Risk analysis of firm energy coverage in colombia in the medium term

The recent auction of rm energy and the decisions on medium-term coverage give rise to risks in the supply of electricity in Colombia in the coming periods. Taking into account the possible risks that may arise, such as: non-compliance with FEO due to generation units (six [6] non-compliances durin...

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Autores:
Moreno-Chuquen, Ricardo
Cantillo Luna, Sergio Alejandro
Carrillo Rodríguez, Lilian Andrea
Tipo de recurso:
Article of journal
Fecha de publicación:
2021
Institución:
Universidad Autónoma de Occidente
Repositorio:
RED: Repositorio Educativo Digital UAO
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:red.uao.edu.co:10614/13877
Acceso en línea:
https://hdl.handle.net/10614/13877
https://red.uao.edu.co/
Palabra clave:
Producción de energía eléctrica
Electric power production
Reliability Charge
Firm Energy
Firm Energy Obligation
Risk
Rights
openAccess
License
Derechos reservados - Econjournals, 2021
Description
Summary:The recent auction of rm energy and the decisions on medium-term coverage give rise to risks in the supply of electricity in Colombia in the coming periods. Taking into account the possible risks that may arise, such as: non-compliance with FEO due to generation units (six [6] non-compliances during 2015-2016 term), the delay of generation projects with committed rm energy (Hidroituango case) and the availability of rm energy in the market, imply a systemic risk for the electric power supply in the medium term. Through the study of technical documents and resolutions, issued by the CREG, about the medium term energy balances in 2018, rm energy supply and demand balances were reconstructed, including the results of the last FEO auction carried out in the rst quarter of 2019, in order to carry out a risk analysis based on these same scenarios. It was observed that the amount of FEO auctioned exceeds the quantity of demand projected, meaning that the CREG assumed a conservative position by purchasing more energy than necessary (8650 GWh-year and 1027 GWh-year respectively), this is a situation that has occurred on more than one occasion