Volatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.

We test for volatility transmission between US and the six largest Latin American stock markets (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru) using MGARCH-BEKK models in daily frequency from March 1993 to March 2013. As expected, we find strong evidence of volatility transmission from US to...

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Autores:
Agudelo, Diego A.
Gutiérrez, Marcela
Cardona, Laura
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2015
Institución:
Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:
Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/8011
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/8011
Palabra clave:
Volatility transmission
MGARCH
decoupling hypothesis
emerging markets
conditional correlation
Rights
License
Acceso abierto
id REPOEAFIT2_6277c15829b130fd893b62aec5b9e422
oai_identifier_str oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/8011
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repository_id_str
dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv Volatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.
title Volatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.
spellingShingle Volatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.
Volatility transmission
MGARCH
decoupling hypothesis
emerging markets
conditional correlation
title_short Volatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.
title_full Volatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.
title_fullStr Volatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.
title_full_unstemmed Volatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.
title_sort Volatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Agudelo, Diego A.
Gutiérrez, Marcela
Cardona, Laura
dc.contributor.eafitauthor.none.fl_str_mv dagudelo@eafit.edu.co
mgutie12@eafit.edu.co
lcardona@eafit.edu.co
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv Agudelo, Diego A.
Gutiérrez, Marcela
Cardona, Laura
dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv Volatility transmission
MGARCH
decoupling hypothesis
emerging markets
conditional correlation
topic Volatility transmission
MGARCH
decoupling hypothesis
emerging markets
conditional correlation
description We test for volatility transmission between US and the six largest Latin American stock markets (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru) using MGARCH-BEKK models in daily frequency from March 1993 to March 2013. As expected, we find strong evidence of volatility transmission from US to the Latin American markets but not so in the opposite direction. Testing the hypothesis of decoupling between US and Brazil and Mexico the evidence goes against it: the conditional correlations between US and the two emerging markets have steadily increased over the sample period and the volatility transmission have become more significant from 2003 onwards. We also find some evidence on the leadership of Brazil in the region, being the only Latin American stock market consistently transmitting volatility to US.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2015-10-01
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2016-02-15T21:42:00Z
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2016-02-15T21:42:00Z
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv workingPaper
info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper
dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/version/c_b1a7d7d4d402bcce
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042
dc.type.local.spa.fl_str_mv Documento de trabajo de investigación
dc.type.hasVersion.eng.fl_str_mv draft
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10784/8011
dc.identifier.jel.none.fl_str_mv G15
F36
C32
url http://hdl.handle.net/10784/8011
identifier_str_mv G15
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dc.language.iso.eng.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.local.spa.fl_str_mv Acceso abierto
rights_invalid_str_mv Acceso abierto
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dc.coverage.spatial.eng.fl_str_mv Medellín de: Lat: 06 15 00 N degrees minutes Lat: 6.2500 decimal degrees Long: 075 36 00 W degrees minutes Long: -75.6000 decimal degrees
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad EAFIT
dc.publisher.department.spa.fl_str_mv Escuela de Economía y Finanzas
institution Universidad EAFIT
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/a6a3c314-d67c-4e7b-aece-1128a08a2c40/download
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional Universidad EAFIT
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spelling Medellín de: Lat: 06 15 00 N degrees minutes Lat: 6.2500 decimal degrees Long: 075 36 00 W degrees minutes Long: -75.6000 decimal degrees2016-02-15T21:42:00Z2015-10-012016-02-15T21:42:00Zhttp://hdl.handle.net/10784/8011G15F36C32We test for volatility transmission between US and the six largest Latin American stock markets (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru) using MGARCH-BEKK models in daily frequency from March 1993 to March 2013. As expected, we find strong evidence of volatility transmission from US to the Latin American markets but not so in the opposite direction. Testing the hypothesis of decoupling between US and Brazil and Mexico the evidence goes against it: the conditional correlations between US and the two emerging markets have steadily increased over the sample period and the volatility transmission have become more significant from 2003 onwards. We also find some evidence on the leadership of Brazil in the region, being the only Latin American stock market consistently transmitting volatility to US.engUniversidad EAFITEscuela de Economía y FinanzasVolatility transmission between US and Latin American Stock Markets: testing the decoupling hypothesis.workingPaperinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperDocumento de trabajo de investigacióndrafthttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_b1a7d7d4d402bccehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042Acceso abiertohttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Volatility transmissionMGARCHdecoupling hypothesisemerging marketsconditional correlationdagudelo@eafit.edu.comgutie12@eafit.edu.colcardona@eafit.edu.coAgudelo, Diego A.Gutiérrez, MarcelaCardona, LauraLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82556https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/a6a3c314-d67c-4e7b-aece-1128a08a2c40/download76025f86b095439b7ac65b367055d40cMD51ORIGINAL2015-27_Diego_A_Agudelo.pdf2015-27_Diego_A_Agudelo.pdfDocumento de trabajo de investigaciónapplication/pdf871710https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/a1e004ed-5b7b-4a81-a95f-d552941e1237/download04b09b749d976e132a61ec360f834ee5MD5210784/8011oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/80112024-03-05 14:06:15.004open.accesshttps://repository.eafit.edu.coRepositorio Institucional Universidad EAFITrepositorio@eafit.edu.coSS4gT0JSQVMgWUEgUFVCTElDQURBUwoKUGFyYSBvYnJhcyB5YSBwdWJsaWNhZGFzIHNlIHJlcXVpZXJlLCBwYXJhIGVsIGFyY2hpdm8geSBkaXZ1bGdhY2nDs24gZW4gZWwgUmVwb3NpdG9yaW8gSW5zdGl0dWNpb25hbCBkZSBsYSBVbml2ZXJzaWRhZCBFQUZJVCwgcXVlIGVsIGF1dG9yIGNvbm96Y2EgeSB2YWxpZGUgbGFzIGNvbmRpY2lvbmVzIGVuIHF1ZSBoYSBzdXNjcml0byBsb3MgYWN1ZXJkb3MgZGUgY2VzacOzbiBvIGxpY2VuY2lhIGRlIGRlcmVjaG9zIGRlIGF1dG9yIGNvbiBsYShzKSBlZGl0b3JpYWwoZXMpIGVuIGxhcyBxdWUgaGEgcHVibGljYWRvIGxhIG9icmEuCgpFc3RhIHZlcmlmaWNhY2nDs24gc2UgcHVlZGUgcmVhbGl6YXIgY29uc3VsdGFuZG8gbGFzIGJhc2VzIGRlIGRhdG9zIFNIRVJQQSAvIFJPTUVPIHkgRFVMQ0lORUEsIHBhcmEgY29ub2NlciBsYSBwb2zDrXRpY2Egc29icmUgZGVyZWNob3MgZGUgYXV0b3IgZGUgbGEgcmVzcGVjdGl2YSBlZGl0b3JpYWwuIEVuIGNhc28gZGUgcXVlIGxhIGVkaXRvcmlhbCBubyBzZSBlbmN1ZW50cmUgZW4gZXN0YXMgYmFzZXMgZGUgZGF0b3MsIGVsIGF1dG9yIGRlYmUgY29uc3VsdGFyIGRpcmVjdGFtZW50ZSBjb24gZWwgcmVzcG9uc2FibGUgZGUgbGEgZmlybWEgZGUgbGEgbGljZW5jaWEgcG9yIHBhcnRlIGRlIGxhIGVkaXRvcmlhbC4KCkNvbnN1bHRhciBQb2zDrXRpY2EgZGVsIFJlcG9zaXRvcmlvIEluc3RpdHVjaW9uYWwuCgpJSS4gT0JSQVMgSU7DiURJVEFTCgpFbCBhdXRvciBjb25zZXJ2YSB0b2RvcyBsb3MgZGVyZWNob3MsIGNvbiBsbyBjdWFsIHB1ZWRlIHB1YmxpY2FybGEgcG9zdGVyaW9ybWVudGUuIFNlIHJlY29taWVuZGEgY29ub2Nlci9yZXZpc2FyIGxhIHBvbMOtdGljYSBkZSBkb25kZSBzZSBwcmV2w6kgcHVibGljYXIsIGRhZG8gcXVlIGFsZ3Vub3MgcHVibGljYWRvcmVzIHPDs2xvIGFjZXB0YW4gdHJhYmFqb3Mgbm8gZGlmdW5kaWRvcyBjb24gYW50ZXJpb3JpZGFkLiBQdWVkZSBjb25zdWx0YXIgbGEgYmFzZSBkZSBkYXRvcyBTSEVSUEEvUk9NRU8qIG8gRFVMQ0lORUEqKiwgcGFyYSBjb25vY2VyIGxhIHBvbMOtdGljYSBzb2JyZSBkZXJlY2hvcyBkZSBhdXRvciBkZSBsYSByZXNwZWN0aXZhIGVkaXRvcmlhbC4KCkFVVE9SSVpBQ0nDk04gREUgUFVCTElDQUNJw5NOIEVOIEZPUk1BIEFOQUzDk0dJQ0EgTyBESUdJVEFMIERFIExBIE9CUkEuCgpBdXRvcml6byBlbiBmb3JtYSBncmF0dWl0YSB5IHBvciB0aWVtcG8gaW5kZWZpbmlkbyBhIGxhIFVuaXZlcnNpZGFkIEVBRklUIHBhcmEgcmVhbGl6YXIgbGFzIHNpZ3VpZW50ZXMgYWN0aXZpZGFkZXM6CgotIFB1YmxpY2FyIGVuIGZvcm1hIGVsZWN0csOzbmljYSBvIGRpdnVsZ2FyIHBvciBtZWRpbyBlbGVjdHLDs25pY28gZWwgdGV4dG8gZGVsIHRyYWJham8gY29uIGVsIGZpbiBkZSBzZXIgY29uc3VsdGFkbyBwb3IgZWwgcMO6YmxpY28gZW4gaHR0cDovL3d3dy5lYWZpdC5lZHUuY28vYmlibGlvdGVjYQotIFB1YmxpY2FyIGVuIGZvcm1hIGVsZWN0csOzbmljYSwgZGl2dWxnYXIgcG9yIG1lZGlvIGVsZWN0csOzbmljbyB5IHByZXNlcnZhciBlbCB0ZXh0byBkZWwgdHJhYmFqbyBjb24gZWwgZmluIGRlIHNlciBjb25zdWx0YWRvIHBvciBlbCBww7pibGljbyBlbiBodHRwOi8vcmVwb3NpdG9yeS5lYWZpdC5lZHUuY28KClRvZG8gcGVyc29uYSBxdWUgY29uc3VsdGUgZWwgbWF0ZXJpYWwgYmllbiBzZWEgZGUgZm9ybWEgYW5hbMOzZ2ljYSBvIGRpZ2l0YWwsIHBvZHLDoSByZWFsaXphciBjaXRhcyBjb25mb3JtZSBhIGxvIHBlcm1pdGlkbyBwb3IgbGEgbGV5IGNpdGFuZG8gZW4gdG9kbyBjYXNvIGxhcyBmdWVudGVzLiBFc3RhIGF1dG9yaXphY2nDs24gbm8gaW1wbGljYSByZW51bmNpYSBhIGxhIGZhY3VsdGFkIHF1ZSB0ZW5nbyBkZSBwdWJsaWNhciB0b3RhbCBvIHBhcmNpYWxtZW50ZSBsYSBvYnJhLgoKRGVjbGFybyBxdWUgc295IGVsIGF1dG9yIHkgdGl0dWxhciBkZSBsb3MgZGVyZWNob3MgZGUgYXV0b3Igc29icmUgbGEgb2JyYSwgeSBxdWUgbGEgbWlzbWEgZXMgb3JpZ2luYWwsIHBvciBsbyB0YW50byBsYSBVbml2ZXJzaWRhZCBFQUZJVCBubyBzZXLDoSByZXNwb25zYWJsZSBkZSBuaW5ndW5hIHJlY2xhbWFjacOzbiBxdWUgcHVkaWVyYSBzdXJnaXIgcG9yIHBhcnRlIGRlIHRlcmNlcm9zIHF1ZSBpbnZvcXVlbiBhdXRvcsOtYSBkZSBsYSBvYnJhIHF1ZSBwcmVzZW50by4KClNpIHRpZW5lIGFsZ3VuYSBkdWRhIHNvYnJlIGxhIGxpY2VuY2lhLCBwb3IgZmF2b3IsIGNvbnRhY3RlIGNvbiBlbCBhZG1pbmlzdHJhZG9yIGRlbCBzaXN0ZW1hLgoKRGVjbGFybyBxdWUgY29ub3pjbyBsYSBwb2zDrXRpY2EgZGVsIFJlcG9zaXRvcmlvIEluc3RpdHVjaW9uYWwgeSBjb25jZWRvIGxhIGF1dG9yaXphY2nDs24uCgpfX19fX19fX19fX19fX18KKCopIFNoZXJwYS4gRGlzcG9uaWJsZSBlbjogaHR0cDovL3d3dy5zaGVycGEuYWMudWsvcm9tZW8vP2xhPWVzCigqKikgRHVsY2luZWEuIERpc3BvbmlibGUgZW46IGh0dHA6Ly93d3cuYWNjZXNvYWJpZXJ0by5uZXQvZHVsY2luZWEK