Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panel

La economía mexicana ha experimentado un crecimiento significativo en las exportaciones como resultado de la mayor integración económica entre México y los Estados Unidos de América. El objetivo de este artículo es evaluar el papel de las exportaciones en el crecimiento económico de México con el fi...

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2017
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Universidad de Medellín
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http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4698
https://doi.org/10.22395/seec.v20n44a2
Palabra clave:
Exports
economic growth
economics impacts of globalization
gross domestic product
panel cointegration
Mexico
Exportaciones
crecimiento económico
impactos económicos de globalización
producto interno bruto
cointegración con datos de panel
México
Exportações
crescimento econômico
impactos econômicos da globalização
Produto Interno Bruto
cointegração com dados de painel
México
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dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panel
Exports and economic growth in Mexico, 2007-2014: a panel cointegration approach
Exportações e crescimento econômico no México, 2007-2014: uma aproximação à cointegração com dados de painel
title Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panel
spellingShingle Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panel
Exports
economic growth
economics impacts of globalization
gross domestic product
panel cointegration
Mexico
Exportaciones
crecimiento económico
impactos económicos de globalización
producto interno bruto
cointegración con datos de panel
México
Exportações
crescimento econômico
impactos econômicos da globalização
Produto Interno Bruto
cointegração com dados de painel
México
title_short Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panel
title_full Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panel
title_fullStr Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panel
title_full_unstemmed Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panel
title_sort Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panel
dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv Exports
economic growth
economics impacts of globalization
gross domestic product
panel cointegration
Mexico
Exportaciones
crecimiento económico
impactos económicos de globalización
producto interno bruto
cointegración con datos de panel
México
Exportações
crescimento econômico
impactos econômicos da globalização
Produto Interno Bruto
cointegração com dados de painel
México
topic Exports
economic growth
economics impacts of globalization
gross domestic product
panel cointegration
Mexico
Exportaciones
crecimiento económico
impactos económicos de globalización
producto interno bruto
cointegración con datos de panel
México
Exportações
crescimento econômico
impactos econômicos da globalização
Produto Interno Bruto
cointegração com dados de painel
México
description La economía mexicana ha experimentado un crecimiento significativo en las exportaciones como resultado de la mayor integración económica entre México y los Estados Unidos de América. El objetivo de este artículo es evaluar el papel de las exportaciones en el crecimiento económico de México con el fin de determinar si la expansión en las exportaciones ha generado efectos dinámicos sobre el crecimiento general de la economía mexicana. La metodología aplicada in-cluye un modelo de cointegración que estima la relación entre las exportaciones y el crecimiento del PIB de la economía mexicana, utilizando datos de exportaciones y del PIB suministrados por el Banco de Información Económica del Instituto Mexicano de Estadística, Geografía e Informática. Los resultados muestran efectos positivos, pero débiles, de las exportaciones en el crecimiento económico regional de México.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv 2017-09-30
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2018-04-13T21:18:22Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2018-04-13T21:18:22Z
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dc.relation.ispartofseries.spa.fl_str_mv Semestre Económico; Universidad de Medellín; Vol. 20, Núm. 44 (2017)
dc.relation.haspart.spa.fl_str_mv Semestre Económico; Vol. 20, Núm. 44. Julio-Septiembre 2017
dc.relation.citationvolume.spa.fl_str_mv 20
dc.relation.citationissue.spa.fl_str_mv 44
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dc.relation.ispartofes.spa.fl_str_mv Semestre Económico
dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv Balassa, B. (1985). Exports, Policy Choices, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries after the 1973 Oil Shock. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 18, No. 1, p. 23-35.
Berasaluce, J. and Romero, J. (2017). Economic Growth and the external sector: evidence from Korea, lessons for Mexico. In: Estudios Económicos, Vol. 32, No.1, p. 95-131.
Blomstrom, M. and Persson (1983, June). Foreign investment and spillover efficiency in an underdeveloped economy: evidence from the Mexican manufacturing industry. In: World Development, Vol. 11, No. 6, June, p. 493-501.
Breitung, J. (2001). The Local Power of Some Unit Root Tests for Panel Data, p. 161-177. In Baltagi, B., Fomby, T., and Carter, H. (Eds.), Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration and Dynamic
Panels. Advances in Econometrics. Vol. 15, England: Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 340p.
Crespo, J. and Wörz, J. (2005). On Export Composition and Growth. In: Review of World Economics / Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Vol. 141, No.1, p. 33-49.
Choi, I. (2001). Unit Root Tests for Panel Data. In: Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 20, No. 2, April, p. 249-272.
Donoso V. and Martin V. (2010). Exportaciones y crecimiento económico: estudios empíricos. Exports and economic growth: empirical studies. In: Revista Principios, No. 16, p. 5-36.
Esfahani, H. (1991). Exports, imports, and economic growth in semi-industrialized countries. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 35, No. 1, January, p. 93-116.
Feder, G. (1983). On Exports and Economic Growth. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 12, No. 2 p. 59-73.
Feenstra, R. (1996). Trade and uneven growth. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 49, No. 1, April, p. 229-256.
Fukao, K., Okubo, O. and Stern, R. (2003). Econometric Analysis of Trade Diversion under nafta. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 14, No. 1, March, p. 3-24.
Gruben, W. (2001). Was nafta Behind Mexico’s High Maquiladora Growth? In: Economic and Financial Review, Third Quarter, p. 11-21.
Hadri, K. (2000). Testing for Stationarity in Heterogeneus Panel Data. Econometric Journal, Vol.3, No.1, p. 148-161.
Hanson, G. (1998, June). North American economic integration and industry location. NBER Working Paper No. 6587. Massachusetts: National Bureau of Economic Research.
Hanson, G. (2010). Why isn’t Mexico Rich. NBER Working Paper No. 16470. Massachusetts: National Bureau of Economic Research.
Hummels, D., Ishii J. and Yi, K. (2001). The nature and growth of vertical specialization in world trade. In: Journal of International Economics, Vol. 54, No.1, p. 75-96.
Im, K. S., Pesaran, H. and Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels. In: Journal of Economics, Vol. 115, No, 1, p. 53-74.
Jordaan, J. (2008). Intra- and Inter-industry Externalities from Foreign Direct Investment in the Mexican Manufacturing Sector: New Evidence from Mexican Regions. In: World Development,Vol. 36, No.12, p. 2838-2854.
Kao, C. and Chiang, M. (2001). On the Estimation and Inference of a Cointegrated Regression in Panel Data, p. 179-222. In Baltagi, B., Fomby, T., and Carter H.(Eds.), In Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration and Dynamic Panels. Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 15, p. 179- 222. England: Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 340p.
Levin, A., Lin, C. F. and Chu, C. (2002). Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite- -Sample Properties. Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 108, No. 1, p. 1-24.
Maddala, G. and Wu, S. (1999). A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test. In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 61, No. 1, p. 631-652.
Mendoza, J. E. (2011). Impacto de la inversión extranjera directa en el crecimiento manufacturero. In: Problemas del Desarrollo, Vol. 167, No. 42, p. 45-69.
Michalopoulos, C. and Jay, K. (1973). Growth of exports and income in the developing world: A neoclassical view. In: Discussion paper, No. 28. Washington, D.C.: Agency for International Development, Washington, DC, 32p.
Moreno-Brid, J. C., Rivas Valdivia, J. C. and Santamaría, J. (2002, December). Mexico: Economic growth exports and industrial performance after nafta. In: Cepal, Subsede Regional Mexico, Serie Estudios y Perspectivas No. 10, 36p.
Nunnenkamp, P., Alatorre, J. and Waldkirch, A. (2007). fdi in Mexico: An Empirical Assessment of Employment Effects (Working Paper No. 1328). Germany: Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Pacheco-López, P. (2005). Foreign Direct Investment, Exports and Imports in Mexico. In: World Economy, Vol. 28, No. 8, p. 1157-1172.
Pedroni, P. (1999). Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors. In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,Vol. 61, No. 1, p. 653–670. Phillips, P. C. B. and Hansen, B. E. (1990). Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I(1) pro cesses. In: Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 57, No. 1, p. 99-125.
Ramírez, M. (2000). Foreign direct investment in Mexico: A cointegration analysis. In: The Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 37, No. 1, p. 138-162.
Ramos, A. M. (2000). Exportaciones y crecimiento económico: un análisis de causalidad para México. In: Estudios Económicos, Vol. 15, No. 1, p. 37-64
Reyes, G. (2002). Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en América Latina: la evidencia empírica. In: Comercio Exterior, Vol. 51, No. 11, p. 977-984.
Ruiz-Nápoles, P. (2001). Liberalisation, Exports and Growth in Mexico 1978-94: A structural analysis. In: International Review of Applied Economics, Vol. 15, No. 2, p. 163-180.
Saikkonen, P. (1992). Estimation and Testing of Cointegrated Systems by an Autoregressive Approximation. In: Econometric Theory, Vol. 8, No. 1, March, p. 1-27.
Sala-i-Martin, X. (1996). The Classical Approach to Convergence Analysis. In: The Economic Journal, Vol. 106, No. 437, p.1019-1036.
Sengupta, J. and España, J. (1994). Exports and economic growth in Asian NICs: an econometric analysis for Korea. In: Applied Economics, Vol. 26, No. 1, p. 342-357.
Stock, J. and Watson, M. (1993). A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher-Order Integrated Systems. In: Econometrica, Vol. 61, No. 4, p. 783-820.
Thornton, J. (1996). Cointegration, causality and export-led growth in Mexico, 1895-1992. In: Economics Letters, Vol. 50, No. 3, March, p. 413-416
Tyler, W. (1981). Growth and export expansion in developing countries: Some empirical evidence. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 9, No. 1, p. 121-130.
Yao, S. (2006). On economic growth, fdi and exports in China. In: Applied Economics, Vol. 38, No. 3, p. 339–351.
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spelling 2018-04-13T21:18:22Z2018-04-13T21:18:22Z2017-09-300120-6346http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4698https://doi.org/10.22395/seec.v20n44a22248-4345reponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellíninstname:Universidad de MedellínLa economía mexicana ha experimentado un crecimiento significativo en las exportaciones como resultado de la mayor integración económica entre México y los Estados Unidos de América. El objetivo de este artículo es evaluar el papel de las exportaciones en el crecimiento económico de México con el fin de determinar si la expansión en las exportaciones ha generado efectos dinámicos sobre el crecimiento general de la economía mexicana. La metodología aplicada in-cluye un modelo de cointegración que estima la relación entre las exportaciones y el crecimiento del PIB de la economía mexicana, utilizando datos de exportaciones y del PIB suministrados por el Banco de Información Económica del Instituto Mexicano de Estadística, Geografía e Informática. Los resultados muestran efectos positivos, pero débiles, de las exportaciones en el crecimiento económico regional de México.Mexican economy has experienced a significant growth in exports as a result of the increasing economic integration between Mexico and USA. The objective of this paper is to evaluate the role of exports in the economic growth of Mexico in order to determine whether the expansion in exports has created dynamic effects on the overall growth of Mexican economy. The methodology applied consists of a panel cointegration model that estimated the relationship between exports and gdp growth of the Mexican economy at the state level using data of exports and gdp from the Bank of Economic Information of the Mexican Institute of Statistics, Geography and Informatics. The results show positive but weak effects of exports on Mexico’s regional economic growth.A economia mexicana tem vivenciado um crescimento significativo nas exportações como resultado da crescente integração econômica entre o México e os Estados Unidos. O objetivo deste trabalho é avaliar o papel das exportações no crescimento econômico do México, a fim de determinar se a expansão das exportações criou efeitos dinâmicos sobre o crescimento geral da economia mexicana. A metodologia consistiu em um modelo de painel de cointegração que estimou a relação entre as exportações e o crescimento do PIB da economia mexicana no nível estadual, e usou dados de exportações e do PIB do Banco de Informações Econômicas do Instituto de Estatística, Geografia e Informática do México. Os resultados mostraram efeitos positivos, mas fracos, das exportações sobre o crescimento econômico regional do México.p. 19-44Electrónicoapplication/pdfPDFengUniversidad de MedellínFacultad de Ciencias Económicas y Administrativashttp://revistas.udem.edu.co/index.php/economico/article/view/235310.22395/seec.v20n44a2Semestre Económico; Universidad de Medellín; Vol. 20, Núm. 44 (2017)Semestre Económico; Vol. 20, Núm. 44. Julio-Septiembre 201720441944Semestre EconómicoBalassa, B. (1985). Exports, Policy Choices, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries after the 1973 Oil Shock. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 18, No. 1, p. 23-35.Berasaluce, J. and Romero, J. (2017). Economic Growth and the external sector: evidence from Korea, lessons for Mexico. In: Estudios Económicos, Vol. 32, No.1, p. 95-131.Blomstrom, M. and Persson (1983, June). Foreign investment and spillover efficiency in an underdeveloped economy: evidence from the Mexican manufacturing industry. In: World Development, Vol. 11, No. 6, June, p. 493-501.Breitung, J. (2001). The Local Power of Some Unit Root Tests for Panel Data, p. 161-177. In Baltagi, B., Fomby, T., and Carter, H. (Eds.), Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration and DynamicPanels. Advances in Econometrics. Vol. 15, England: Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 340p.Crespo, J. and Wörz, J. (2005). On Export Composition and Growth. In: Review of World Economics / Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Vol. 141, No.1, p. 33-49.Choi, I. (2001). Unit Root Tests for Panel Data. In: Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 20, No. 2, April, p. 249-272.Donoso V. and Martin V. (2010). Exportaciones y crecimiento económico: estudios empíricos. Exports and economic growth: empirical studies. In: Revista Principios, No. 16, p. 5-36.Esfahani, H. (1991). Exports, imports, and economic growth in semi-industrialized countries. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 35, No. 1, January, p. 93-116.Feder, G. (1983). On Exports and Economic Growth. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 12, No. 2 p. 59-73.Feenstra, R. (1996). Trade and uneven growth. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 49, No. 1, April, p. 229-256.Fukao, K., Okubo, O. and Stern, R. (2003). Econometric Analysis of Trade Diversion under nafta. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 14, No. 1, March, p. 3-24.Gruben, W. (2001). Was nafta Behind Mexico’s High Maquiladora Growth? In: Economic and Financial Review, Third Quarter, p. 11-21.Hadri, K. (2000). Testing for Stationarity in Heterogeneus Panel Data. Econometric Journal, Vol.3, No.1, p. 148-161.Hanson, G. (1998, June). North American economic integration and industry location. NBER Working Paper No. 6587. Massachusetts: National Bureau of Economic Research.Hanson, G. (2010). Why isn’t Mexico Rich. NBER Working Paper No. 16470. Massachusetts: National Bureau of Economic Research.Hummels, D., Ishii J. and Yi, K. (2001). The nature and growth of vertical specialization in world trade. In: Journal of International Economics, Vol. 54, No.1, p. 75-96.Im, K. S., Pesaran, H. and Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels. In: Journal of Economics, Vol. 115, No, 1, p. 53-74.Jordaan, J. (2008). Intra- and Inter-industry Externalities from Foreign Direct Investment in the Mexican Manufacturing Sector: New Evidence from Mexican Regions. In: World Development,Vol. 36, No.12, p. 2838-2854.Kao, C. and Chiang, M. (2001). On the Estimation and Inference of a Cointegrated Regression in Panel Data, p. 179-222. In Baltagi, B., Fomby, T., and Carter H.(Eds.), In Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration and Dynamic Panels. Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 15, p. 179- 222. England: Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 340p.Levin, A., Lin, C. F. and Chu, C. (2002). Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite- -Sample Properties. Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 108, No. 1, p. 1-24.Maddala, G. and Wu, S. (1999). A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test. In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 61, No. 1, p. 631-652.Mendoza, J. E. (2011). Impacto de la inversión extranjera directa en el crecimiento manufacturero. In: Problemas del Desarrollo, Vol. 167, No. 42, p. 45-69.Michalopoulos, C. and Jay, K. (1973). Growth of exports and income in the developing world: A neoclassical view. In: Discussion paper, No. 28. Washington, D.C.: Agency for International Development, Washington, DC, 32p.Moreno-Brid, J. C., Rivas Valdivia, J. C. and Santamaría, J. (2002, December). Mexico: Economic growth exports and industrial performance after nafta. In: Cepal, Subsede Regional Mexico, Serie Estudios y Perspectivas No. 10, 36p.Nunnenkamp, P., Alatorre, J. and Waldkirch, A. (2007). fdi in Mexico: An Empirical Assessment of Employment Effects (Working Paper No. 1328). Germany: Kiel Institute for the World Economy.Pacheco-López, P. (2005). Foreign Direct Investment, Exports and Imports in Mexico. In: World Economy, Vol. 28, No. 8, p. 1157-1172.Pedroni, P. (1999). Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors. In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,Vol. 61, No. 1, p. 653–670. Phillips, P. C. B. and Hansen, B. E. (1990). Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I(1) pro cesses. In: Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 57, No. 1, p. 99-125.Ramírez, M. (2000). Foreign direct investment in Mexico: A cointegration analysis. In: The Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 37, No. 1, p. 138-162.Ramos, A. M. (2000). Exportaciones y crecimiento económico: un análisis de causalidad para México. In: Estudios Económicos, Vol. 15, No. 1, p. 37-64Reyes, G. (2002). Exportaciones y crecimiento económico en América Latina: la evidencia empírica. In: Comercio Exterior, Vol. 51, No. 11, p. 977-984.Ruiz-Nápoles, P. (2001). Liberalisation, Exports and Growth in Mexico 1978-94: A structural analysis. In: International Review of Applied Economics, Vol. 15, No. 2, p. 163-180.Saikkonen, P. (1992). Estimation and Testing of Cointegrated Systems by an Autoregressive Approximation. In: Econometric Theory, Vol. 8, No. 1, March, p. 1-27.Sala-i-Martin, X. (1996). The Classical Approach to Convergence Analysis. In: The Economic Journal, Vol. 106, No. 437, p.1019-1036.Sengupta, J. and España, J. (1994). Exports and economic growth in Asian NICs: an econometric analysis for Korea. In: Applied Economics, Vol. 26, No. 1, p. 342-357.Stock, J. and Watson, M. (1993). A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher-Order Integrated Systems. In: Econometrica, Vol. 61, No. 4, p. 783-820.Thornton, J. (1996). Cointegration, causality and export-led growth in Mexico, 1895-1992. In: Economics Letters, Vol. 50, No. 3, March, p. 413-416Tyler, W. (1981). Growth and export expansion in developing countries: Some empirical evidence. In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 9, No. 1, p. 121-130.Yao, S. (2006). On economic growth, fdi and exports in China. In: Applied Economics, Vol. 38, No. 3, p. 339–351.http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Semestre Económico; Vol. 20, Núm. 44 (2017): Julio-Septiembre; 19-44Exportseconomic growtheconomics impacts of globalizationgross domestic productpanel cointegrationMexicoExportacionescrecimiento económicoimpactos económicos de globalizaciónproducto interno brutocointegración con datos de panelMéxicoExportaçõescrescimento econômicoimpactos econômicos da globalizaçãoProduto Interno Brutocointegração com dados de painelMéxicoExportaciones y crecimiento económico en México, 2007-2014: una aproximación a la cointegracion con datos de panelExports and economic growth in Mexico, 2007-2014: a panel cointegration approachExportações e crescimento econômico no México, 2007-2014: uma aproximação à cointegração com dados de painelComunidad Universidad de MedellínLat: 06 15 00 N  degrees minutes  Lat: 6.2500  decimal degreesLong: 075 36 00 W  degrees minutes  Long: -75.6000  decimal degreesMedellíninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1Mendoza Cota, Jorge EduardoMendoza Cota, Jorge Eduardo; El Colegio de la Frontera NorteTHUMBNAILportada.JPGportada.JPGimage/jpeg13816http://repository.udem.edu.co/bitstream/11407/4698/2/portada.JPG67bc40f95ef3c29c44386aa395330edeMD52ORIGINALArticulo.htmltext/html493http://repository.udem.edu.co/bitstream/11407/4698/1/Articulo.htmlbf3085760d9b544778022e8e25d33252MD5111407/4698oai:repository.udem.edu.co:11407/46982020-05-27 17:40:01.747Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellinrepositorio@udem.edu.co

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