Entrando en cintura: implicaciones de política económica sobre la sostenibilidad de la deuda pública en la zona euro

The present article shows the theory implicit in the intertemporal government budget constraint. From this framework, it is run a series of simulation exercises about the public debt sustainability problem and the needed fiscal sacrifices to judge the actual level of sustainable indebtedness in some...

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Autores:
Ramírez Hassan, Andrés
Uribe Castro, Mateo
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2013
Institución:
Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:
Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/998
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/998
Palabra clave:
Public Debt
Sustainability
Primary Surplus
European Union
Fiscal policy
Deuda pública
Sostenibilidad
Superávit primario
Unión Europea
Política fiscal
Rights
License
Acceso abierto
Description
Summary:The present article shows the theory implicit in the intertemporal government budget constraint. From this framework, it is run a series of simulation exercises about the public debt sustainability problem and the needed fiscal sacrifices to judge the actual level of sustainable indebtedness in some countries into Euro zone. Specifically, Greece, Portugal, Italy and Spain must generate a primary surplus of 44.1%, 10.5%, 6.8% and 4.5% of the GDP, respectively, to maintain their current amount of debt. On the other hand, Germany, France and the UK can have primary deficits due to their relation between growth rate and real interest rate.