Colombian Economic Growth, Investment and Saving: From 1954 to 2019 and Beyond

This paper presents an interpretation of post-1953 Colombian economic growth and a discussion on future outcomes. The interpretation takes the form of a data playback guided by the decentralized equilibrium version of the Cass-KoopmansRamsey model. The role of technical change as a driver of GDP gro...

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Autores:
Posada, Carlos Esteban
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2019
Institución:
Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:
Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/13762
Acceso en línea:
http://repository.eafit.edu.co/handle/10784/13762
Palabra clave:
Colombian Economic Growth
Cass-Koopmans-Ramsey Model
Small Open Economy
Technical Change
Interest Rate
Investment
Households Savings
Rights
License
Acceso abierto
Description
Summary:This paper presents an interpretation of post-1953 Colombian economic growth and a discussion on future outcomes. The interpretation takes the form of a data playback guided by the decentralized equilibrium version of the Cass-KoopmansRamsey model. The role of technical change as a driver of GDP growth,household income and average wage is highlighted. The model leads to an unusual conclusion when it is applied to a small open economy like the Colombian one: the higher the rate of expected technical change, the higher the firms ´s investment rate and the lower the households’ savings rate, remaining constant other things.