Revisiting the effects of innovation on growth: a threshold analysis

Since Schumpeter’s (1934) seminal work, the existing literature has examined the relationship between innovation and economic growth, arguing for a strictly positive relationship. The recent literature suggests that this relationship might be non-linear. Low levels of innovation will not affect econ...

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Autores:
Canavire Bacarreza, Gustavo
Aristizabal-Ramirez, M.
Rios-Avila, Fernando.
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2015
Institución:
Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:
Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/7515
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/7515
Palabra clave:
growth
innovation
threshold
Rights
License
restrictedAccess
Description
Summary:Since Schumpeter’s (1934) seminal work, the existing literature has examined the relationship between innovation and economic growth, arguing for a strictly positive relationship. The recent literature suggests that this relationship might be non-linear. Low levels of innovation will not affect economic growth; yet, when a certain threshold is reached, innovation significantly promotes economic growth. Using panel data information for 147 countries from 2006 to 2012, we employ threshold regressions à la Hansen (1999) to test the hypothesis of a non-linear relationship between innovation and growth. We find evidence that the relationship between innovation and growth is not linear and that only high levels of innovation increase economic growth. The results tend to be stronger when investment and public expenditure are present, suggesting that the quality of institutions is important.