Los sesgos cognitivos en la toma de decisiones

This paper reviews the “Heuristics and biases” program initiated by Tversky & Kahneman in 1970, and thanks to which Daniel Kahneman shared the Economic Sciences Nobel Prize in 2002. These authors have proved that there are a lot of biases in individuals' intuitions about the potential occur...

Full description

Autores:
Cortada de Kohan, Nuria
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2008
Institución:
Universidad de San Buenaventura
Repositorio:
Repositorio USB
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:bibliotecadigital.usb.edu.co:10819/6325
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/10819/6325
Palabra clave:
Incertidumbre
Sesgos cognitivos
Sobre confianza
Toma de decisiones
Estilos cognoscitivos
Rights
License
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 2.5 Colombia
Description
Summary:This paper reviews the “Heuristics and biases” program initiated by Tversky & Kahneman in 1970, and thanks to which Daniel Kahneman shared the Economic Sciences Nobel Prize in 2002. These authors have proved that there are a lot of biases in individuals' intuitions about the potential occurrence of any event. The paper describes several biases and gives examples where this statement can be observed including the base rate fallacy and the conjunction fallacy to mention only but a few. In addition, this work underlines the complex problem of decision-making in uncertainty cases, reviews the prospect theory and the overconfidence bias this paper's author is presently working on.