Non-Smooth Dynamics in Energy Market Models: A Complex Approximation from System Dynamics and Dynamical Systems Approach

This paper reports a general model that describes the supply and demand of electricity in a national market based on the system dynamics (SD) approach. From the resulting SD model, it derives piecewise smooth (non-smooth) differential equations from the nonlinear functions and feedback cycles of the...

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Autores:
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2020
Institución:
Universidad de Medellín
Repositorio:
Repositorio UDEM
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.udem.edu.co:11407/5985
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/11407/5985
Palabra clave:
Complexity
dynamic systems
energy markets
energy policy
Fillipov systems
modeling
non-smooth dynamic
power markets
simulations
system dynamics
Differential equations
Dynamical systems
Nonlinear equations
Power markets
System theory
Dynamical systems approach
Energy market modeling
Equilibrium point
Investment decisions
Non-smooth dynamics
Non-smooth vector fields
Nonlinear functions
Supply and demand
Investments
Rights
License
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
id REPOUDEM2_f5f083e18d398f17cb3615d6336e35cd
oai_identifier_str oai:repository.udem.edu.co:11407/5985
network_acronym_str REPOUDEM2
network_name_str Repositorio UDEM
repository_id_str
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Non-Smooth Dynamics in Energy Market Models: A Complex Approximation from System Dynamics and Dynamical Systems Approach
title Non-Smooth Dynamics in Energy Market Models: A Complex Approximation from System Dynamics and Dynamical Systems Approach
spellingShingle Non-Smooth Dynamics in Energy Market Models: A Complex Approximation from System Dynamics and Dynamical Systems Approach
Complexity
dynamic systems
energy markets
energy policy
Fillipov systems
modeling
non-smooth dynamic
power markets
simulations
system dynamics
Differential equations
Dynamical systems
Nonlinear equations
Power markets
System theory
Dynamical systems approach
Energy market modeling
Equilibrium point
Investment decisions
Non-smooth dynamics
Non-smooth vector fields
Nonlinear functions
Supply and demand
Investments
title_short Non-Smooth Dynamics in Energy Market Models: A Complex Approximation from System Dynamics and Dynamical Systems Approach
title_full Non-Smooth Dynamics in Energy Market Models: A Complex Approximation from System Dynamics and Dynamical Systems Approach
title_fullStr Non-Smooth Dynamics in Energy Market Models: A Complex Approximation from System Dynamics and Dynamical Systems Approach
title_full_unstemmed Non-Smooth Dynamics in Energy Market Models: A Complex Approximation from System Dynamics and Dynamical Systems Approach
title_sort Non-Smooth Dynamics in Energy Market Models: A Complex Approximation from System Dynamics and Dynamical Systems Approach
dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv Complexity
dynamic systems
energy markets
energy policy
Fillipov systems
modeling
non-smooth dynamic
power markets
simulations
system dynamics
topic Complexity
dynamic systems
energy markets
energy policy
Fillipov systems
modeling
non-smooth dynamic
power markets
simulations
system dynamics
Differential equations
Dynamical systems
Nonlinear equations
Power markets
System theory
Dynamical systems approach
Energy market modeling
Equilibrium point
Investment decisions
Non-smooth dynamics
Non-smooth vector fields
Nonlinear functions
Supply and demand
Investments
dc.subject.keyword.eng.fl_str_mv Differential equations
Dynamical systems
Nonlinear equations
Power markets
System theory
Dynamical systems approach
Energy market modeling
Equilibrium point
Investment decisions
Non-smooth dynamics
Non-smooth vector fields
Nonlinear functions
Supply and demand
Investments
description This paper reports a general model that describes the supply and demand of electricity in a national market based on the system dynamics (SD) approach. From the resulting SD model, it derives piecewise smooth (non-smooth) differential equations from the nonlinear functions and feedback cycles of the corresponding stock-flow structure. Subsequently, the stability of the equilibrium points and non-smooth dynamics of the SD model are investigated using the dynamical systems theory. Filippov systems are found in the proposed SD model and non-smooth vector fields associated with generators investment decisions are accumulated. Under this combining methodology, the non-smooth dynamics of energy markets that are governed by the supply and demand laws are uncovered mathematically and deeply described. In fact, we extend our investigation results to any energy market model attached to various investment decisions, confirming the generalizability of our research. © 2013 IEEE.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2021-02-05T14:58:25Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2021-02-05T14:58:25Z
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv Article
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dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
dc.type.driver.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 21693536
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11407/5985
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3008709
identifier_str_mv 21693536
10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3008709
url http://hdl.handle.net/11407/5985
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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dc.relation.citationvolume.none.fl_str_mv 8
dc.relation.citationstartpage.none.fl_str_mv 128877
dc.relation.citationendpage.none.fl_str_mv 128896
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Ford, A., Cycles in competitive electricity markets: A simulation study of the western United States (1999) Energy Policy, 27 (11), pp. 637-658. , http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0301421599000506, Oct
Ochoa, P., Van Ackere, A., Policy changes and the dynamics of capacity expansion in the swiss electricity market (2009) Energy Policy, 37 (5), pp. 1983-1998. , http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0301421509000500, May
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Foley, A.M., Gallachóir, B.P.ó., Hur, J., Baldick, R., McKeogh, E.J., A strategic review of electricity systems models (2010) Energy, 35 (12), pp. 4522-4530. , http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0360544210001866, Dec
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Znegui, W., Gritli, H., Belghith, S., Design of an explicit expression of the poincaré map for the passive dynamic walking of the compass-gait biped model (2020) Chaos, Solitons Fractals, 130. , Jan
Gedeon, T., Multi-parameter exploration of dynamics of regulatory networks (2020) Biosystems, 190. , Apr
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Avrutin, V., Zhusubaliyev, Z.T., Suissa, D., El Aroudi, A., Nonobservable chaos in piecewise smooth systems (2020) Nonlinear Dyn., 99 (3), pp. 2031-2048. , Feb
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Yoshioka, H., Yaegashi, Y., Optimization model to start harvesting in stochastic aquaculture system (2017) Appl. Stochastic Models Bus. Ind., 33 (5), pp. 476-493. , Sep
Morcillo, J.D., Franco, C.J., Angulo, F., Simulation of demand growth scenarios in the colombian electricity market: An integration of system dynamics and dynamic systems (2018) Appl. Energy, 216, pp. 504-520. , http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261918302290, Apr
Redondo, J.M., Olivar, G., Ibarra-Vega, D., Dyner, I., Modeling for the regional integration of electricity markets (2018) Energy Sustain. Develop., 43, pp. 100-113. , https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S097308261730220X, Apr
Gil-Vera, V.D., Forecasting electricity demand for small colombian populations (2015) Cuaderno Activa, 7 (1), pp. 111-119
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Guckenheimer, J., Holmes, P., (2013) Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields, 42. , New York, NY, USA: Springer-Verlag
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dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
rights_invalid_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
dc.publisher.program.spa.fl_str_mv Ingeniería de Sistemas
dc.publisher.faculty.spa.fl_str_mv Facultad de Ingenierías
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv IEEE Access
institution Universidad de Medellín
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellin
repository.mail.fl_str_mv repositorio@udem.edu.co
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spelling 20202021-02-05T14:58:25Z2021-02-05T14:58:25Z21693536http://hdl.handle.net/11407/598510.1109/ACCESS.2020.3008709This paper reports a general model that describes the supply and demand of electricity in a national market based on the system dynamics (SD) approach. From the resulting SD model, it derives piecewise smooth (non-smooth) differential equations from the nonlinear functions and feedback cycles of the corresponding stock-flow structure. Subsequently, the stability of the equilibrium points and non-smooth dynamics of the SD model are investigated using the dynamical systems theory. Filippov systems are found in the proposed SD model and non-smooth vector fields associated with generators investment decisions are accumulated. Under this combining methodology, the non-smooth dynamics of energy markets that are governed by the supply and demand laws are uncovered mathematically and deeply described. In fact, we extend our investigation results to any energy market model attached to various investment decisions, confirming the generalizability of our research. © 2013 IEEE.engInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.Ingeniería de SistemasFacultad de Ingenieríashttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85089227718&doi=10.1109%2fACCESS.2020.3008709&partnerID=40&md5=24acf83a7e7d3ef175ef6cadea3929578128877128896Gary, S., Larsen, E.R., Improving firm performance in out-ofequilibrium, deregulated markets using feedback simulation models (2000) Energy Policy, 28 (12), pp. 845-855. , OctBunn, D.W., Larsen, E.R., Sensitivity of reserve margin to factors influencing investment behaviour in the electricity market of England and Wales (1992) Energy Policy, 20 (5), pp. 420-429. , https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0301421592900638, MayFord, A., Cycles in competitive electricity markets: A simulation study of the western United States (1999) Energy Policy, 27 (11), pp. 637-658. , http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0301421599000506, OctOchoa, P., Van Ackere, A., Policy changes and the dynamics of capacity expansion in the swiss electricity market (2009) Energy Policy, 37 (5), pp. 1983-1998. , http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0301421509000500, MayBernardo, M., Budd, C., Champneys, A.R., Kowalczyk, P., (2008) Piecewisesmooth Dynamical Systems: Theory and Applications, 163. , London, U. K.: Springer-VerlagJebaraj, S., Iniyan, S., A review of energy models (2006) Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev., 10 (4), pp. 281-311. , http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S1364032104001261, AugFoley, A.M., Gallachóir, B.P.ó., Hur, J., Baldick, R., McKeogh, E.J., A strategic review of electricity systems models (2010) Energy, 35 (12), pp. 4522-4530. , http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0360544210001866, DecTeufel, F., Miller, M., Genoese, M., Fichtner, W., Review of system dynamics models for electricity market simulations (2013) Work. Paper Ser. Prod. Energy, KIT, , Karlsruhe, Germany, Tech. Rep. 2Ahmad, S., Tahar, R.M., Muhammad-Sukki, F., Munir, A.B., Rahim, R.A., Application of system dynamics approach in electricity sector modelling: A review (2016) Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev., 56, pp. 29-37. , AprBorshchev, A., Filippov, A., From system dynamics and discrete event to practical agent based modeling: Reasons, techniques, tools (2004) Proc. 22nd Int. Conf. Syst. Dyn. Soc., 22, pp. 25-29Mehrabadi, R.A., Moghaddam, M.P., Sheikh-El-Eslami, M.K., Generation expansion planning in multi electricity markets considering environmental impacts (2020) J. Cleaner Prod., 243. , JanMorcillo, J.D., Angulo, F., Franco, C.J., Analyzing the hydroelectricity variability on power markets from a system dynamics and dynamic systems perspective: Seasonality and ENSO phenomenon (2020) Energies, 13 (9), p. 2381. , MayNaill, R.F., A system dynamics model for national energy policy planning (1992) Syst. Dyn. Rev., 8 (1), pp. 1-19Dyner, I., Energy modelling platforms for policy and strategy support (2000) J. Oper. Res. Soc., 51 (2), pp. 136-144. , http://www.jstor.org/stable/254253, FebSterman, J.D., (2000) Business Dynamics, , 1st Ed. New York, NY, USA: McGraw-HillFord, A., Wright, J., Prize, F., System dynamics and the electric power industry (1997) Syst. Dyn. Rev., 13 (1), pp. 57-85Aracil, J., On the qualitative properties in system dynamics models (1999) Eur. J. Econ. Social Syst., 13 (1), pp. 1-18. , http://www.edpsciences.org/10.1051/ejess:1999100Djemai, M., Defoort, M., Hybrid dynamical systems (2015) Solves Problems in the Analysis and Control of Hybrid Dynamical Systems (Lecture Notes in Control and Information Sciences), 457. , Cham, Switzerland: SpringerNatsiavas, S., Analytical modeling of discrete mechanical systems involving contact, impact, and friction (2019) Appl. Mech. Rev., 71 (5). , SepZnegui, W., Gritli, H., Belghith, S., Design of an explicit expression of the poincaré map for the passive dynamic walking of the compass-gait biped model (2020) Chaos, Solitons Fractals, 130. , JanGedeon, T., Multi-parameter exploration of dynamics of regulatory networks (2020) Biosystems, 190. , AprEl Aroudi, A., Giaouris, D., Iu, H.H.-C., Hiskens, I.A., A review on stability analysis methods for switching mode power converters (2015) IEEE J. Emerg. Sel. Topics Circuits Syst., 5 (3), pp. 302-315. , SepAvrutin, V., Zhusubaliyev, Z.T., Suissa, D., El Aroudi, A., Nonobservable chaos in piecewise smooth systems (2020) Nonlinear Dyn., 99 (3), pp. 2031-2048. , FebMorcillo, J.D., Burbano, D., Angulo, F., Adaptive ramp technique for controlling chaos and subharmonic oscillations in DC-DC power converters (2016) IEEE Trans. Power Electron., 31 (7), pp. 5330-5343. , JulMa, L., Huo, X., Zhao, X., Niu, B., Zong, G., Adaptive neural control for switched nonlinear systems with unknown backlash-like hysteresis and output dead-zone (2019) Neurocomputing, 357, pp. 203-214. , SepGrimble, M.J., Majecki, P., Introduction to nonlinear systems modelling and control (2020) Nonlinear Industrial Control Systems, pp. 3-63. , London, U. K.: Springer-VerlagWang, X., Wang, Y., Novel dynamics of a predator-prey system with harvesting of the predator guided by its population (2017) Appl. Math. Model., 42, pp. 636-654. , http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0307904X16305212, FebYoshioka, H., Yaegashi, Y., Optimization model to start harvesting in stochastic aquaculture system (2017) Appl. Stochastic Models Bus. Ind., 33 (5), pp. 476-493. , SepMorcillo, J.D., Franco, C.J., Angulo, F., Simulation of demand growth scenarios in the colombian electricity market: An integration of system dynamics and dynamic systems (2018) Appl. Energy, 216, pp. 504-520. , http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261918302290, AprRedondo, J.M., Olivar, G., Ibarra-Vega, D., Dyner, I., Modeling for the regional integration of electricity markets (2018) Energy Sustain. Develop., 43, pp. 100-113. , https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S097308261730220X, AprGil-Vera, V.D., Forecasting electricity demand for small colombian populations (2015) Cuaderno Activa, 7 (1), pp. 111-119Brogliato, B., (2000) Impacts in Mechanical Systems-Analysis and Modelling, 551. , New York, NY, USA: SpringerGuckenheimer, J., Holmes, P., (2013) Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields, 42. , New York, NY, USA: Springer-VerlagKuznetsov, Y., (2004) Elements of Applied Bifurcation Theory, , New York, NY, USA: Springer-VerlagFilippov, A.F., (1988) Differential EquationsWith Discontinuous Righthand Sides, , Norwell, MA, USA: KluwerDi Bernardo, M., Hogan, S.J., Discontinuity-induced bifurcations of piecewise smooth dynamical systems (2010) Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. A, Math., Phys. Eng. Sci., 368 (1930), pp. 4915-4935. , http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/368/1930/4915, NovDi Bernardo, M., Champneys, A.R., Garofalo, F., Glielmo, L., Vasca, F., Nonlinear phenomena in closed loop DC/DC buck converter (1996) Proc. NDES (Nonlinear Dyn. Electron. Syst.), 1, pp. 51-56Leine, R., (2000) Bifurcations in Discontinuous Mechanical Systems Of-lippovtype, , Ph. D. dissertation, Dept. Mech. Eng. Dyn. Control, Teknische Universiteit Eindhoven, The NetherlandsDi Bernardo, M., Vasca, F., Discrete-time maps for the analysis of bifurcations and chaos in DC/DC converters (2000) IEEE Trans. Circuits Syst. I, Fundam. Theory Appl., 47 (2), pp. 130-143. , FebIvanov, A.P., Impact oscillations: Linear theory of stability and bifurcations (1994) J. Sound Vibrat., 178 (3), pp. 361-378. , DecAmador, J.A., (2011) Non-linear and Non-smooth Dynamics Study in Sustainable Development Systems, , M. S. 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