Welfare gains of the poor: An endogenous Bayesian approach with spatial random effects

We introduce a Bayesian instrumental variable procedure with spatial random effects that handles endogeneity, and spatial dependence with unobserved heterogeneity. We find through a limited Monte Carlo experiment that our proposal works well in terms of point estimates and prediction. Then, we apply...

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Autores:
Ramírez Hassan, Andrés
Montoya Blandón, Santiago
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2015
Institución:
Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:
Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/7348
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/7348
Palabra clave:
Bayesian Estimation
Endogeneity
Instruments
Simultaneous Equations
Spatial Random Effects
Welfare Analysis
Estimación Bayesiana
Endogeneidad
Instrumentos
Ecuaciones Simultáneas
Efectos Aleatorios Espaciales
Análisis de Bienestar
Rights
License
Acceso abierto
Description
Summary:We introduce a Bayesian instrumental variable procedure with spatial random effects that handles endogeneity, and spatial dependence with unobserved heterogeneity. We find through a limited Monte Carlo experiment that our proposal works well in terms of point estimates and prediction. Then, we apply our method to analyze the welfare effects on the poorest households generated by a process of electricity tariff unification. In particular, we deduce an Equivalent Variation measure where there is a budget constraint for a two-tiered pricing scheme, and find that 10% of the poorest municipalities attained welfare gains above 2% of their initial income.