Elaboración de un método para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las fuerzas armadas
Con base en estudios previos se identificó la necesidad de aumentar la validez de la toma de decisiones estratégicas para determinar (aclarar) la estrategia de desarrollo de las capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas en el largo plazo. Se identificó la necesidad de elaborar un método multicriterio para...
- Autores:
-
SURKOV, OLEH
- Tipo de recurso:
- Article of investigation
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2022
- Institución:
- Universidad Católica de Colombia
- Repositorio:
- RIUCaC - Repositorio U. Católica
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repository.ucatolica.edu.co:10983/29794
- Acceso en línea:
- https://doi.org/10.14718/NovumJus.2022.16.3.4
- Palabra clave:
- método
análisis estratégico
Fuerzas Armadas
reforma de la defensa
revisión de defensa
método
análise estratégica
Forças Armadas
reforma da defesa
revisão de defesa
method
strategic analysis
Armed Forces
defence reform
defence review
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- OLEH SURKOV - 2022
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| dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
Elaboración de un método para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las fuerzas armadas |
| dc.title.translated.eng.fl_str_mv |
Elaboration of a method for strategic analysis of the development of the Armed Forces |
| title |
Elaboración de un método para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las fuerzas armadas |
| spellingShingle |
Elaboración de un método para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las fuerzas armadas método análisis estratégico Fuerzas Armadas reforma de la defensa revisión de defensa método análise estratégica Forças Armadas reforma da defesa revisão de defesa method strategic analysis Armed Forces defence reform defence review |
| title_short |
Elaboración de un método para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las fuerzas armadas |
| title_full |
Elaboración de un método para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las fuerzas armadas |
| title_fullStr |
Elaboración de un método para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las fuerzas armadas |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Elaboración de un método para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las fuerzas armadas |
| title_sort |
Elaboración de un método para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las fuerzas armadas |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
SURKOV, OLEH |
| dc.contributor.author.spa.fl_str_mv |
SURKOV, OLEH |
| dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv |
método análisis estratégico Fuerzas Armadas reforma de la defensa revisión de defensa método análise estratégica Forças Armadas reforma da defesa revisão de defesa |
| topic |
método análisis estratégico Fuerzas Armadas reforma de la defensa revisión de defensa método análise estratégica Forças Armadas reforma da defesa revisão de defesa method strategic analysis Armed Forces defence reform defence review |
| dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
method strategic analysis Armed Forces defence reform defence review |
| description |
Con base en estudios previos se identificó la necesidad de aumentar la validez de la toma de decisiones estratégicas para determinar (aclarar) la estrategia de desarrollo de las capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas en el largo plazo. Se identificó la necesidad de elaborar un método multicriterio para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas basado en datos estadísticos sobre los resultados de la reforma y revisión del sector de la defensa, minimizando el uso de juicios de expertos. Para la elaboración del método se utilizó un enfoque conceptual que combina las etapas seleccionadas de elección de áreas prioritarias para el desarrollo de las capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas y una forma recursiva de organización del proceso de cómputo. El proceso involucró el desarrollo de un sistema de indicadores y criterios de desempeño, sus coeficientes de peso, funciones recursivas y objetivo para construir un modelo matemático que sintetice los resultados del análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas. El método de análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas mediante el método recursivo de organización del proceso computacional (SADAF-RW) permite obtener valoraciones objetivas y el efecto esperado de implementar la opción estratégica elegida para la toma de decisiones estratégicas. Está dirigido a mejorar el estado de preparación y capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas en el largo plazo, minimizando el uso de juicios de expertos. El método puede ser utilizado en la elaboración de un aparato científico y metodológico para evaluar la eficacia de la planificación estratégica en el desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas, ya que se basa en los principios de objetividad de las evaluaciones, consistencia y eficacia de las decisiones estratégicas. |
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2022 |
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2022-12-19 11:59:48 |
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2022-12-19 11:59:48 |
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2022-12-19 |
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Artículo de revista |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1 |
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Text |
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Journal article |
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http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ART |
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10.14718/NovumJus.2022.16.3.4 |
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2500-8692 |
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1692-6013 |
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eng |
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Núm. 3 , Año 2022 : Octubre - Diciembre |
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105 |
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Novum Jus |
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Albán Guevara, Rodolfo. “Civil Society in the Promotion and Protection of Democracy in the Americas.” Novum Jus 3, no. 1 (2009): 263–294. Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine. Resolution no. 941, “Procedure for Conducting a Defence Inspection by the Ministry of Defence”. (2018). http://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/941-2018-%D0%BF (accessed June 28, 2022) Cáceres Mendoza, Enrique. “Transitional Justice and Right to Integral Reparation: An Approach to the Colombian Case.” Novum Jus, 7 no. 2 (2013): 55–87, https://doi.org/10.14718/NovumJus.2013.7.2.2. Calabrese, Armando, Roberta Costa, Nathan Levialdi, and Tamara Menichini. “Integrating Sustainability into Strategic Decision-Making: A Fuzzy AHP Method for the Selection of Relevant Sustainability Issues.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 139, (2019): 155-168. Camelo, Heyder Alfonso. “Transformation of the Dynamics of Confrontation in the Armed Conflict.” Novum Jus 5, no. 1 (2011): 55–78 Cita Triana, Ricardo Antonio and Camilo Alberto Quintero Jiménez. “Security Perspectives: Analysis of Crime-Prevention Strategies in Usme.” Novum Jus 5, no. 2 (2011): 103–128. Coffey, Joseph, and Klaus von Schubert. Defense and Detente: U.S. and West German Perspectives on Defense Policy. Taylor and Francis, 2022. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429036163. Džeko, Mišo, Kadoic Nikola, and Dobrovic Željko. “Metamodeling SNAP, a Multi-Criteria Method for Effective Strategic Decision Making on E-learning Issues” (2019). https:// www.researchgate.net/publication/333402136_Metamodeling_SNAP_a_MultiCriteria_Method_for_Effective_Strategic_Decision_Making_on_e-Learning_Issues (accessed June 30, 2022). Ferrari Puerta, Alberto José. “The Concept of Just War throughout the Ages.” Novum Jus 15, no. 1 (2021): 91–115. Gandarias, Nerea Toledo, and Jose Ramon Otegi Olaso. “A Novel Method for Strategic Decision Making Based on Project Management Maturity.” Dyna 94, no. 1 (2019): 12-54. Garg, Harish. “Some Methods for Strategic Decision-Making Problems with Immediate Probabilities in Pythagorean Fuzzy Environment.” International Journal of Intelligent Systems 33, no. 4 (2018): 687-712. General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Recommendation no. 604/224, “On the Organization of Capability Assessment in the Armed Forces of Ukraine” (2017). Kyiv: Main Department of Defence and Mobilization Planning of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 2017. http://search.ligazakon.ua/l_doc2.nsf/link1/RE32903.html (accessed June 30, 2022). Godara, Karan. “Crime of Aggression: Expanding the Relatively Narrow Parameters of Article 8 Bis of the Rome Statute”. Novum Jus 13, no. 2 (2019): 145–159, https://doi.org/10.14718/NovumJus.2019.13.2.8. Kadoic, Nikola, Nina Begičević Redep, and Blaženka Divjak. “A New Method for Strategic Decision-Making in Higher Education.” Central European Journal of Operations Research 26, no. 3 (2018): 611-628. Knafo, Samuel. “Neoliberalism and the Origins of Public Management.” Review of International Political Economy 27, no. 4 (2020): 780-801. https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2019.1625425. Korendovich, Viktor. “Application of Multicriteria Analysis for Priority Choice.” Collection Sciences Proceedings of the Ivan Chernyakhovsky National Center for Social Studies 2, no. 60 (2017): 129-136. Law of Ukraine No. 2469-VIII. “On the National Security of Ukraine” (2018). http://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/2469-19 (accessed June 29, 2022). Massa, Alessandra, and Giuseppe Anzera. “The Platformization of Military Communication: The Digital Strategy of the Israel Defence Forces on Twitter.” Media, War and Conflict, (2022). https://doi.org/10.1177/17506352221101257. Ministry of Defense of Ukraine. “Capacity-based Recommendations for Defense Planning in the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine and the Armed Forces of Ukraine: Approved (2017)”. http://www.mil.gov.ua/content/other/Recommendationson_CBP_120617 (accessed June 30, 2022). Ministry of Defense of Ukraine. Order no. 484, “The Order of Organization and Implementation of Defense Planning in the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, the Armed Forces of Ukraine and Other Components of the Defense Forces: Approved”. (2020). http://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/z0196-21#Text (accessed June 27, 2022) Moniri, Kamel. “A Comparative Study of the Pattern of Human Resource Forces Defending the Country through the Transformation Military Service to the Professional Army.” Geopolitics Quarterly 18, no. 65 (2022): 254-296. MSS 01.040.008. “Defense Planning. Strategies for the Development of Species, Certain Types of Troops (Forces) of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (Strategic Vision for the Long Term). The Procedure, Frequency of Development, Approval and Amendments (Clarifications) to the Document” (2020). http://www.mil.gov.ua/content/mil_standard/katalog_vst_11_20.pdf (accessed June 29, 2022). Najgebauer, Andrzej, Ryszard Antkiewicz, Dariusz Pierzchata, and Jarostaw Rulka. “The Computational Intelligence Methods for the Armed Forces Capabilities Allocation Problem.” 2018 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence (SSCI): 1723-1730. https://doi.org/10.1109/SSCI.2018.8628787. Pavlenko, Petro, Serhii Filonenko, Oleh Cherednikov, and Viacheslav Treityak. Mathematical Modeling of Systems and Processes. Кyiv: NAU, 2017. President of Ukraine. Decree no. 240, “On the Decision of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine”. 2016. http://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/ show / 240/2016 # Text (accessed June 27, 2022). President of Ukraine. Decree no. 121, “On the Decision of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine”. 2021. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/ 121/2021 # Text (accessed June 28, 2022). Quiñones Páez, Julio, Pablo Ignacio Reyes Beltrán, and Ivonne Patricia León. “The Armed Forces of Colombia in Peacekeeping Missions: Prospects and Opportunities in the Post-Agreement Context.” Novum Jus 16, no. 1 (2022): 279–306, https://doi.org/10.14718/NovumJus.2022.16.1.12. Rusnak, Ivan, Anatolii Petrenko, Andrii Yakovenko, Ihor Romanyuk, Valerii Kokhno. “Capability-Based Defense Planning: Features and Implementation Prospects.” Science and Defense 2, (2017): 3-10. Saganyuk, Fedir, Andriy Nalivayko, Anatoliy Pushnyakov, and Yuriy Mudrak. “Approaches to Determining the Strategic Goals of the Development of Troops (Forces) for the Formation of the Strategic Defense Bulletin of Ukraine.” Collection of Scientific Works of the Ivan Chernyakhovsky Center for Research and Development 3, no. 67 (2019): 6-8 Schram, Ben, Elisa Canetti, Robin Orr, and Rodney Pope. “Risk Factors for Injuries in Female Soldiers: A Systematic Review.” BMC Sports Science, Medicine and Rehabilitation 14, no. 1 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13102-022-00443-z. Strategic Analysis – The Basis of Strategic Enterprise Management: Models and Methods of Decision Making in Analysis and Audit (2020). http://pidru4niki.com/1856080840761/buhgalterskiy_oblik_ta_audit/strategichniy_analiz_osnova_strategichnogo_upravlinnya_pidpriyemstvom (accessed June 29, 2022). Sun-O, Choi and Kim Jong-Bae. “National Defense Cloud Strategy.” The Proceedings – 2021 21st ACIS International Semi-Virtual Winter Conference on Software Engineering, Artificial Intelligence, Networking and Parallel/Distributed Computing (SNPD-Winter), (2021): 87-89, https://doi.org/10.1109/SNPDWinter52325.2021.00026. Surkov, Oleh, Oleksandr Safronov, and Andrii Romanyuk. “Methodical Approach to Determining the Strategy and Criteria for Achieving Joint Defense Capabilities of the Armed Forces and other Components of the Defense Forces.” Collection Sciences Proceedings of the Ivan Chernyakhovsky National Center for Social Studies 2, no. 69 (2020): 47-52. Surkov, Oleh. “Conceptual Approach to the Choice of Priority Areas for the Development of Capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and other Components of the Defense Forces”. Collection Sciences Proceedings of the Ivan Chernyakhovsky National Center for Social Studies 2, no. 63 (2018): 39-45. Surkov, Oleh. “The Essence and Role of Strategic Planning in the Fields of Defense and Military Construction.” Collection of Scientific Works of Military Academy 1, no. 13 (2020): 152-157. Tagirova, Alsu. “From Crisis Management to Realignment of Forces the Diplomatic “Geometry” of the 1969–1978 Sino-soviet Border Talks”. Journal of Cold War Studies 24, no. 1 (2022): 116-154. https://doi.org/10.1162/jcws_a_01027. Turan, Hasan Hüseyin, Sondoss Elsawah, Fatemeh Jalalvand, and Mike Ryan. “Solving Strategic Military Workforce Planning Problems with Simulation-Optimization.” The 2020 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI, (2020): 1620-1625. https://doi.org/10.1109/SSCI47803.2020.9308483. Vladimir Llano, Jairo. “Notes for Understanding Contemporary Colombian Armed Conflict”. Novum Jus 5, no. 2 (2011): 9–27. Voronina, Alevtyna, and Olena Kopyl. “Making Strategic Decisions in Conditions of Uncertainty and Risk.” Young Scientist 1, no. 1 (2016): 12-44. Zatserkovny, Vitalii, Ivan Tishaev, and Vsevold Demydov. Research Methodology. Nizhyn: NDU, 2017. |
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SURKOV, OLEH1bcf0243-6e6f-49b4-b53b-596d5672b3c03002022-12-19 11:59:482022-12-19 11:59:482022-12-19Con base en estudios previos se identificó la necesidad de aumentar la validez de la toma de decisiones estratégicas para determinar (aclarar) la estrategia de desarrollo de las capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas en el largo plazo. Se identificó la necesidad de elaborar un método multicriterio para el análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas basado en datos estadísticos sobre los resultados de la reforma y revisión del sector de la defensa, minimizando el uso de juicios de expertos. Para la elaboración del método se utilizó un enfoque conceptual que combina las etapas seleccionadas de elección de áreas prioritarias para el desarrollo de las capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas y una forma recursiva de organización del proceso de cómputo. El proceso involucró el desarrollo de un sistema de indicadores y criterios de desempeño, sus coeficientes de peso, funciones recursivas y objetivo para construir un modelo matemático que sintetice los resultados del análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas. El método de análisis estratégico del desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas mediante el método recursivo de organización del proceso computacional (SADAF-RW) permite obtener valoraciones objetivas y el efecto esperado de implementar la opción estratégica elegida para la toma de decisiones estratégicas. Está dirigido a mejorar el estado de preparación y capacidades de las Fuerzas Armadas en el largo plazo, minimizando el uso de juicios de expertos. El método puede ser utilizado en la elaboración de un aparato científico y metodológico para evaluar la eficacia de la planificación estratégica en el desarrollo de las Fuerzas Armadas, ya que se basa en los principios de objetividad de las evaluaciones, consistencia y eficacia de las decisiones estratégicas.Previous research has shown the need to increase the validity of the strategic decisions taken to determine (clarify) the strategy for developing the capabilities of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the long term. It is necessary to elaborate a multi-criteria method for the strategic analysis of the development of the Armed Forces, based on statistical data obtained from the results of the defence reform and the defence review, minimising the use of expert judgments. To elaborate this method a conceptual approach was used, which combines choosing priority areas for developing the capabilities of the Armed Forces and a recursive way of organising the computing process. The process involved the creation of a system of indicators and performance criteria, their weight coefficients, and recursive and objective functions for constructing a mathematical model for synthesising the results of the strategic analysis of the development of the Armed Forces. The method of strategic analysis of the development of the Armed Forces using the recursive method of organising the computational process (SADAF-RW) produces objective assessments and the expected effect of implementing the chosen strategy for making strategic decisions. It is aimed at improving the state of readiness and capabilities of the Armed Forces in the long term, minimising the use of expert judgments. The method can be used in the elaboration of a scientific and methodological apparatus for assessing the effectiveness of strategic planning for the development of the Armed Forces since it is based on the principles of objectivity of assessments, consistency, and effectiveness of strategic decisions.text/htmlapplication/pdf10.14718/NovumJus.2022.16.3.42500-86921692-6013https://doi.org/10.14718/NovumJus.2022.16.3.4engUniversidad Catolica de Colombiahttps://novumjus.ucatolica.edu.co/article/download/4707/4514https://novumjus.ucatolica.edu.co/article/download/4707/4425Núm. 3 , Año 2022 : Octubre - Diciembre10537516Novum JusAlbán Guevara, Rodolfo. “Civil Society in the Promotion and Protection of Democracy in the Americas.” Novum Jus 3, no. 1 (2009): 263–294. Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine. Resolution no. 941, “Procedure for Conducting a Defence Inspection by the Ministry of Defence”. (2018). http://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/941-2018-%D0%BF (accessed June 28, 2022) Cáceres Mendoza, Enrique. “Transitional Justice and Right to Integral Reparation: An Approach to the Colombian Case.” Novum Jus, 7 no. 2 (2013): 55–87, https://doi.org/10.14718/NovumJus.2013.7.2.2. Calabrese, Armando, Roberta Costa, Nathan Levialdi, and Tamara Menichini. “Integrating Sustainability into Strategic Decision-Making: A Fuzzy AHP Method for the Selection of Relevant Sustainability Issues.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 139, (2019): 155-168. Camelo, Heyder Alfonso. “Transformation of the Dynamics of Confrontation in the Armed Conflict.” Novum Jus 5, no. 1 (2011): 55–78 Cita Triana, Ricardo Antonio and Camilo Alberto Quintero Jiménez. “Security Perspectives: Analysis of Crime-Prevention Strategies in Usme.” Novum Jus 5, no. 2 (2011): 103–128. Coffey, Joseph, and Klaus von Schubert. Defense and Detente: U.S. and West German Perspectives on Defense Policy. Taylor and Francis, 2022. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429036163. Džeko, Mišo, Kadoic Nikola, and Dobrovic Željko. “Metamodeling SNAP, a Multi-Criteria Method for Effective Strategic Decision Making on E-learning Issues” (2019). https:// www.researchgate.net/publication/333402136_Metamodeling_SNAP_a_MultiCriteria_Method_for_Effective_Strategic_Decision_Making_on_e-Learning_Issues (accessed June 30, 2022). Ferrari Puerta, Alberto José. “The Concept of Just War throughout the Ages.” Novum Jus 15, no. 1 (2021): 91–115. Gandarias, Nerea Toledo, and Jose Ramon Otegi Olaso. “A Novel Method for Strategic Decision Making Based on Project Management Maturity.” Dyna 94, no. 1 (2019): 12-54. Garg, Harish. “Some Methods for Strategic Decision-Making Problems with Immediate Probabilities in Pythagorean Fuzzy Environment.” International Journal of Intelligent Systems 33, no. 4 (2018): 687-712. General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Recommendation no. 604/224, “On the Organization of Capability Assessment in the Armed Forces of Ukraine” (2017). Kyiv: Main Department of Defence and Mobilization Planning of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 2017. http://search.ligazakon.ua/l_doc2.nsf/link1/RE32903.html (accessed June 30, 2022). Godara, Karan. “Crime of Aggression: Expanding the Relatively Narrow Parameters of Article 8 Bis of the Rome Statute”. Novum Jus 13, no. 2 (2019): 145–159, https://doi.org/10.14718/NovumJus.2019.13.2.8. Kadoic, Nikola, Nina Begičević Redep, and Blaženka Divjak. “A New Method for Strategic Decision-Making in Higher Education.” Central European Journal of Operations Research 26, no. 3 (2018): 611-628. Knafo, Samuel. “Neoliberalism and the Origins of Public Management.” Review of International Political Economy 27, no. 4 (2020): 780-801. https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2019.1625425. Korendovich, Viktor. “Application of Multicriteria Analysis for Priority Choice.” Collection Sciences Proceedings of the Ivan Chernyakhovsky National Center for Social Studies 2, no. 60 (2017): 129-136. Law of Ukraine No. 2469-VIII. “On the National Security of Ukraine” (2018). http://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/2469-19 (accessed June 29, 2022). Massa, Alessandra, and Giuseppe Anzera. “The Platformization of Military Communication: The Digital Strategy of the Israel Defence Forces on Twitter.” Media, War and Conflict, (2022). https://doi.org/10.1177/17506352221101257. Ministry of Defense of Ukraine. “Capacity-based Recommendations for Defense Planning in the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine and the Armed Forces of Ukraine: Approved (2017)”. http://www.mil.gov.ua/content/other/Recommendationson_CBP_120617 (accessed June 30, 2022). Ministry of Defense of Ukraine. 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