Formulación de funciones de costo de incertidumbre en pequeñas centrales hidroeléctricas dentro de una microgrid

. The current paper proposes to extend the concept of cost of uncertainty in the operation of energy systems containing renewable sources (like solar and wind) to power systems with penetration of small hydroelectric plants (PCHs). The proposed extension is obtained using the distribution probabilit...

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Autores:: Molina Sanchez, Ferney Sadid
Pérez Sichacá, Sergio Jair
Rivera Rodriguez, Sergio Raul

Tipo de recurso:

Fecha de publicación:: 2017

Institución:: Universidad de San Buenaventura

Repositorio:: Repositorio USB

Idioma:: spa

Description
Summary:	. The current paper proposes to extend the concept of cost of uncertainty in the operation of energy systems containing renewable sources (like solar and wind) to power systems with penetration of small hydroelectric plants (PCHs). The proposed extension is obtained using the distribution probability of the flow where the PCH is. In order to do this, the analytical development of the uncertainty costs in small hydropower plants is presented, obtaining the probability of power injected by the plant and developing the mathematical formulation of the costs due to underestimate and overestimate the available power. Additionally, the validation of the analytical formulation is presented through Monte Carlo simulations, showing that in the two cases (cost of uncertainty with the analytical formula and expected value of the Monte Carlo simulation) the same uncertainty cost is reached. Finally, we present the codes in order to calculate the expected cost through the analytical formulation obtained and the expected cost through the average cost of the Monte Carlo simulation.

Formulación de funciones de costo de incertidumbre en pequeñas centrales hidroeléctricas dentro de una microgrid

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