The Homicide Atlas in Colombia: Contagion and Under-Registration for Small Areas

The homocide atlas in Colombia is a visual representation of both expansion and aggravation of the armed internal conflict for the deadly decades of 1990 to 2009. However, mortality under-registration remains an issue in most developing countries, more remarkably when studying particular causes of d...

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Autores:
Urdinola, B. Piedad
Torres Áviles†, Francisco
Velasco, Jairo Alexander
Tipo de recurso:
Article of journal
Fecha de publicación:
2017
Institución:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/62644
Acceso en línea:
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/62644
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/61803/
Palabra clave:
9 Geografía e Historia / History and geography
bayesian spatial analysis
small area estimation
homicide atlas
demography of conflict
mortality under-registration.
análisis espacial bayesiano
atlas de homicidio
demografía de conflicto
estimación de área pequeña
subregistro de mortalidad.
análise espacial bayesiana
atlas de homicídio
demografia de conflito
estimativa de área pequena
sub-registro de mortalidade.
Rights
openAccess
License
Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
Description
Summary:The homocide atlas in Colombia is a visual representation of both expansion and aggravation of the armed internal conflict for the deadly decades of 1990 to 2009. However, mortality under-registration remains an issue in most developing countries, more remarkably when studying particular causes of death on small areas. This document proposes a Bayesian spatial method to identify mortality under-registration in municipalities. Probability maps help to identify under-registered municipalities in Colombia that coincide with the rise of violence at the turn of the century, which is not captured in vital registration systems. It also shows that women suffer of higher under-registration issues than men. Corrected homicide Atlases facilitate interpretation and the proposed methodology proves to be a good source of under-registration identification in small populations.