Emergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]

The present work aims to characterize the development of the Delphi method, based on scientific indicators related to publications with high quality indexes. As a result of an automated search in Scopus, a database of 10341 documents recorded since 1969, has been formed. Among the main results, it i...

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2018
Institución:
Universidad de Medellín
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Repositorio UDEM
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spa
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oai:repository.udem.edu.co:11407/4855
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4855
Palabra clave:
Delphi Method
Delphi Technique
Scientific production
Scientometric
Scopus
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id REPOUDEM2_52f573ccc1ea6c877a73e8c0ffd7d9f0
oai_identifier_str oai:repository.udem.edu.co:11407/4855
network_acronym_str REPOUDEM2
network_name_str Repositorio UDEM
repository_id_str
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Emergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]
title Emergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]
spellingShingle Emergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]
Delphi Method
Delphi Technique
Scientific production
Scientometric
Scopus
title_short Emergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]
title_full Emergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]
title_fullStr Emergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]
title_full_unstemmed Emergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]
title_sort Emergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]
dc.contributor.affiliation.spa.fl_str_mv Ramírez, M.C., Universidad de Holguín;Vásquez, J.A.R., Universidad de Medellín
dc.subject.spa.fl_str_mv Delphi Method
Delphi Technique
Scientific production
Scientometric
Scopus
topic Delphi Method
Delphi Technique
Scientific production
Scientometric
Scopus
description The present work aims to characterize the development of the Delphi method, based on scientific indicators related to publications with high quality indexes. As a result of an automated search in Scopus, a database of 10341 documents recorded since 1969, has been formed. Among the main results, it is observed an exponential growth of the scientific and technical activity, related with this method. The impact of the published documents becomes verified in an ample heterogeneity of fields of the scientific knowledge. Certain invisible fact-finding schools are identified, determined by complex networks of scientific collaboration. On the other hand, some new areas and development tendencies are also explored. Although the marked variety of terminologies related to the Delphi method hinders the processing of information, it is concluded that the scientometric techniques are effective to characterize the development of this method, even beyond the perspective framework. © 2018 University of Pittsburgh. All rights reserved.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2018-10-31T13:44:17Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2018-10-31T13:44:17Z
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv 2018
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv Review
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dc.type.driver.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/review
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 15624730
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4855
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.5195/biblios.2018.470
identifier_str_mv 15624730
10.5195/biblios.2018.470
url http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4855
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv spa
language spa
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dc.relation.citationissue.spa.fl_str_mv 71
dc.relation.citationstartpage.spa.fl_str_mv 90
dc.relation.citationendpage.spa.fl_str_mv 107
dc.relation.ispartofes.spa.fl_str_mv Biblios
dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv Archambault, E., Larivière, V., The limits of bibliometrics for the analysis of the social sciences and humanities literature (2010) World Social Sciences Report, pp. 251-254. , http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0018/001883/188333e.pdf, ternational Social Science Council: UNESCO Publishing;Bornmann, L., Thor, A., Marx, W., Schier, H., The application of bibliometrics to research evaluation in the humanities and social sciences: An exploratory study using normalized Google Scholar data for the publications of a research institute (2016) Journal of The Association for Information Science and Technology, 67 (11), pp. 2778-2789. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asi.23627;Brown, B.B., La técnica Delfos. Metodología usada para obtener la opinión de los expertos (1970) Revista Española De La Opinión Pública, 21 (22), pp. 217-226. , http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/40181465, vid. Rand Corporation Paper 3925, feb. 1968;Caron, C., Roche, S., Goyer, D., Jaton, A., GIScience journals ranking and evaluation: An international Delphi study (2008) Transactions in GIS, 12 (3), pp. 293-321. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9671.2008.01106.x;Coates, J.F., In defense of Delphi: A review of Delphi assessment, expert opinion, forecasting, and group process by H. Sackman (1975) Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 7 (2), pp. 193-194. , https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625(75)90058-X;Cruz-Ramírez, M., Escalona-Reyes, M., Cabrera-García, S., Martínez-Cepena, M.C., Análisis cienciométrico de las publicaciones educacionales cubanas en la WoS y Scopus (2003-2012) (2014) Revista Española De Documentación Científica, 37 (3), p. e058. , http://dx.doi.org/10.3989/redc.2014.3.1119;Cummings, J.L., Mega, M., Gray, K., Rosenberg-Thompson, S., Carusi, D.A., Gornbein, J., The neuropsychiatric inventory: Comprehensive assessment of psychopathology in dementia (1994) Neurology, 44 (12), pp. 2308-2314. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1212/WNL.44.12.2308;Dalkey, N., Helmer, O., An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts (1963) Management Science, 9 (3), pp. 458-467. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.3.458;Davidson, P.L., The Delphi technique in doctoral research: Considerations and rationale (2013) Review of Higher Education & Self-Learning, 6 (22), pp. 53-65. , https://research.phoenix.edu/sites/default/files/publicationfiles/The%20Delphi%20technique%20in%20doctoral%20research_1.pdf;Dellinger, R.P., Levy, M.M., Carlet, J.M., Bion, J., Parker, M.M., Jaeschke, R., Vincent, J.-L., Surviving sepsis campaign: International guidelines for management of severe sepsis and septic shock: 2008 (2008) Critical Care Medicine, 36 (1), pp. 296-327. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/01.CCM.0000298158.12101.41;De Villiers, M.R., De Villiers, P.J.T., Kent, A.P., The Delphi technique in health sciences education research (2005) Medical Teacher, 27 (7), pp. 639-643. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13611260500069947;Diamond, I.R., Grant, R.C., Feldman, B.M., Pencharz, P.B., Ling, S.C., Moore, A.M., Wales, P.W., Defining consensus: A systematic review recommends methodologic criteria for reporting of Delphi studies (2014) Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 67 (4), pp. 401-409. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2013.12.002;Donohoe, H., Stellefson, M., Tennant, B., Advantages and limitations of the e-Delphi technique (2012) American Journal of Health Education, 43 (1), pp. 38-46. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19325037.2012.10599216;Dror, Y., La predicción de lo políticamente posible (1970) Revista Española De La Opinión Pública, 21 (22), pp. 89-98. , http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/40181461, vid. Rand Corporation Paper 4044, apr. 1969;García-Aracil, A., Palomares-Montero, D., Indicadores para la evaluación de las instituciones universitarias: Validación a través del método Delphi (2012) Revista Española De Documentación Científica, 35 (1), pp. 119-144. , http://dx.doi.org/10.3989/redc.2012.1.863;Gargon, E., Gurung, B., Medley, N., Altman, D.G., Blazeby, J.M., Clarke, M., Williamson, P.R., Choosing important health outcomes for comparative effectiveness research: A systematic review (2014) PLoS ONE, 9 (6), p. e99111. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0099111;Gear, C., Koziol-McLain, J., Wilson, D., Rae, N., Samuel, H., Clark, F., McNeill, E., Primary healthcare response to family violence: A Delphi evaluation tool (2012) Quality in Primary Care, 20 (1), pp. 15-30. , https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/articles/22584364/;Hallowell, M.R., Gambatese, J.A., Qualitative research: Application of the Delphi method to CEM research (2010) Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 136 (1), pp. 99-107. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.19437862.0000137;Hasson, F., Keeney, S., Enhancing rigour in the Delphi technique research (2011) Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 78 (9), pp. 1695-1704. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.04.005;Herbohn, J., Harrison, S., Emtage, N., Response to comments of Don Nicholson (1999) Australian Forestry, 62 (3), pp. 285-286. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00049158.1999.10674794;Hicks, D., The difficulty of achieving full coverage of international social science literature and the bibliometric consequences (1999) Scientometrics, 44 (2), pp. 193-295. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02457380;Kaplan, A., Skogstad, A.L., Girshick, M.A., The prediction of social and technological events (1950) Public Opinion Quarterly, 14 (1), pp. 93-110. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/266153;Kauko, K., Palmroos, P., The Delphi method in forecasting financial markets. An experimental study (2014) International Journal of Forecasting, 30 (2), pp. 313-327. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.09.007;Keeney, S., Hasson, F., McKenna, H., (2011) The Delphi Technique in Nursing and Health Research, , Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell;Landeta, J., (1999) El Método Delphi: Una Técnica De Previsión Para La Incertidumbre, , Barcelona: Ariel;Landeta, J., Hybrid Delphi: A methodology to facilitate contribution from experts in professional contexts (2011) Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 78 (9), pp. 1629-1641. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.03.009;Landeta, J., Barrutia, J., Hoyos, J., Araujo, A., Initiatives for the improvement of continuous management training (2014) Cuadernos De Gestión, 15 (1), pp. 61-92. , http://dx.doi.org/10.5295/cdg.130411jl;Lin, V.S., Song, H., A review of Delphi forecasting research in tourism (2014) Current Issues in Tourism, , http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2014.967187;Linstone, H., Turoff, M., (1975) The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications, , Eds London: Addison-Wesley;Linstone, H., Turoff, M., Delphi: A brief look backward and forward (2011) Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 78 (9), pp. 1712-1719. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.09.011;Lotka, A.J., The frequency distribution of scientific productivity (1926) Journal of The Washington Academy of Sciences, 16 (12), pp. 317-323. , http://www.jstor.org/stable/24529203;Meshkat, B., Cowman, S., Gethin, G., Ryan, K., Wiley, M., Brick, A., Mulligan, M., Using an e-Delphi technique in achieving consensus across disciplines for developing best practice in day surgery in Ireland (2014) Journal of Hospital Administration, 3 (4), pp. 1-8. , http://dx.doi.org/10.5430/jha.v3n4p1;Moher, D., Cook, D.J., Eastwood, S., Olkin, I., Rennie, D., Stroup, D.F., Yusuf, S., Improving the quality of reports of meta-analyses of randomised controlled trials: The QUOROM statement (1999) The Lancet, 354 (9193), pp. 1896-1900. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(99)04149-5;Moreira, M., Técnica Delphi: Metodologia para pesquisas em educação no Brasil (2014) Revista De Educação, 19 (1), pp. 63-71. , http://periodicos.puc-campinas.edu.br/seer/index.php/reveducacao/article/view/2616;Mullen, P.M., Delphi: Myths and reality (2003) Journal of Health Organization and Management, 17 (1), pp. 37-52. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/14777260310469319;Noack, A., Energy models for graph clustering (2007) Journal of Graph Algorithms and Applications, 11 (2), pp. 453-480. , http://dx.doi.org/10.7155/jgaa.00154;Okoli, C., Pawlowski, S.D., The Delphi method as a research tool: An example, design considerations and applications (2004) Information & Management, 42 (1), pp. 15-29. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.im.2003.11.002;Otte, E., Rousseau, R., Social network analysis: A powerful strategy, also for the information sciences (2002) Journal of Information Science, 28 (6), pp. 441-453. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/016555150202800601;Papadimitriou, F., Kidman, G., Statistical and scientometric analysis of international research in geographical and environmental education (2012) International Research in Geographical and Environmental Education, 21 (1), pp. 11-20. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10382046.2012.639153;Powell, C., The Delphi technique: Myths and realities (2003) Journal of Advanced Nursing, 41 (4), pp. 376-382. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2648.2003.02537.x;Price, D.J.S., (1963) Little Science, Big Science, , New York: Columbia University Press;Qureshi, M.I., Bhatti, M.N., Rasli, A.M., Yasir, M., Zaman, K., The Delphi method for internationalization of higher education in Pakistan: Integrating theory of constraints and quality function deployment (2014) Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 5 (20), pp. 2702-2710. , http://dx.doi.org/10.5901/mjss.2014.v5n20p270;Rekalde, I., Landeta, J., Albizu, E., Determining factors in the effectiveness of executive coaching as a management development tool (2015) Management Decision, 53 (8), pp. 1-39. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/MD-12-2014-0666;Rieger, W., Directions in Delphi developments: Dissertations and their quality (1986) Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 29 (2), pp. 195-204. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625(86)90063-6;Robson, N., Rew, D., Collective wisdom and decision making in surgical oncology (2010) European Journal of Surgical Oncology, 36 (3), pp. 230-236. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejso.2010.01.002;Rowe, G., Wright, G., The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: Issues and analysis (1999) International Journal of Forecasting, 15 (4), pp. 353-375. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0169-2070(99)00018-7;Sackman, H., (1974) Delphi Assessment: Expert Opinion, Forecasting, and Group Process, , http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/2006/R1283.pdf, Santa Monica: Rand Corporation Paper R-1283-PR;Tsai, C.-C., Corley, E.A., Bozeman, B., Collaboration experiences across scientific disciplines and cohorts (2016) Scientometrics, 108 (2), pp. 505-529. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11192-016-1997-z;Vallejo, M., Ocaña, A., Bueno, Á., Torralbo, M., Fernández, A., Producción científica sobre educación multicultural contenida en las bases de datos Social Science Citation Index y Arts y Humanities Citation Index (1956-2003) (2005) Revista Española De Documentación Científica, 28 (2), pp. 206-220. , http://dx.doi.org/10.3989/redc.2005.v28.i2.169;Van Eck, N.J., Waltman, L., Software survey: VOSviewer, a computer program for bibliometric mapping (2010) Scientometrics, 84 (2), pp. 523-538. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11192-009-0146-3;Vollmar, H.C., Ostermann, T., Redaèlli, M., Using the scenario method in the context of health and health care: A scoping review (2015) BMC Medical Research Methodology, 15 (1), pp. 1-10. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12874-015-0083-1;Von Der Gracht, H.A., Consensus measurement in Delphi studies. Review and implications for future quality assurance (2012) Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 79 (8), pp. 1525-1536. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.013;Xiao, J., Douglas, D., Lee, A.H., Vemuri, S.R., A Delphi evaluation of the factors influencing length of stay in Australian hospitals (1997) International Journal of Health Planning and Management, 12 (3), pp. 207-218. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-1751(199707/09)12:3<207::AID-HPM480>3.0.CO;2-V;Zang, L., Fan, N., Hai, Y., Lu, S.B., Su, Q.J., Yang, J.C., Gao, Y.J., Using the modified Delphi method to establish a new Chinese clinical consensus of the treatments for cervical radiculopathy (2015) European Spine Journal, 24 (6), pp. 1116-1126. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00586-015-3856-7
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rights_invalid_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv University of Pittsburgh
dc.publisher.program.spa.fl_str_mv Ciencias Básicas
dc.publisher.faculty.spa.fl_str_mv Facultad de Ciencias Básicas
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv Scopus
institution Universidad de Medellín
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellin
repository.mail.fl_str_mv repositorio@udem.edu.co
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spelling 2018-10-31T13:44:17Z2018-10-31T13:44:17Z201815624730http://hdl.handle.net/11407/485510.5195/biblios.2018.470The present work aims to characterize the development of the Delphi method, based on scientific indicators related to publications with high quality indexes. As a result of an automated search in Scopus, a database of 10341 documents recorded since 1969, has been formed. Among the main results, it is observed an exponential growth of the scientific and technical activity, related with this method. The impact of the published documents becomes verified in an ample heterogeneity of fields of the scientific knowledge. Certain invisible fact-finding schools are identified, determined by complex networks of scientific collaboration. On the other hand, some new areas and development tendencies are also explored. Although the marked variety of terminologies related to the Delphi method hinders the processing of information, it is concluded that the scientometric techniques are effective to characterize the development of this method, even beyond the perspective framework. © 2018 University of Pittsburgh. All rights reserved.spaUniversity of PittsburghCiencias BásicasFacultad de Ciencias Básicashttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85049755023&doi=10.5195%2fbiblios.2018.470&partnerID=40&md5=72cba1baa91183f95295595b0bc514457190107BibliosArchambault, E., Larivière, V., The limits of bibliometrics for the analysis of the social sciences and humanities literature (2010) World Social Sciences Report, pp. 251-254. , http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0018/001883/188333e.pdf, ternational Social Science Council: UNESCO Publishing;Bornmann, L., Thor, A., Marx, W., Schier, H., The application of bibliometrics to research evaluation in the humanities and social sciences: An exploratory study using normalized Google Scholar data for the publications of a research institute (2016) Journal of The Association for Information Science and Technology, 67 (11), pp. 2778-2789. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asi.23627;Brown, B.B., La técnica Delfos. Metodología usada para obtener la opinión de los expertos (1970) Revista Española De La Opinión Pública, 21 (22), pp. 217-226. , http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/40181465, vid. Rand Corporation Paper 3925, feb. 1968;Caron, C., Roche, S., Goyer, D., Jaton, A., GIScience journals ranking and evaluation: An international Delphi study (2008) Transactions in GIS, 12 (3), pp. 293-321. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9671.2008.01106.x;Coates, J.F., In defense of Delphi: A review of Delphi assessment, expert opinion, forecasting, and group process by H. Sackman (1975) Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 7 (2), pp. 193-194. , https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625(75)90058-X;Cruz-Ramírez, M., Escalona-Reyes, M., Cabrera-García, S., Martínez-Cepena, M.C., Análisis cienciométrico de las publicaciones educacionales cubanas en la WoS y Scopus (2003-2012) (2014) Revista Española De Documentación Científica, 37 (3), p. e058. , http://dx.doi.org/10.3989/redc.2014.3.1119;Cummings, J.L., Mega, M., Gray, K., Rosenberg-Thompson, S., Carusi, D.A., Gornbein, J., The neuropsychiatric inventory: Comprehensive assessment of psychopathology in dementia (1994) Neurology, 44 (12), pp. 2308-2314. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1212/WNL.44.12.2308;Dalkey, N., Helmer, O., An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts (1963) Management Science, 9 (3), pp. 458-467. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.3.458;Davidson, P.L., The Delphi technique in doctoral research: Considerations and rationale (2013) Review of Higher Education & Self-Learning, 6 (22), pp. 53-65. , https://research.phoenix.edu/sites/default/files/publicationfiles/The%20Delphi%20technique%20in%20doctoral%20research_1.pdf;Dellinger, R.P., Levy, M.M., Carlet, J.M., Bion, J., Parker, M.M., Jaeschke, R., Vincent, J.-L., Surviving sepsis campaign: International guidelines for management of severe sepsis and septic shock: 2008 (2008) Critical Care Medicine, 36 (1), pp. 296-327. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/01.CCM.0000298158.12101.41;De Villiers, M.R., De Villiers, P.J.T., Kent, A.P., The Delphi technique in health sciences education research (2005) Medical Teacher, 27 (7), pp. 639-643. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13611260500069947;Diamond, I.R., Grant, R.C., Feldman, B.M., Pencharz, P.B., Ling, S.C., Moore, A.M., Wales, P.W., Defining consensus: A systematic review recommends methodologic criteria for reporting of Delphi studies (2014) Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 67 (4), pp. 401-409. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2013.12.002;Donohoe, H., Stellefson, M., Tennant, B., Advantages and limitations of the e-Delphi technique (2012) American Journal of Health Education, 43 (1), pp. 38-46. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19325037.2012.10599216;Dror, Y., La predicción de lo políticamente posible (1970) Revista Española De La Opinión Pública, 21 (22), pp. 89-98. , http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/40181461, vid. Rand Corporation Paper 4044, apr. 1969;García-Aracil, A., Palomares-Montero, D., Indicadores para la evaluación de las instituciones universitarias: Validación a través del método Delphi (2012) Revista Española De Documentación Científica, 35 (1), pp. 119-144. , http://dx.doi.org/10.3989/redc.2012.1.863;Gargon, E., Gurung, B., Medley, N., Altman, D.G., Blazeby, J.M., Clarke, M., Williamson, P.R., Choosing important health outcomes for comparative effectiveness research: A systematic review (2014) PLoS ONE, 9 (6), p. e99111. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0099111;Gear, C., Koziol-McLain, J., Wilson, D., Rae, N., Samuel, H., Clark, F., McNeill, E., Primary healthcare response to family violence: A Delphi evaluation tool (2012) Quality in Primary Care, 20 (1), pp. 15-30. , https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/articles/22584364/;Hallowell, M.R., Gambatese, J.A., Qualitative research: Application of the Delphi method to CEM research (2010) Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 136 (1), pp. 99-107. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.19437862.0000137;Hasson, F., Keeney, S., Enhancing rigour in the Delphi technique research (2011) Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 78 (9), pp. 1695-1704. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.04.005;Herbohn, J., Harrison, S., Emtage, N., Response to comments of Don Nicholson (1999) Australian Forestry, 62 (3), pp. 285-286. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00049158.1999.10674794;Hicks, D., The difficulty of achieving full coverage of international social science literature and the bibliometric consequences (1999) Scientometrics, 44 (2), pp. 193-295. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02457380;Kaplan, A., Skogstad, A.L., Girshick, M.A., The prediction of social and technological events (1950) Public Opinion Quarterly, 14 (1), pp. 93-110. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/266153;Kauko, K., Palmroos, P., The Delphi method in forecasting financial markets. 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Review and implications for future quality assurance (2012) Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 79 (8), pp. 1525-1536. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.013;Xiao, J., Douglas, D., Lee, A.H., Vemuri, S.R., A Delphi evaluation of the factors influencing length of stay in Australian hospitals (1997) International Journal of Health Planning and Management, 12 (3), pp. 207-218. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-1751(199707/09)12:3<207::AID-HPM480>3.0.CO;2-V;Zang, L., Fan, N., Hai, Y., Lu, S.B., Su, Q.J., Yang, J.C., Gao, Y.J., Using the modified Delphi method to establish a new Chinese clinical consensus of the treatments for cervical radiculopathy (2015) European Spine Journal, 24 (6), pp. 1116-1126. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00586-015-3856-7ScopusDelphi MethodDelphi TechniqueScientific productionScientometricScopusEmergence and development of the Delphi method: A scientometric perspective [Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: Una perspectiva cienciométrica]Reviewinfo:eu-repo/semantics/reviewhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_efa0Ramírez, M.C., Universidad de Holguín;Vásquez, J.A.R., Universidad de MedellínRamírez M.C.Vásquez J.A.R.http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec11407/4855oai:repository.udem.edu.co:11407/48552020-05-27 16:35:14.86Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellinrepositorio@udem.edu.co

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