Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges
As the electricity industry is changing worldwide with the advent of renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power, so the major concerns of policy makers are now security of supply and electricity prices to consumers. The new industry conditions of intermittency, seasonality, global-climate...
- Autores:
-
Zapata Ramirez, Sebastian
- Tipo de recurso:
- Doctoral thesis
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2017
- Institución:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Repositorio:
- Universidad Nacional de Colombia
- Idioma:
- spa
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/62269
- Acceso en línea:
- https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/62269
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/61283/
- Palabra clave:
- 62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering
Seguridad de suministro
Energías renovables
Mercados de electricidad
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
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Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges |
| title |
Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges |
| spellingShingle |
Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges 62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering Seguridad de suministro Energías renovables Mercados de electricidad |
| title_short |
Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges |
| title_full |
Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges |
| title_fullStr |
Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges |
| title_sort |
Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Zapata Ramirez, Sebastian |
| dc.contributor.author.spa.fl_str_mv |
Zapata Ramirez, Sebastian |
| dc.contributor.spa.fl_str_mv |
Franco Cardona, Carlos Jaime Dyner, Isaac |
| dc.subject.ddc.spa.fl_str_mv |
62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering |
| topic |
62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering Seguridad de suministro Energías renovables Mercados de electricidad |
| dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv |
Seguridad de suministro Energías renovables Mercados de electricidad |
| description |
As the electricity industry is changing worldwide with the advent of renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power, so the major concerns of policy makers are now security of supply and electricity prices to consumers. The new industry conditions of intermittency, seasonality, global-climate - variation and their effect on security of supply increase problem complexity, making difficult the task of pursuing three conflicting goals in the power industry: security of supply, competitive prices and environmental protection. In this context, and given the multiple uncertainties in power supply, most notably the technology transformation, this study uses modelling-based scenario analysis to investigate different, extreme, though plausible futures. System dynamics has been considered for the analysis of policy aimed at increasing the enetration of renewables and to explore how these energy sources may affect system reliability. Our study concludes that for the Colombian case, the large hydroelectric component has led to high olatility, thereby increasing the risk to capacity investment. Though not intuitive at first glance, renewable energies will stabilise the system in the medium-term by reducing price volatility (except when there is a very high level of installed renewables), and increasing security of supply, given their energy complementarity |
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2017 |
| dc.date.issued.spa.fl_str_mv |
2017-12-17 |
| dc.date.accessioned.spa.fl_str_mv |
2019-07-02T20:55:36Z |
| dc.date.available.spa.fl_str_mv |
2019-07-02T20:55:36Z |
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Trabajo de grado - Doctorado |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06 |
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http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TD |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06 |
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acceptedVersion |
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https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/62269 |
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http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/61283/ |
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https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/62269 http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/61283/ |
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spa |
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spa |
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Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín Facultad de Minas Escuela de Sistemas Escuela de Sistemas |
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Zapata Ramirez, Sebastian (2017) Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges. Doctorado thesis, Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín. |
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Derechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
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http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
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Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional |
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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional Derechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombia http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
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Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 InternacionalDerechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombiahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Franco Cardona, Carlos JaimeDyner, IsaacZapata Ramirez, Sebastiand76201f9-02ae-4b7a-a324-c51eef0858343002019-07-02T20:55:36Z2019-07-02T20:55:36Z2017-12-17https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/62269http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/61283/As the electricity industry is changing worldwide with the advent of renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power, so the major concerns of policy makers are now security of supply and electricity prices to consumers. The new industry conditions of intermittency, seasonality, global-climate - variation and their effect on security of supply increase problem complexity, making difficult the task of pursuing three conflicting goals in the power industry: security of supply, competitive prices and environmental protection. In this context, and given the multiple uncertainties in power supply, most notably the technology transformation, this study uses modelling-based scenario analysis to investigate different, extreme, though plausible futures. System dynamics has been considered for the analysis of policy aimed at increasing the enetration of renewables and to explore how these energy sources may affect system reliability. Our study concludes that for the Colombian case, the large hydroelectric component has led to high olatility, thereby increasing the risk to capacity investment. Though not intuitive at first glance, renewable energies will stabilise the system in the medium-term by reducing price volatility (except when there is a very high level of installed renewables), and increasing security of supply, given their energy complementarityResumen: Con el cambio de la industria de electricidad y el aumento de las energías renovables, como solar y eólica, una de las mayores preocupaciones de los reguladores es garantizar la seguridad de suministro y precios asequibles para los consumidores finales. Las nuevas condiciones de intermitencia, estacionalidad, variación climática global y su efecto en la seguridad de suministro aumentan la complejidad del problema, haciendo difícil la labor de conseguir estas tres metas las cuales parecen ser conflictivas en la industria de electricidad. En este contexto y dado las múltiples incertidumbres que presenta el sector de generación de electricidad, en la que se incluye cambio tecnológico dado la penetración de las energías renovables. Esta investigación usa modelación de diferentes escenarios para investigar diferentes, extremos pero posibles futuros. En este estudio se concluye para el caso colombiano el cual cuenta con una importante componente hidroeléctrica, la cual conduce a alta volatilidad en los precios, incrementando el riesgo en inversión en nueva capacidad y reduciendo. Aunque no es intuitivo a primera vista, las energías renovables contribuyen a estabilizar en el mediano y largo plazo el sistema de generación reduciendo la volatilidad en el precio e incrementan do la seguridad de suministro, dada por la complementariedad entre las diferentes fuentes de energíaDoctoradoapplication/pdfspaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín Facultad de Minas Escuela de SistemasEscuela de SistemasZapata Ramirez, Sebastian (2017) Effect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challenges. Doctorado thesis, Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín.62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / EngineeringSeguridad de suministroEnergías renovablesMercados de electricidadEffect on security of supply of renewable energy penetration in an electricity market: risks, opportunities, and challengesTrabajo de grado - Doctoradoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06Texthttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/TDORIGINAL1036931829.2017.pdfTesis de Doctorado en Ingeniería - Sistemasapplication/pdf2907309https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/62269/1/1036931829.2017.pdf7e6eae1635347655837fcf124d7a7a16MD51THUMBNAIL1036931829.2017.pdf.jpg1036931829.2017.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg4347https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/bitstream/unal/62269/2/1036931829.2017.pdf.jpge4db691056e68dafd9d04fdb66aadd92MD52unal/62269oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/622692024-04-23 23:09:04.968Repositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombiarepositorio_nal@unal.edu.co |