Estimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en Colombia
The objective of this research is to proposed a Probit Model for unbalanced panel data with random effects to estimate the probability of bankruptcy in the real sector firms in Colombia, to infer of credit risk of solvent and in financial distress firms, taking information from solvent companies and...
- Autores:
-
Sepúlveda Rivillas, Claudia
Reina Gutiérrez, Walter
Gutiérrez Betancur, Juan Carlos
- Tipo de recurso:
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2012
- Institución:
- Universidad EAFIT
- Repositorio:
- Repositorio EAFIT
- Idioma:
- spa
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/729
- Acceso en línea:
- http://hdl.handle.net/10784/729
- Palabra clave:
- Operating and financial leverage
bankruptcy likelihood
unbalanced panel data
Apalancamiento operativo y financiero
probabilidad de quiebra
panel de datos desbalanceado
- Rights
- License
- Acceso abierto
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| dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
Estimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en Colombia |
| title |
Estimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en Colombia |
| spellingShingle |
Estimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en Colombia Operating and financial leverage bankruptcy likelihood unbalanced panel data Apalancamiento operativo y financiero probabilidad de quiebra panel de datos desbalanceado |
| title_short |
Estimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en Colombia |
| title_full |
Estimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en Colombia |
| title_fullStr |
Estimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en Colombia |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Estimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en Colombia |
| title_sort |
Estimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en Colombia |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Sepúlveda Rivillas, Claudia Reina Gutiérrez, Walter Gutiérrez Betancur, Juan Carlos |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Sepúlveda Rivillas, Claudia Reina Gutiérrez, Walter Gutiérrez Betancur, Juan Carlos |
| dc.subject.keyword.eng.fl_str_mv |
Operating and financial leverage bankruptcy likelihood unbalanced panel data |
| topic |
Operating and financial leverage bankruptcy likelihood unbalanced panel data Apalancamiento operativo y financiero probabilidad de quiebra panel de datos desbalanceado |
| dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv |
Apalancamiento operativo y financiero probabilidad de quiebra panel de datos desbalanceado |
| description |
The objective of this research is to proposed a Probit Model for unbalanced panel data with random effects to estimate the probability of bankruptcy in the real sector firms in Colombia, to infer of credit risk of solvent and in financial distress firms, taking information from solvent companies and financial stress, the databases of the Superintendency of Companies, and BPR, since 2002-2008. Was based on the fundamental analysis, focusing on indicators of profitability, leverage, liquidity and solvency proposed by Penman (2010). The contribution of this research is the emphasis on operating and financial leverage and its effect on the probability of bankruptcy. Like main finding is highlights the less harmful effect of operating leverage in front the impact of financial leverage in times of crisis. |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2012-12-12 |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2013-04-15T21:51:42Z |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2013-04-15T21:51:42Z |
| dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv |
workingPaper info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper |
| dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_b1a7d7d4d402bcce |
| dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042 |
| dc.type.local.spa.fl_str_mv |
Documento de trabajo de investigación |
| dc.type.hasVersion.eng.fl_str_mv |
draft |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/729 |
| url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/729 |
| dc.language.iso.eng.fl_str_mv |
spa |
| language |
spa |
| dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| dc.rights.local.spa.fl_str_mv |
Acceso abierto |
| rights_invalid_str_mv |
Acceso abierto http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| dc.coverage.spatial.eng.fl_str_mv |
Medellín de: Lat: 06 15 00 N degrees minutes Lat: 6.2500 decimal degrees Long: 075 36 00 W degrees minutes Long: -75.6000 decimal degrees |
| dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv |
Universidad EAFIT |
| dc.publisher.department.spa.fl_str_mv |
Escuela de Economía y Finanzas |
| institution |
Universidad EAFIT |
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https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/e9bfc234-970f-413d-b348-2a5fe1a53e30/download https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/c55ea931-a450-486a-91ca-ea867d1312f3/download |
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MD5 MD5 |
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Repositorio Institucional Universidad EAFIT |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
repositorio@eafit.edu.co |
| _version_ |
1808498887712833536 |
| spelling |
Medellín de: Lat: 06 15 00 N degrees minutes Lat: 6.2500 decimal degrees Long: 075 36 00 W degrees minutes Long: -75.6000 decimal degrees2013-04-15T21:51:42Z2012-12-122013-04-15T21:51:42Zhttp://hdl.handle.net/10784/729The objective of this research is to proposed a Probit Model for unbalanced panel data with random effects to estimate the probability of bankruptcy in the real sector firms in Colombia, to infer of credit risk of solvent and in financial distress firms, taking information from solvent companies and financial stress, the databases of the Superintendency of Companies, and BPR, since 2002-2008. Was based on the fundamental analysis, focusing on indicators of profitability, leverage, liquidity and solvency proposed by Penman (2010). The contribution of this research is the emphasis on operating and financial leverage and its effect on the probability of bankruptcy. Like main finding is highlights the less harmful effect of operating leverage in front the impact of financial leverage in times of crisis.El objetivo de la presente investigación es proponer un modelo probit para datos de panel desbalanceado con efectos aleatorios que permita estimar la probabilidad de quiebra de las empresas del sector real en Colombia, para inferir del riesgo de crédito, tomando información de empresas solventes y en estrés financiero, de las bases de datos de la Superintendencia de Sociedades y B.P.R, durante 2002-2008. Se partió del análisis fundamental, centrado en los indicadores de rentabilidad, apalancamiento, liquidez y solvencia, que propone Penman (2010). El aporte de esta investigación es el énfasis en los apalancamientos operativo y financiero y su efecto en la probabilidad de quiebra. Como principal hallazgo se resalta el efecto menos nocivo del apalancamiento operativo frente al impacto del apalancamiento financiero en épocas de crisis.spaUniversidad EAFITEscuela de Economía y FinanzasEstimación del Riesgo de crédito para empresas del sector real en ColombiaworkingPaperinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperDocumento de trabajo de investigacióndrafthttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_b1a7d7d4d402bccehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042Acceso abiertohttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Operating and financial leveragebankruptcy likelihoodunbalanced panel dataApalancamiento operativo y financieroprobabilidad de quiebrapanel de datos desbalanceadoSepúlveda Rivillas, ClaudiaReina Gutiérrez, WalterGutiérrez Betancur, Juan Carloscsepulveda@economicas.udea.edu.cowreina67@gmail.comjgutie31@eafit.edu.coORIGINAL2012_25_Juan_Carlos_Gutierrez.pdf2012_25_Juan_Carlos_Gutierrez.pdfapplication/pdf985146https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/e9bfc234-970f-413d-b348-2a5fe1a53e30/download27b06f572a4ab0eaf17e86e14a23a612MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81748https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/c55ea931-a450-486a-91ca-ea867d1312f3/download8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33MD5210784/729oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/7292024-03-05 14:06:14.392open.accesshttps://repository.eafit.edu.coRepositorio Institucional Universidad EAFITrepositorio@eafit.edu.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 |