Quantitative evidence of goodwin’s non-linear growth cycles

The article searches for quantitative evidence in favor of an extended version of Goodwin´s predator-prey model of endogenous distribution-employment cycles for 16 countries. The model is extended to include several harmonics in both series. The model fits all the observations both within sample and...

Full description

Autores:
García Molina, Mario
Tipo de recurso:
Work document
Fecha de publicación:
2010
Institución:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/69929
Acceso en línea:
https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/69929
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/2049/
Palabra clave:
33 Economía / Economics
Predator – prey model, Non – linear dynamic behavior, Demand cycles, Employment, Distribution.
Rights
openAccess
License
Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
Description
Summary:The article searches for quantitative evidence in favor of an extended version of Goodwin´s predator-prey model of endogenous distribution-employment cycles for 16 countries. The model is extended to include several harmonics in both series. The model fits all the observations both within sample and out of sample for half of the countries, with a 10% error, and for 4 countries with a 5% error. This suggests that the model may be useful in empirical work.