Diseño de herramienta computacional para el estudio de tiempos en contratos de gestión documental

An essential part of planning a project is to define a time horizon in which the activities and procedures will be carried out. This is is even more relevant when it comes to organizing and handling relevant public documentation for the proper functioning of government entities. Consequently, is nec...

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Autores:
Guevara Vargas, Ana María
Fontalvo Munera, Freddy Esneider
Angarita Baena, Carlos Andrés
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2022
Institución:
Universidad del Norte
Repositorio:
Repositorio Uninorte
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:manglar.uninorte.edu.co:10584/10555
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/10584/10555
Palabra clave:
Archivística
Errores
Pronósticos
Validez
Archival
Errors
Forecasts
Validity
Rights
License
Universidad del Norte
Description
Summary:An essential part of planning a project is to define a time horizon in which the activities and procedures will be carried out. This is is even more relevant when it comes to organizing and handling relevant public documentation for the proper functioning of government entities. Consequently, is necessary a tool that makes it possible to estimate the duration of document management contracts, which is based on statistical methods that guarantee a good level of certainty for the articulation of the different plans proposed by the public entity. In this project, various alternatives were explored in order to maximize the precision and accuracy of the forecasts, starting with traditional techniques such as regression models, more specifically with Gamma regression and the Generalized Additive Models, and exploring the field of artificial intelligence with methods such as Random Forest and Classification and Regression Trees, finding different solutions that can be applied in different areas.