Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models

The reliability used in the pavement design is assigned according to recommendations of design guides or according to the designer's criteria; that is to say, there is no rational tool for their estimation. In addition, the chosen value is deterministic and does not consider the random nature o...

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Fecha de publicación:: 2017

Institución:: Universidad de Medellín

Repositorio:: Repositorio UDEM

Idioma:: eng

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repository_id_str
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv	Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models
title	Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models
spellingShingle	Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models Deterioration models Pavement design Pavement design life Pavement service life Reliability Serviceability
title_short	Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models
title_full	Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models
title_fullStr	Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models
title_full_unstemmed	Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models
title_sort	Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models
dc.contributor.affiliation.spa.fl_str_mv	Moreno, M.A.R., Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de Medellín, Carrera 87 No 30-65, Medellín, Colombia Navarro, T.E., Facultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Concepción, Edmundo Larenas 219, Concepción, Chile Zeballos, G.T., Escuela de Ingeniería, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Av. Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago, Chile
dc.subject.keyword.eng.fl_str_mv	Deterioration models Pavement design Pavement design life Pavement service life Reliability Serviceability
topic	Deterioration models Pavement design Pavement design life Pavement service life Reliability Serviceability
description	The reliability used in the pavement design is assigned according to recommendations of design guides or according to the designer's criteria; that is to say, there is no rational tool for their estimation. In addition, the chosen value is deterministic and does not consider the random nature of the process or the actual conditions of load, climate, material behavior and impact of the construction process that affect the performance of the structure when it is in service. This research proposes to link the design method and calibrated deterioration models to local conditions that consider the actual behavior of the materials, the variability of the construction process, the actual load stresses and the weather, when in operation. For this, a Monte Carlo simulation model is developed, using field data and statistical concepts that allow defining the variables of the model as random variables. Subsequently, with the variables found and using the reliability theory and the serviceability model, the design method and the models of deterioration are evaluated through a supply and demand analysis to obtain the reliability value that reduces the uncertainty of the performance of the structure when operating.
publishDate	2017
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv	2017-12-19T19:36:49Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv	2017-12-19T19:36:49Z
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv	2017
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv	Article
dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv	http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv	http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
dc.type.driver.none.fl_str_mv	info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv	7177925
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv	http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4342
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv	10.7764/RDLC.16.2.284
dc.identifier.reponame.spa.fl_str_mv	reponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellín
dc.identifier.instname.spa.fl_str_mv	instname:Universidad de Medellín
identifier_str_mv	7177925 10.7764/RDLC.16.2.284 reponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellín instname:Universidad de Medellín
url	http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4342
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv	eng
language	eng
dc.relation.isversionof.spa.fl_str_mv	https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85029101475&doi=10.7764%2fRDLC.16.2.284&partnerID=40&md5=0f3d9f8c95e9b07b0b026573379e4d1f
dc.relation.ispartofes.spa.fl_str_mv	Revista de la Construccion
dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv	(1993) Guide for design of pavement structures, , Washington, D.C Al-Omari, B., Darter, M.I., Relationships between international roughness index and present serviceability rating (1994) Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1435 (1), pp. 130-136 Carvalho, R., Schwartz, C., Comparisons of flexible pavement design AASHTO empirical versus NCHRP Project 1-37A mechanistic-empirical (2006) Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1947, pp. 167-174 De Solminihac, H., Hidalgo, P., Salgado, M., Calibration of performance models for surface treatment to Chilean conditions: the HDM-4 case (2003) Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1819 (2), pp. 285-293 Dilip, D.M., Sivakumar Babu, G.L., Methodology for pavement design reliability and back analysis using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation (2012) Journal of Transportation Engineering, 139 (1), pp. 65-74 Haldar, A., Mahadevan, S., (2000) Probability, reliability, and statistical methods in engineering design, , (1st Ed.). New York: John Wiley and Sons Hasofer, A.M., Lind, N.C., An exact and invariant first order reliability format (1974) Journal of Engineering Mechanical, 100, pp. 111-121 (2012) Manual de diseño de pavimentos, , Colombia: Ministerio de Transporte Luo, Z., Xiao, F., Sharma, R., Efficient reliability-based approach for mechanistic-empirical asphalt pavement design (2014) Construction and Building Materials, 64, pp. 157-165 (2010) Estudio básico seguimiento de pavimentos asfálticos, , Santiago: Ministerio de Obras Públicas de Chile (2015) Instrucciones y criterios de diseño, , Volumen 3. Manual de Carreteras. Santiago: Ministerio de Obras Públicas de Chile Morosiuk, G., (1999) Specificactions for the HDM-4 Road Deterioration Model-Fourth, Fifth, Sixth, Seventh and Eighth Drafts, , ISOHDM, United Kingdom Mun, S., Inversion analysis to determine design parameters for reliability assessment in pavement structures (2014) Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, 41 (10), pp. 845-855 Rajbongshi, P., Reliability based cost effective design of asphalt pavements considering fatigue and rutting (2014) International Journal of Pavement Research and Technology, 7 (2), pp. 153-158 Rodríguez, M., (2014) Determinación de la confiabilidad implícita en el método de diseño estructural de pavimentos flexibles AASHTO-93 en base a modelos de predicción del deterioro, , (Tesis doctoral inédita). Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile Rodríguez, M., Thenoux, G., González, A., Probabilistic assessment of asphalt pavement design (2016) Revista Ingeniería de Construcción, 31 (2), pp. 83-90 Rosenblatt, M., Remarks on a multivariate transformation (1952) Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 23 (3), pp. 470-472 Sánchez-Silva, M., Arroyo, O., Junca, M., Caro, S., Caicedo, B., Reliability based design optimization of asphalt pavements (2005) International Journal of Pavement Engineering, 6 (4), pp. 281-294 Thyagarajan, S., Muhunthan, B., Sivaneswaran, N., Petros, K., Efficient simulation techniques for reliability analysis of flexible pavements using the mechanistic-empirical pavement design guide (2011) Journal of Transportation Engineering, 137 (11), pp. 796-804 Tighe, S., Huen, K., Haas, R., Environmental and traffic deterioration with mechanistic empirical pavement design model (2007) Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1989 (2), pp. 336-343 Videla, C., de Solminihac, H., Gaete, R., Bustos, M., (1996) Ajuste de factores de calibración para ampliar modelos de deterioro de pavimentos asfálticos, , Santiago: Ministerio de Obras Públicas de Chile
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv	http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
rights_invalid_str_mv	http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv	Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Escuela de Construccion Civil
dc.publisher.faculty.spa.fl_str_mv	Facultad de Ingenierías
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv	Scopus
institution	Universidad de Medellín
repository.name.fl_str_mv	Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellin
repository.mail.fl_str_mv	repositorio@udem.edu.co
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spelling	2017-12-19T19:36:49Z2017-12-19T19:36:49Z20177177925http://hdl.handle.net/11407/434210.7764/RDLC.16.2.284reponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellíninstname:Universidad de MedellínThe reliability used in the pavement design is assigned according to recommendations of design guides or according to the designer's criteria; that is to say, there is no rational tool for their estimation. In addition, the chosen value is deterministic and does not consider the random nature of the process or the actual conditions of load, climate, material behavior and impact of the construction process that affect the performance of the structure when it is in service. This research proposes to link the design method and calibrated deterioration models to local conditions that consider the actual behavior of the materials, the variability of the construction process, the actual load stresses and the weather, when in operation. For this, a Monte Carlo simulation model is developed, using field data and statistical concepts that allow defining the variables of the model as random variables. Subsequently, with the variables found and using the reliability theory and the serviceability model, the design method and the models of deterioration are evaluated through a supply and demand analysis to obtain the reliability value that reduces the uncertainty of the performance of the structure when operating.engPontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Escuela de Construccion CivilFacultad de Ingenieríashttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85029101475&doi=10.7764%2fRDLC.16.2.284&partnerID=40&md5=0f3d9f8c95e9b07b0b026573379e4d1fRevista de la Construccion(1993) Guide for design of pavement structures, , Washington, D.CAl-Omari, B., Darter, M.I., Relationships between international roughness index and present serviceability rating (1994) Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1435 (1), pp. 130-136Carvalho, R., Schwartz, C., Comparisons of flexible pavement design AASHTO empirical versus NCHRP Project 1-37A mechanistic-empirical (2006) Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1947, pp. 167-174De Solminihac, H., Hidalgo, P., Salgado, M., Calibration of performance models for surface treatment to Chilean conditions: the HDM-4 case (2003) Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1819 (2), pp. 285-293Dilip, D.M., Sivakumar Babu, G.L., Methodology for pavement design reliability and back analysis using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation (2012) Journal of Transportation Engineering, 139 (1), pp. 65-74Haldar, A., Mahadevan, S., (2000) Probability, reliability, and statistical methods in engineering design, , (1st Ed.). New York: John Wiley and SonsHasofer, A.M., Lind, N.C., An exact and invariant first order reliability format (1974) Journal of Engineering Mechanical, 100, pp. 111-121(2012) Manual de diseño de pavimentos, , Colombia: Ministerio de TransporteLuo, Z., Xiao, F., Sharma, R., Efficient reliability-based approach for mechanistic-empirical asphalt pavement design (2014) Construction and Building Materials, 64, pp. 157-165(2010) Estudio básico seguimiento de pavimentos asfálticos, , Santiago: Ministerio de Obras Públicas de Chile(2015) Instrucciones y criterios de diseño, , Volumen 3. Manual de Carreteras. Santiago: Ministerio de Obras Públicas de ChileMorosiuk, G., (1999) Specificactions for the HDM-4 Road Deterioration Model-Fourth, Fifth, Sixth, Seventh and Eighth Drafts, , ISOHDM, United KingdomMun, S., Inversion analysis to determine design parameters for reliability assessment in pavement structures (2014) Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, 41 (10), pp. 845-855Rajbongshi, P., Reliability based cost effective design of asphalt pavements considering fatigue and rutting (2014) International Journal of Pavement Research and Technology, 7 (2), pp. 153-158Rodríguez, M., (2014) Determinación de la confiabilidad implícita en el método de diseño estructural de pavimentos flexibles AASHTO-93 en base a modelos de predicción del deterioro, , (Tesis doctoral inédita). Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileRodríguez, M., Thenoux, G., González, A., Probabilistic assessment of asphalt pavement design (2016) Revista Ingeniería de Construcción, 31 (2), pp. 83-90Rosenblatt, M., Remarks on a multivariate transformation (1952) Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 23 (3), pp. 470-472Sánchez-Silva, M., Arroyo, O., Junca, M., Caro, S., Caicedo, B., Reliability based design optimization of asphalt pavements (2005) International Journal of Pavement Engineering, 6 (4), pp. 281-294Thyagarajan, S., Muhunthan, B., Sivaneswaran, N., Petros, K., Efficient simulation techniques for reliability analysis of flexible pavements using the mechanistic-empirical pavement design guide (2011) Journal of Transportation Engineering, 137 (11), pp. 796-804Tighe, S., Huen, K., Haas, R., Environmental and traffic deterioration with mechanistic empirical pavement design model (2007) Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1989 (2), pp. 336-343Videla, C., de Solminihac, H., Gaete, R., Bustos, M., (1996) Ajuste de factores de calibración para ampliar modelos de deterioro de pavimentos asfálticos, , Santiago: Ministerio de Obras Públicas de ChileScopusIncluding reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration modelsArticleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1Moreno, M.A.R., Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de Medellín, Carrera 87 No 30-65, Medellín, ColombiaNavarro, T.E., Facultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Concepción, Edmundo Larenas 219, Concepción, ChileZeballos, G.T., Escuela de Ingeniería, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Av. Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago, ChileMoreno M.A.R.Navarro T.E.Zeballos G.T.Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de Medellín, Carrera 87 No 30-65, Medellín, ColombiaFacultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Concepción, Edmundo Larenas 219, Concepción, ChileEscuela de Ingeniería, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Av. Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago, ChileDeterioration modelsPavement designPavement design lifePavement service lifeReliabilityServiceabilityThe reliability used in the pavement design is assigned according to recommendations of design guides or according to the designer's criteria; that is to say, there is no rational tool for their estimation. In addition, the chosen value is deterministic and does not consider the random nature of the process or the actual conditions of load, climate, material behavior and impact of the construction process that affect the performance of the structure when it is in service. This research proposes to link the design method and calibrated deterioration models to local conditions that consider the actual behavior of the materials, the variability of the construction process, the actual load stresses and the weather, when in operation. For this, a Monte Carlo simulation model is developed, using field data and statistical concepts that allow defining the variables of the model as random variables. Subsequently, with the variables found and using the reliability theory and the serviceability model, the design method and the models of deterioration are evaluated through a supply and demand analysis to obtain the reliability value that reduces the uncertainty of the performance of the structure when operating.http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec11407/4342oai:repository.udem.edu.co:11407/43422020-05-27 15:41:18.816Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellinrepositorio@udem.edu.co

Including reliability in the AASHTO-93 flexible pavement design method integrating pavement deterioration models

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