Elicitación de la distribución multinomial a partir de varios expertos

The objective of this work is to implement an elicitation process to estimate the vector of parameters π to multinomial distribution through of Delphi method. Quantification of opinions and beliefs from multiple experts are used to obtain a single distribution that represents the knowledge of all ex...

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Autores:
Montoya Espinosa, Yurledy
Correa Morales, Juan Carlos
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2017
Institución:
Universidad Santo Tomás
Repositorio:
Universidad Santo Tomás
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.usta.edu.co:11634/10975
Acceso en línea:
https://revistas.usantotomas.edu.co/index.php/estadistica/article/view/2884
Palabra clave:
a priori distribution; bayesian statistics; binomial distribution; multinomial distribution; subjective probability.
Distribución a priori; distribución binomial; distribución multinomial; estadística bayesiana; probabilidad subjetiva.
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Copyright (c) 2017 Comunicaciones en Estadística
Description
Summary:The objective of this work is to implement an elicitation process to estimate the vector of parameters π to multinomial distribution through of Delphi method. Quantification of opinions and beliefs from multiple experts are used to obtain a single distribution that represents the knowledge of all experts that is a different result to get the sum of individual contributions.