Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Colombia

This paper refers to the literature on the effects of central bank announcements on inflation expectations in developing countries. In particular, based on the Colombian experience, we study the impact of interest rate announcements and macroeconomic shocks on breakeven inflation rates, given the mo...

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Tipo de recurso:
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6737
Fecha de publicación:
2019
Institución:
Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia
Repositorio:
RiUPTC: Repositorio Institucional UPTC
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.uptc.edu.co:001/11997
Acceso en línea:
https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/7912
https://repositorio.uptc.edu.co/handle/001/11997
Palabra clave:
inflation expectations
monetary policy
central banks
econometrics
expectativas de inflación
bancos centrales
política monetaria
modelos econométricos
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Copyright (c) 2019 Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro, Juan Camilo Anzoategui-Zapata
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spelling 2019-02-072024-07-05T18:44:41Z2024-07-05T18:44:41Zhttps://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/791210.19053/01203053.v38.n67.2019.7912https://repositorio.uptc.edu.co/handle/001/11997This paper refers to the literature on the effects of central bank announcements on inflation expectations in developing countries. In particular, based on the Colombian experience, we study the impact of interest rate announcements and macroeconomic shocks on breakeven inflation rates, given the monetary policy credibility scenario. The empirical evidence is implemented by regression analysis using an EGARCH model between 2008-2016. We find that inflation expectations respond to policy statements in Colombia. Our results show that the central bank pronouncements were more effective in anchoring expectations in the period 2012-2016 and the greater monetary policy credibility allows inflation expectations to be more stable before external shocks.Este documento analiza los efectos de los anuncios del banco central sobre las expectativas de inflación para la economía colombiana. En particular, son estudiados los impactos de los pronunciamientos sobre la tasa de interés y los choques macroeconómicos sobre las tasas de inflación compensadas, dado el escenario de credibilidad de la política monetaria. La evidencia empírica es abordada por medio de un análisis de regresión con un modelo EGARCH para el período 2008-2016. Los resultados muestran que las expectativas de inflación responden a los anuncios de política. Además, los pronunciamientos fueron más efectivos en anclar las expectativas durante el período 2012-2016 y la mayor credibilidad de la política permitió que las expectativas fueran más estables frente a los choques externos.application/pdftext/xmlspaspaUniversidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombiahttps://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/7912/7612https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/7912/9463Copyright (c) 2019 Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro, Juan Camilo Anzoategui-Zapatahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf238http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Apuntes del Cenes; Vol. 38 No. 67 (2019); 73-94Apuntes del Cenes; Vol. 38 Núm. 67 (2019); 73-942256-57790120-3053inflation expectationsmonetary policycentral bankseconometricsexpectativas de inflaciónbancos centralespolítica monetariamodelos econométricosEffects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for ColombiaEfectos de los anuncios de política monetaria y la credibilidad sobre las expectativas de inflación: evidencia para Colombiainfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlePeer reviewed Articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6737http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a321http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Galvis Ciro, Juan CamiloAnzoátegui-Zapata, Juan Camilo001/11997oai:repositorio.uptc.edu.co:001/119972025-07-18 12:13:34.367metadata.onlyhttps://repositorio.uptc.edu.coRepositorio Institucional UPTCrepositorio.uptc@uptc.edu.co
dc.title.en-US.fl_str_mv Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Colombia
dc.title.es-ES.fl_str_mv Efectos de los anuncios de política monetaria y la credibilidad sobre las expectativas de inflación: evidencia para Colombia
title Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Colombia
spellingShingle Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Colombia
inflation expectations
monetary policy
central banks
econometrics
expectativas de inflación
bancos centrales
política monetaria
modelos econométricos
title_short Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Colombia
title_full Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Colombia
title_fullStr Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Colombia
title_full_unstemmed Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Colombia
title_sort Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements and Credibility on Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Colombia
dc.subject.en-US.fl_str_mv inflation expectations
monetary policy
central banks
econometrics
topic inflation expectations
monetary policy
central banks
econometrics
expectativas de inflación
bancos centrales
política monetaria
modelos econométricos
dc.subject.es-ES.fl_str_mv expectativas de inflación
bancos centrales
política monetaria
modelos econométricos
description This paper refers to the literature on the effects of central bank announcements on inflation expectations in developing countries. In particular, based on the Colombian experience, we study the impact of interest rate announcements and macroeconomic shocks on breakeven inflation rates, given the monetary policy credibility scenario. The empirical evidence is implemented by regression analysis using an EGARCH model between 2008-2016. We find that inflation expectations respond to policy statements in Colombia. Our results show that the central bank pronouncements were more effective in anchoring expectations in the period 2012-2016 and the greater monetary policy credibility allows inflation expectations to be more stable before external shocks.
publishDate 2019
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2024-07-05T18:44:41Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2024-07-05T18:44:41Z
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019-02-07
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.en-US.fl_str_mv Peer reviewed Article
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.coar.spa.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6737
dc.type.version.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.coarversion.spa.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a321
format http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6737
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/7912
10.19053/01203053.v38.n67.2019.7912
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.uptc.edu.co/handle/001/11997
url https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/7912
https://repositorio.uptc.edu.co/handle/001/11997
identifier_str_mv 10.19053/01203053.v38.n67.2019.7912
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv spa
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv spa
language spa
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/7912/7612
https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/article/view/7912/9463
dc.rights.en-US.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2019 Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro, Juan Camilo Anzoategui-Zapata
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.coar.spa.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf238
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2019 Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro, Juan Camilo Anzoategui-Zapata
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf238
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
text/xml
dc.publisher.en-US.fl_str_mv Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia
dc.source.en-US.fl_str_mv Apuntes del Cenes; Vol. 38 No. 67 (2019); 73-94
dc.source.es-ES.fl_str_mv Apuntes del Cenes; Vol. 38 Núm. 67 (2019); 73-94
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv 2256-5779
0120-3053
institution Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional UPTC
repository.mail.fl_str_mv repositorio.uptc@uptc.edu.co
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