Are foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging markets

We investigate for the role of Foreigners, Local Institutions and Local individuals in days of Contagion in a set of six emerging markets from 2007 to 2016. We propose a new and intuitive continuous measure of Contagion based on the probability of a coincidence of daily negative returns in both the...

Full description

Autores:
Agudelo, Diego A.
Múnera, Daimer J.
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2018
Institución:
Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:
Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/13128
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/13128
Palabra clave:
Contagion
Foreign flows
Institutional investors
Individual investors
Emerging Markets
Rights
License
Acceso abierto
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oai_identifier_str oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/13128
network_acronym_str REPOEAFIT2
network_name_str Repositorio EAFIT
repository_id_str
dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv Are foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging markets
title Are foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging markets
spellingShingle Are foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging markets
Contagion
Foreign flows
Institutional investors
Individual investors
Emerging Markets
title_short Are foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging markets
title_full Are foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging markets
title_fullStr Are foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging markets
title_full_unstemmed Are foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging markets
title_sort Are foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging markets
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Agudelo, Diego A.
Múnera, Daimer J.
dc.contributor.eafitauthor.none.fl_str_mv dagudelo@eafit.edu.co
dmunera3@eafit.edu.co
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv Agudelo, Diego A.
Múnera, Daimer J.
dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv Contagion
Foreign flows
Institutional investors
Individual investors
Emerging Markets
topic Contagion
Foreign flows
Institutional investors
Individual investors
Emerging Markets
description We investigate for the role of Foreigners, Local Institutions and Local individuals in days of Contagion in a set of six emerging markets from 2007 to 2016. We propose a new and intuitive continuous measure of Contagion based on the probability of a coincidence of daily negative returns in both the S&P500 and the local index, in excess of what can be explained by fundamentals. Using a VAR setting, we find that Foreigners sells induce Contagion, and that they keep selling in the following days. We also find evidence of Foreigners acting as the transmitters of large drops in the US stock market to emerging ones. Institutions also contribute to Contagion days with net sales, but they become net buyers from the day after. Finally, individuals are net buyers in Contagion days.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2018-11-10T19:01:42Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2018-11
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2018-11-10T19:01:42Z
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv workingPaper
info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper
dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/version/c_b1a7d7d4d402bcce
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042
dc.type.local.spa.fl_str_mv Documento de trabajo de investigación
dc.type.hasVersion.eng.fl_str_mv draft
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10784/13128
dc.identifier.jel.none.fl_str_mv G14
G15
D82
url http://hdl.handle.net/10784/13128
identifier_str_mv G14
G15
D82
dc.language.iso.eng.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.local.spa.fl_str_mv Acceso abierto
rights_invalid_str_mv Acceso abierto
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dc.coverage.spatial.eng.fl_str_mv Medellín de: Lat: 06 15 00 N degrees minutes Lat: 6.2500 decimal degrees Long: 075 36 00 W degrees minutes Long: -75.6000 decimal degrees
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad EAFIT
dc.publisher.department.spa.fl_str_mv Escuela de Economía y Finanzas
institution Universidad EAFIT
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/adb932ed-eb8a-4a03-90f6-d64cd72cd773/download
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional Universidad EAFIT
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spelling Medellín de: Lat: 06 15 00 N degrees minutes Lat: 6.2500 decimal degrees Long: 075 36 00 W degrees minutes Long: -75.6000 decimal degrees2018-11-10T19:01:42Z2018-112018-11-10T19:01:42Zhttp://hdl.handle.net/10784/13128G14G15D82We investigate for the role of Foreigners, Local Institutions and Local individuals in days of Contagion in a set of six emerging markets from 2007 to 2016. We propose a new and intuitive continuous measure of Contagion based on the probability of a coincidence of daily negative returns in both the S&P500 and the local index, in excess of what can be explained by fundamentals. Using a VAR setting, we find that Foreigners sells induce Contagion, and that they keep selling in the following days. We also find evidence of Foreigners acting as the transmitters of large drops in the US stock market to emerging ones. Institutions also contribute to Contagion days with net sales, but they become net buyers from the day after. Finally, individuals are net buyers in Contagion days.engUniversidad EAFITEscuela de Economía y FinanzasAre foreigners the vectors of Contagion? A study of six emerging marketsworkingPaperinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperDocumento de trabajo de investigacióndrafthttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_b1a7d7d4d402bccehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042Acceso abiertohttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2ContagionForeign flowsInstitutional investorsIndividual investorsEmerging Marketsdagudelo@eafit.edu.codmunera3@eafit.edu.coAgudelo, Diego A.2a6972ee-40c9-4581-a216-4af5ad58cb6f-1Múnera, Daimer J.640c2a2e-1703-44fd-b4c9-d0197d8b7b11-1LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82556https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/adb932ed-eb8a-4a03-90f6-d64cd72cd773/download76025f86b095439b7ac65b367055d40cMD51ORIGINALWP-2018-17-Diego A. Agudelo.pdfWP-2018-17-Diego A. Agudelo.pdfDocumento de trabajo de investigaciónapplication/pdf1621208https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/0490256f-9bac-4794-b932-5b871ba9267a/download1c8bbd679fc5299c8bf6b20455372679MD5210784/13128oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/131282024-12-04 11:49:19.936open.accesshttps://repository.eafit.edu.coRepositorio Institucional Universidad EAFITrepositorio@eafit.edu.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