Econometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]

A study on the Market Efficiency Theory in its weak and semi-strong form, for oil companies listed on the Colombia Stock Exchange is done, considering the effect of WTI in these. The article shows that only profitability series of Ecopetrol can be considered as random walk through a further transfor...

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2017
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Universidad de Medellín
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Repositorio UDEM
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por
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oai:repository.udem.edu.co:11407/4348
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http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4348
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ARMA-GARCH model
Asset pricing
Market efficiency
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http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
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network_acronym_str REPOUDEM2
network_name_str Repositorio UDEM
repository_id_str
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Econometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]
title Econometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]
spellingShingle Econometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]
ARMA-GARCH model
Asset pricing
Market efficiency
title_short Econometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]
title_full Econometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]
title_fullStr Econometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]
title_full_unstemmed Econometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]
title_sort Econometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]
dc.contributor.affiliation.spa.fl_str_mv Pérez, C.L., Universidad de Medellín, Colombia
Arango, M.A., Universidad de Medellín, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Colombia
Hernández, J.D., Universidad Eafit, Colombia
dc.subject.keyword.eng.fl_str_mv ARMA-GARCH model
Asset pricing
Market efficiency
topic ARMA-GARCH model
Asset pricing
Market efficiency
description A study on the Market Efficiency Theory in its weak and semi-strong form, for oil companies listed on the Colombia Stock Exchange is done, considering the effect of WTI in these. The article shows that only profitability series of Ecopetrol can be considered as random walk through a further transformation using the WTI in the model, but in the other assets there is no Market Efficiency in its weak form. Stable models in mean and variance for assets and additional models including the performance of WTI as a variable within models of actions were found, showing signs of market efficiency in its semi-strong form. Since then it is not possible to demonstrate efficiency for all actions, for purposes of this paper concludes that the Colombian market presents anomalies.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2017-12-19T19:36:49Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2017-12-19T19:36:49Z
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv 2017
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv Article
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
dc.type.driver.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 7981015
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4348
dc.identifier.reponame.spa.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellín
dc.identifier.instname.spa.fl_str_mv instname:Universidad de Medellín
identifier_str_mv 7981015
reponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellín
instname:Universidad de Medellín
url http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4348
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.isversionof.spa.fl_str_mv https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85013790422&partnerID=40&md5=0f9160ac41f5e2a058d4b066261bf919
dc.relation.ispartofes.spa.fl_str_mv Espacios
dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv Agudelo, D.A., Gutiérrez, A., (2011) Anuncios macroeconómicos y mercados accionarios: El caso latinoamericano Macroeconomics and the stock market: The Case of Latin America, pp. 126-139
Arango, M.A., (2014) "Racionalidad Limitada en la toma de decisiones: De la teoría de la utilidad esperada a las finanzas conductuales." Finananzas y Modelación, 1
Arango, M.A., (2016) Model risk assessment projects in thermal power generation. Revista Espacios, 37
Carlos, J., Gutiérrez, M., Guti, M., Efecto dia en el mercado accionario colombiano: Una aproximacion no parametrica (2010) Borradores de Economia
Chavez Fierro, R., (2015) Razones de la caída de los precios del petróleo
Duarte Duarte, J.B., Mascareñas Pérez-Iñigo, J.M., Sierra Suárez, K.J., Testing the efficiency market hypothesis for the Colombian stock market (2014) Dyna, 81 (1), pp. 1-10
Fama, E.F., Random walk in stock market prices (1965) Financial Analysts Journal
Fama, E.F., (1965) The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices, 38 (1), pp. 34-105. , http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0021-9398%2528196501%252938%253A1%253C34%253ATBOSP%253E2.0.CO%253B2-6
Fama, E.F., Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work (1970) THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE
Fama, E.F., Market efficiency, Long-Term returns, and behavioral finance (1997) Journal of Financial Economics
(2015) Informe de coyuntura económica
Narayan, P.K., Liu, R., Westerlund, J., A GARCH model for testing market efficiency (2016) Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 41, pp. 121-138. , http://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2015.12.008
Schwert, G.W., (2003) Anomalies and Market Efficiency
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
rights_invalid_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Revista Espacios
dc.publisher.faculty.spa.fl_str_mv Facultad de Ingenierías
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv Scopus
institution Universidad de Medellín
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellin
repository.mail.fl_str_mv repositorio@udem.edu.co
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spelling 2017-12-19T19:36:49Z2017-12-19T19:36:49Z20177981015http://hdl.handle.net/11407/4348reponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellíninstname:Universidad de MedellínA study on the Market Efficiency Theory in its weak and semi-strong form, for oil companies listed on the Colombia Stock Exchange is done, considering the effect of WTI in these. The article shows that only profitability series of Ecopetrol can be considered as random walk through a further transformation using the WTI in the model, but in the other assets there is no Market Efficiency in its weak form. Stable models in mean and variance for assets and additional models including the performance of WTI as a variable within models of actions were found, showing signs of market efficiency in its semi-strong form. Since then it is not possible to demonstrate efficiency for all actions, for purposes of this paper concludes that the Colombian market presents anomalies.porRevista EspaciosFacultad de Ingenieríashttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85013790422&partnerID=40&md5=0f9160ac41f5e2a058d4b066261bf919EspaciosAgudelo, D.A., Gutiérrez, A., (2011) Anuncios macroeconómicos y mercados accionarios: El caso latinoamericano Macroeconomics and the stock market: The Case of Latin America, pp. 126-139Arango, M.A., (2014) "Racionalidad Limitada en la toma de decisiones: De la teoría de la utilidad esperada a las finanzas conductuales." Finananzas y Modelación, 1Arango, M.A., (2016) Model risk assessment projects in thermal power generation. Revista Espacios, 37Carlos, J., Gutiérrez, M., Guti, M., Efecto dia en el mercado accionario colombiano: Una aproximacion no parametrica (2010) Borradores de EconomiaChavez Fierro, R., (2015) Razones de la caída de los precios del petróleoDuarte Duarte, J.B., Mascareñas Pérez-Iñigo, J.M., Sierra Suárez, K.J., Testing the efficiency market hypothesis for the Colombian stock market (2014) Dyna, 81 (1), pp. 1-10Fama, E.F., Random walk in stock market prices (1965) Financial Analysts JournalFama, E.F., (1965) The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices, 38 (1), pp. 34-105. , http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0021-9398%2528196501%252938%253A1%253C34%253ATBOSP%253E2.0.CO%253B2-6Fama, E.F., Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work (1970) THE JOURNAL OF FINANCEFama, E.F., Market efficiency, Long-Term returns, and behavioral finance (1997) Journal of Financial Economics(2015) Informe de coyuntura económicaNarayan, P.K., Liu, R., Westerlund, J., A GARCH model for testing market efficiency (2016) Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 41, pp. 121-138. , http://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2015.12.008Schwert, G.W., (2003) Anomalies and Market EfficiencyScopusEconometric analysis of the Colombian oil sector from the perspective of the market efficiency hypothesis [Análisis econométrico del sector petrolero colombiano desde la perspectiva de la hipótesis de eficiencia de mercado]Articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1Pérez, C.L., Universidad de Medellín, ColombiaArango, M.A., Universidad de Medellín, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, ColombiaHernández, J.D., Universidad Eafit, ColombiaPérez C.L.Arango M.A.Hernández J.D.Universidad de Medellín, ColombiaUniversidad de Medellín, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, ColombiaUniversidad Eafit, ColombiaARMA-GARCH modelAsset pricingMarket efficiencyA study on the Market Efficiency Theory in its weak and semi-strong form, for oil companies listed on the Colombia Stock Exchange is done, considering the effect of WTI in these. The article shows that only profitability series of Ecopetrol can be considered as random walk through a further transformation using the WTI in the model, but in the other assets there is no Market Efficiency in its weak form. Stable models in mean and variance for assets and additional models including the performance of WTI as a variable within models of actions were found, showing signs of market efficiency in its semi-strong form. Since then it is not possible to demonstrate efficiency for all actions, for purposes of this paper concludes that the Colombian market presents anomalies.http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec11407/4348oai:repository.udem.edu.co:11407/43482020-05-27 18:59:32.623Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellinrepositorio@udem.edu.co