Decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo
ilustraciones, diagramas, tablas
- Autores:
-
García Mazo, Claudia María
- Tipo de recurso:
- Doctoral thesis
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2022
- Institución:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Repositorio:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Idioma:
- spa
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/81996
- Palabra clave:
- Finanzas
Economía
Mercados de Energía
Generadores termoelectricos
Thermoelectric generators
Incertidumbre
Complementariedad
Diversificación
Energía Hidráulica
Energía Eólica
Opciones Reales
Teoría de Juegos
Juego de Opciones
Uncertainty
Complementarity
Diversification
Hydro-power
Wind-Power
Real Options
Game Theory
Option Game
- Rights
- closedAccess
- License
- Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0 Internacional
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| dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
Decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo |
| dc.title.translated.eng.fl_str_mv |
Strategic investment decisions in renewable energy for generators in a competitive electricity market |
| title |
Decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo |
| spellingShingle |
Decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo Finanzas Economía Mercados de Energía Generadores termoelectricos Thermoelectric generators Incertidumbre Complementariedad Diversificación Energía Hidráulica Energía Eólica Opciones Reales Teoría de Juegos Juego de Opciones Uncertainty Complementarity Diversification Hydro-power Wind-Power Real Options Game Theory Option Game |
| title_short |
Decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo |
| title_full |
Decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo |
| title_fullStr |
Decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo |
| title_sort |
Decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
García Mazo, Claudia María |
| dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv |
Botero Botero, Sergio Olaya, Yris |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
García Mazo, Claudia María |
| dc.subject.ddc.spa.fl_str_mv |
Finanzas Economía Mercados de Energía |
| topic |
Finanzas Economía Mercados de Energía Generadores termoelectricos Thermoelectric generators Incertidumbre Complementariedad Diversificación Energía Hidráulica Energía Eólica Opciones Reales Teoría de Juegos Juego de Opciones Uncertainty Complementarity Diversification Hydro-power Wind-Power Real Options Game Theory Option Game |
| dc.subject.lemb.none.fl_str_mv |
Generadores termoelectricos Thermoelectric generators |
| dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv |
Incertidumbre Complementariedad Diversificación Energía Hidráulica Energía Eólica Opciones Reales Teoría de Juegos Juego de Opciones |
| dc.subject.proposal.eng.fl_str_mv |
Uncertainty Complementarity Diversification Hydro-power Wind-Power Real Options Game Theory Option Game |
| description |
ilustraciones, diagramas, tablas |
| publishDate |
2022 |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-08-22T20:20:02Z |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-08-22T20:20:02Z |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-08-18 |
| dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv |
Trabajo de grado - Doctorado |
| dc.type.driver.spa.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06 |
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Text |
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http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TD |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06 |
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acceptedVersion |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/81996 |
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Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
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Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
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https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/ |
| url |
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/81996 https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/ |
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Universidad Nacional de Colombia Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
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spa |
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spa |
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Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0 Internacionalinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cbBotero Botero, Sergio8570007158169aa7e9d0ec814380de02Olaya, Yris1b1069f5a00097783f4b91c60c397235600García Mazo, Claudia María2bb8bfe7ecf5808f6049a06d7bcd2f016002022-08-22T20:20:02Z2022-08-22T20:20:02Z2022-08-18https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/81996Universidad Nacional de ColombiaRepositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttps://repositorio.unal.edu.co/ilustraciones, diagramas, tablasEste trabajo muestra un modelo de decisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivo, desde la perspectiva de la complementariedad de los recursos, la diversificación y la inversión estratégica en un mercado energético con dos fuentes de energía: Hidráulica y Eólica. Esta propuesta desarrolla un modelo de apoyo a la toma de decisiones, para que un inversionista de proyectos de electricidad pueda elegir en que tecnología debe invertir en su expansión, teniendo en cuenta la flexibilidad e incertidumbre en la toma de decisiones y el comportamiento estratégico de los competidores. Esta investigación utiliza el Juego de Opciones que combina las Opciones Reales y la Teoría de Juegos para considerar plenamente el problema de la inversión. El modelo usa información de los caudales con alta correlación negativa con el viento del mercado eléctrico colombiano. Algunas contribuciones se presentan a continuación: • Los beneficios individuales dependen de la disponibilidad de recursos caudal y viento y la interacción estratégica entre los competidores. • La diversificación tiene un valor estratégico para los individuos y para la seguridad del suministro. • El factor de planta es la variable más apropiada para representar la incertidumbre del clima, dado que permite una simulación realista de la volatilidad, y además ayuda a correlacionar el riesgo operativo y el financiero en el análisis de flujos de caja. • El Juego de Opciones ayuda a los generadores de electricidad a tomar una decisión óptima para obtener altos beneficios de acuerdo con su perfil de riesgo y maximizar los beneficios. (Texto tomado de la fuente)This proposal presents a strategic investment decisions model in renewable energy for generators in a competitive electricity market, from the perspective of resource complementarity, diversification, and strategic investment in an energy market with two energy resources: Hydro and Wind power. The proposal develops a decision support model so that an investor in electricity projects can choose in which technologies to invest in its expansion, considering flexibility and uncertainty in the decision-making and strategic competitor behavior. This proposal uses the Option Games that combines the Real Option and Game Theory to fully consider the investment problem. The model uses hydro flow information with a high negative correlation with the wind of the Colombian electricity market. Some contributions are presented next: • Individual benefits depend on the availability of flow and wind resources and strategic interactions between competitors. • Diversification has a strategic value to individuals and supply security. • The capacity factor is the most appropriate variable to represent the weather uncertainty, due to, it allows a realistic simulation of volatility, and also helps to correlate operational and financial risk in cash flow. • The Option Games helps the electricity generators optimal make decisions to obtain high benefits according to their risk profile and maximize profits.DoctoradoDoctor en IngenieríaFinanzas – Mercado de EnergíaÁrea Curricular de Ingeniería Administrativa e Ingeniería Industrialxvii, 155 páginasapplication/pdfspaUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaMedellín - Minas - Doctorado en Ingeniería - Industria y OrganizacionesDepartamento de Ingeniería de la OrganizaciónFacultad de MinasMedellín, ColombiaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede MedellínFinanzasEconomíaMercados de EnergíaGeneradores termoelectricosThermoelectric generatorsIncertidumbreComplementariedadDiversificaciónEnergía HidráulicaEnergía EólicaOpciones RealesTeoría de JuegosJuego de OpcionesUncertaintyComplementarityDiversificationHydro-powerWind-PowerReal OptionsGame TheoryOption GameDecisiones estratégicas de inversión en energía renovable para generadores en un mercado eléctrico competitivoStrategic investment decisions in renewable energy for generators in a competitive electricity marketTrabajo de grado - Doctoradoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06Texthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TDAbapour, S., Nazari-Heris, M., Mohammadi-Ivatloo, B., & Tarafdar Hagh, M. 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