Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes
ABSTRACT : Landslides triggered by rainfall are one of the most frequent causes of disasters in tropical countries and mountainous terrains. Recent studies show an upsurge in landslide occurrence as an expected impact of human-induced climate change. This paper presents the analysis and implementati...
- Autores:
-
Aristizábal Giraldo, Edier Vicente
García Aristizábal, Edwin Fabián
Marín Sánchez, Roberto José
Gómez Cardona, Federico
Guzmán Martínez, Juan Carlos
- Tipo de recurso:
- Article of investigation
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2022
- Institución:
- Universidad de Antioquia
- Repositorio:
- Repositorio UdeA
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:bibliotecadigital.udea.edu.co:10495/32769
- Acceso en línea:
- https://hdl.handle.net/10495/32769
https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/343311
- Palabra clave:
- Desastres naturales
Natural disasters
Desprendimientos de tierra
Landslides
Cambio climático
Climate change
Amenazas naturales
Natural hazards
http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/co/
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| dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes |
| dc.title.alternative.spa.fl_str_mv |
Efecto de la lluvia en la amenaza por movimientos en masa asociada al cambio climático |
| title |
Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes |
| spellingShingle |
Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes Desastres naturales Natural disasters Desprendimientos de tierra Landslides Cambio climático Climate change Amenazas naturales Natural hazards http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 |
| title_short |
Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes |
| title_full |
Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes |
| title_fullStr |
Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes |
| title_sort |
Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Aristizábal Giraldo, Edier Vicente García Aristizábal, Edwin Fabián Marín Sánchez, Roberto José Gómez Cardona, Federico Guzmán Martínez, Juan Carlos |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Aristizábal Giraldo, Edier Vicente García Aristizábal, Edwin Fabián Marín Sánchez, Roberto José Gómez Cardona, Federico Guzmán Martínez, Juan Carlos |
| dc.subject.lemb.none.fl_str_mv |
Desastres naturales Natural disasters Desprendimientos de tierra Landslides |
| topic |
Desastres naturales Natural disasters Desprendimientos de tierra Landslides Cambio climático Climate change Amenazas naturales Natural hazards http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 |
| dc.subject.agrovoc.none.fl_str_mv |
Cambio climático Climate change |
| dc.subject.proposal.spa.fl_str_mv |
Amenazas naturales Natural hazards |
| dc.subject.agrovocuri.none.fl_str_mv |
http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666 |
| description |
ABSTRACT : Landslides triggered by rainfall are one of the most frequent causes of disasters in tropical countries and mountainous terrains. Recent studies show an upsurge in landslide occurrence as an expected impact of human-induced climate change. This paper presents the analysis and implementation of two different physically-based models, SHALSTAB and TRIGRS, to evaluate the effect of rainfall on landslide hazard assessment in the north-western Colombian Andes. Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves were used in climate change scenarios for different return periods. According to the results, although higher rainfall intensities increase, landslide occurrence does not escalate in a direct or proportional relationship. Considering a steady infiltration process (SHALSTAB), the results show an expansion of d unstable areas, compared with a transient infiltration process (TRIGRS). A greater influence of rainfall duration instead of rainfall intensity was observed. The results highlight the need for studies that incorporate the scenarios of variability and climate change in the hazard assessment and land planning in the long term. |
| publishDate |
2022 |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-12-13T16:00:19Z |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-12-13T16:00:19Z |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2022 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
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http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1 |
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https://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ART |
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Artículo de investigación |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1 |
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E. V. Aristizábal Giraldo, E. García Aristizábal, R. Marín Sánchez, F. Gómez Cardona, and J. C. Guzmán Martínez, “Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes”, Rev.Fac.Ing.Univ.Antioquia, no. 103, pp. 51–66, Dec. 2022. |
| dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv |
0120-6230 |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
https://hdl.handle.net/10495/32769 |
| dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
10.17533/udea.redin.20201215 |
| dc.identifier.eissn.none.fl_str_mv |
2422-2844 |
| dc.identifier.url.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/343311 |
| identifier_str_mv |
E. V. Aristizábal Giraldo, E. García Aristizábal, R. Marín Sánchez, F. Gómez Cardona, and J. C. Guzmán Martínez, “Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes”, Rev.Fac.Ing.Univ.Antioquia, no. 103, pp. 51–66, Dec. 2022. 0120-6230 10.17533/udea.redin.20201215 2422-2844 |
| url |
https://hdl.handle.net/10495/32769 https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/343311 |
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eng |
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eng |
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Rev. Fac. Ing. Univ. Antioquia |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/co/ |
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https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ |
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openAccess |
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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/co/ http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ |
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Universidad de Antioquia, Facultad de Ingeniería |
| dc.publisher.group.spa.fl_str_mv |
Grupo de Investigación en Infraestructura (GII) |
| dc.publisher.place.spa.fl_str_mv |
Medellín, Colombia |
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Universidad de Antioquia |
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Aristizábal Giraldo, Edier VicenteGarcía Aristizábal, Edwin FabiánMarín Sánchez, Roberto JoséGómez Cardona, FedericoGuzmán Martínez, Juan Carlos2022-12-13T16:00:19Z2022-12-13T16:00:19Z2022E. V. Aristizábal Giraldo, E. García Aristizábal, R. Marín Sánchez, F. Gómez Cardona, and J. C. Guzmán Martínez, “Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian Andes”, Rev.Fac.Ing.Univ.Antioquia, no. 103, pp. 51–66, Dec. 2022.0120-6230https://hdl.handle.net/10495/3276910.17533/udea.redin.202012152422-2844https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/343311ABSTRACT : Landslides triggered by rainfall are one of the most frequent causes of disasters in tropical countries and mountainous terrains. Recent studies show an upsurge in landslide occurrence as an expected impact of human-induced climate change. This paper presents the analysis and implementation of two different physically-based models, SHALSTAB and TRIGRS, to evaluate the effect of rainfall on landslide hazard assessment in the north-western Colombian Andes. Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves were used in climate change scenarios for different return periods. According to the results, although higher rainfall intensities increase, landslide occurrence does not escalate in a direct or proportional relationship. Considering a steady infiltration process (SHALSTAB), the results show an expansion of d unstable areas, compared with a transient infiltration process (TRIGRS). A greater influence of rainfall duration instead of rainfall intensity was observed. The results highlight the need for studies that incorporate the scenarios of variability and climate change in the hazard assessment and land planning in the long term.RESUMEN : Los movimientos en masa detonados por lluvias son una de las causas más frecuentes de desastres en países tropicales y terrenos montañosos. Estudios recientes muestran un aumento en la ocurrencia de movimientos en masa como un impacto esperado del cambio climático inducido por el hombre. Este documento presenta el análisis y la implementación de dos modelos diferentes basados en la física, SHALSTAB y TRIGRS, para evaluar el efecto de las lluvias en la evaluación de peligros de movimientos en masa en los Andes del noroeste colombiano. Las curvas intensidad-duración-frecuencia se utilizaron en escenarios de cambio climático para diferentes períodos de retorno. Según los resultados, aunque aumentan las intensidades de lluvia más altas, la ocurrencia de movimientos en masa no aumenta en una relación directa o proporcional. Teniendo en cuenta un proceso de infiltración constante (SHALSTAB), los resultados muestran áreas inestables mayores, en comparación con un proceso de infiltración transitoria (TRIGRS). Se observó una mayor influencia de la duración de la lluvia en lugar de la intensidad de la lluvia. Los resultados resaltan la necesidad de estudios que incorporen los escenarios de variabilidad y cambio climático en la evaluación de amenaza y la ordenación del territorio a largo plazo.COL015536716application/pdfengUniversidad de Antioquia, Facultad de IngenieríaGrupo de Investigación en Infraestructura (GII)Medellín, Colombiainfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1https://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ARTArtículo de investigaciónhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/co/http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/Rainfall-intensity effect on landslide hazard assessment due to climate change in north-western Colombian AndesEfecto de la lluvia en la amenaza por movimientos en masa asociada al cambio climáticoDesastres naturalesNatural disastersDesprendimientos de tierraLandslidesCambio climáticoClimate changeAmenazas naturalesNatural hazardshttp://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666Rev. Fac. Ing. Univ. AntioquiaRevista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia5166103CC-LICENSElicense_rdflicense_rdfapplication/rdf+xml; charset=utf-81051https://bibliotecadigital.udea.edu.co/bitstream/10495/32769/2/license_rdfe2060682c9c70d4d30c83c51448f4eedMD52LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81748https://bibliotecadigital.udea.edu.co/bitstream/10495/32769/3/license.txt8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33MD53ORIGINALAristizabalEdier_2022_Rainfallintensityeffect.pdfAristizabalEdier_2022_Rainfallintensityeffect.pdfArtículo de investigaciónapplication/pdf435852https://bibliotecadigital.udea.edu.co/bitstream/10495/32769/1/AristizabalEdier_2022_Rainfallintensityeffect.pdfa1a9a231abf754070ad8e7c7f6b1e5bbMD5110495/32769oai:bibliotecadigital.udea.edu.co:10495/327692022-12-13 11:00:20.374Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Antioquiaandres.perez@udea.edu.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 |