernanza y se evalúa su efecto en la decisión mediante la estimación de un modelo de Regresión Aparentemente No Relacionada. En el estudio se encuentra que los actores que promueven proyectos de producción los que ejercen un mayor impacto en el campesino, y se propone explorar diversas configuraciones de gobernanza para comprender sus implicaciones en las trayectorias de LUC. El cuarto estudio se enfoca en la causa inmediata de los cambios de LUC, introduciendo un modelo de simulación del sistema socio-ecológico (SSE) a nivel de finca con el lenguaje y ambiente de simulación Ocelet, y haciendo hincapié en la necesidad de una medición robusta y la integración de variables sociales. Los resultados revelan el reto que supone romper la dinámica de equilibrio en el SES en términos de los LUC y el control de la erosión hídrica, haciendo énfasis en la importancia de adaptar las políticas en función de los tipos de campesinos y sus fincas para abordar la sensibilidad a los cambios en la gobernanza. Esta tesis, mediante la aplicación de diversas metodologías, disminuye brechas de conceptualización y operacionalización del SES. Las contribuciones desde el punto de vista académico y de planeación territorial, mejoran la comprensión de estos sistemas altamente complejos y aportan en el diseño de políticas más efectivas para un territorio sostenible. (Tomado de la fuente)This thesis shows a methodological route to analyze the effect of multilevel governance on the spatio-temporal trajectory of land use and land cover (LUC). For this purpose, a case study was used in a strategic basin area in the Colombian Andes: the Grande and Chico River basin. The first study highlights the importance of considering diverse spatial extents and governance characteristics when analyzing LUC change patterns. There, the conventional approach of using generic units of analysis such as a basin is challenged, highlighting the attractiveness of dairy farming in an area that becomes the focus of the thesis. From this point, the analysis is based on the structure of the LUC model of causes of change: underlying driver, mediating agent, and proximate cause. The underlying driver of LUC change is described in the second study, which defines the governance structure according to three functions, and analyzes their coherence to achieve objectives. Geo-located social network analysis reveals disconnected feedback loops with production and conservation objectives and argues for community-driven governance to foster active participation and mitigate conflict. The mediating agent of LUC change is the focus of the third study, which explores the impact of governance structure on farmers' LUC decisions. The variables of each governance function are defined and their effect on the decision is evaluated by estimating a Seemingly Unrelated Regression model. The study finds that actors promoting production projects have the greatest impact on the farmer and proposes to explore various governance configurations to understand their implications on LUC trajectories. The fourth study focuses on the proximate cause of LUC change, introducing a simulation model of the social-ecological system (SES) at the farm level with the Ocelet simulation language and environment, and emphasizing the need for robust measurement and integration of social variables. The results reveal the challenge of breaking the equilibrium dynamics in the SES in terms of LUCs and water erosion control, emphasizing the importance of tailoring policies according to the types of farmers and their farms to address sensitivity to changes in governance. Through the application of diverse methodologies, this thesis reduces gaps in the conceptualization and operationalization of the SES. The contributions from the academic and territorial planning perspectives improve the understanding of these highly complex systems and contribute to the design of more effective policies for a sustainable territory.DoctoradoDoctor en IngenieríaIngeniería De Sistemas E Informática.Sede Medellín115 páginasapplication/pdfUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaMedellín - Minas - Doctorado en Ingeniería - SistemasFacultad de MinasMedellín, ColombiaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín000 - Ciencias de la computación, información y obras generales::003 - Sistemas630 - Agricultura y tecnologías relacionadas000 - Ciencias de la computación, información y obras generales::003 - SistemasGobernanza de la tierraAgricultores - Toma de decisionesCobertura de suelos - Toma de decisionesDistribución espacial - SimulaciónUtilización de la tierraUso de la tierra - Métodos de simulaciónUso de la tierraCuencas hidrográficasDesarrollo sostenibleEcosistemas terrestresSimulación por computadoresGovernanceSocial-ecological systemsLand cover and useIndividual decisionModeling and simulationGobernanzaSistemas socio-ecológicosCobertura y uso del sueloModelado y simulaciónDecisión individualModeling social-ecological systems : influence of governance structure on land cover and land use trajectoriesModelación de sistemas socio-ecológicos : influencia de la estructura de gobernanza en las trayectorias de cobertura y uso del sueloTrabajo de grado - Doctoradoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06Texthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TDAntioquia, ColombiaLaReferenciaAbel, O. 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