The Cost of Uncertainty

The traditional and most common view of economists on the issue of (bad) uncertainty and its effects has been one of partial equilibrium. When the topic is approached from a macroeconomic perspective, the most frequent has been the examination of the effects of uncertainty shocks on short-term dynam...

Full description

Autores:
Posada, Carlos Esteban
Tipo de recurso:
Work document
Fecha de publicación:
2024
Institución:
Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:
Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/34627
Acceso en línea:
https://hdl.handle.net/10784/34627
Palabra clave:
Interest rate
Investment
Output growth rate
Risk
Savings
Uncertainty
Rights
License
Acceso abierto
Description
Summary:The traditional and most common view of economists on the issue of (bad) uncertainty and its effects has been one of partial equilibrium. When the topic is approached from a macroeconomic perspective, the most frequent has been the examination of the effects of uncertainty shocks on short-term dynamics with various methods, but mainly with neoKeynesian and statistical (vector autoregressive) models. This document responds to another concern and has two objectives: 1) to reflect on this issue with some instruments of the macroeconomist´s toolbox related to a medium or long-term horizon, and 2) report a ciphering of the social cost of uncertainty in the Colombian case.